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Real Madrid vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 91-87
24-23 18-17 25-26 24-21
Position#2
Record19-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game78.1
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Olimpia Milano
Position#12
Record12-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2022
Meetings · Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano
06 Apr 2027
MAD v MIL
upcoming
20 Jan 2026
MAD106
MIL77
25 Mar 2025
MAD96
MIL89
19 Oct 2023
MAD88
MIL71
16 Mar 2023
MAD91
MIL87
10 Mar 2022
MAD92
MIL88
08 Jan 2021
MAD76
MIL80
20 Mar 2019
MAD92
MIL89
24 Oct 2017
MAD100
MIL90
27 Jan 2017
MAD94
MIL89
01 Nov 2013
MAD93
MIL74
27 Oct 2011
MAD85
MIL78
26 Nov 2009
MAD82
MIL69
13 Nov 2008
MAD70
MIL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
W
88-80
88
80
+8
80avg 81
A12/02
ACB
Valencia
#5
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
96-69
96
69
+27
100avg 81
H23/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
75-71
75
71
+4
70avg 81
A03/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 81
A05/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
81-85
81
85
-4
82avg 81
H07/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
95-91
95
91
+4
98avg 81
H09/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
86-65
86
65
+21
82avg 81
H12/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
90avg 81
A14/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
20-12
31-23
17-25
21-13
20-21
22-24
23-27
19-17
20-22
20-27
23-27
22-24
31-14
23-14
20-17
20-10
27-22
16-22
12-17
24-14
20-16
22-27
18-21
22-17
21-23
22-22
16-23
24-20
25-20
22-25
24-26
11-15
27-13
26-13
22-24
24-18
15-24
21-35
29-13
166.9Avg total
86.2Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.678.1162.8+6.568%
Season at home (14)90.680.4171.1+10.271%
Season away (14)78.675.9154.4+2.764%
Last 10 (10)86.280.7166.9+5.570%
Last 5 (5)87.081.8168.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
vs Similar (9)83.480.2163.7+3.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.275.0162.2+12.295%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
H02/02
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
W
65-59
65
59
+6
56avg 73
A05/02
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
87-75
87
75
+12
89avg 73
A12/02
Lega A
Brescia
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 73
H23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
83-62
83
62
+21
80avg 73
H03/03
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
92avg 73
H05/03
Lega A
Valencia
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 73
A07/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
76-62
76
62
+14
72avg 73
H09/03
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
98-79
98
79
+19
178avg 73
A12/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
23-14
14-17
15-19
12-15
21-20
18-16
14-8
21-22
24-23
23-18
19-12
19-20
10-25
26-11
17-19
20-21
20-18
24-21
14-16
20-17
15-15
26-14
22-16
26-21
26-18
25-12
12-29
17-21
22-21
26-13
23-29
13-19
17-10
19-17
27-16
29-15
23-26
27-17
19-21
153.0Avg total
81.0Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.076.3149.3-3.344%
Season at home (15)73.874.1147.9-0.347%
Season away (12)72.179.0151.1-6.942%
Last 10 (10)81.072.0153.0+9.090%
Last 5 (5)86.873.4160.2+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.073.2150.2+3.860%
vs Similar (11)78.678.1156.7+0.564%
vs Weaker (13)81.772.8154.5+8.869%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
Real MadridOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A12/02
ACB
Valencia
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H23/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A03/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A05/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H07/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H09/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H12/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A14/03
Euroleague
78.8Avg total
43.3Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.236.679.8+6.677%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.036.181.1+8.987%-
Last 30 away (15)41.437.078.4+4.467%-
Last 10 (10)43.335.578.8+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.078.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (9)40.939.980.8+1.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.635.079.6+9.689%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H02/02
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A05/02
Lega A
Varese
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A12/02
Lega A
Brescia
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H15/02
Italian Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H03/03
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H05/03
Lega A
Valencia
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A07/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H09/03
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A12/03
Lega A
77.9Avg total
40.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.778.0+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.136.476.4+3.775%-
Last 30 away (14)40.639.179.7+1.436%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.977.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.678.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.634.270.8+2.480%-
vs Similar (11)40.339.679.9+0.655%-
vs Weaker (13)42.636.879.4+5.854%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.622.2
60.7%
53.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.9
38.4%
36.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.316.0
78.8%
78.5%16.0
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.721.1
59.1%
53.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.8
37.3%
36.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.214.3
78.6%
78.5%14.3
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWLWWWLWW
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWWLWWW
#2
League position
#12
+11.3
Net rating
+15.2
120.1
Offensive rating
104.3
108.8
Defensive rating
89.1
59.4%
Effective FG%
57.8%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
37.0%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.4%
3-point %
37.3%
57.6%
Assist %
55.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence120.1 · 104.3Defence108.8 · 89.1Shooting59.4% · 57.8%3-point %38.4% · 37.3%Ball care18.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds32.2% · 29.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
03/11/22Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid77-83
10/03/22Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano92-88 OT
16/12/21Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid73-75
08/01/21Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano76-80
16/10/20Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid78-70
20/03/19Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano92-89
17/10/18Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid85-91
13/03/18Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid77-88
24/10/17Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano100-90
27/01/17Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano94-89
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/23AAnadolu Efes89-90
12/03/23HBilbao86-65
09/03/23HValencia95-91
07/03/23HBaskonia81-85
05/03/23AObradoiro CAB84-78
03/03/23ALyon-Villeurbanne75-71
23/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas96-69
18/02/23HUnicaja82-93
16/02/23HValencia86-85
12/02/23AMurcia88-80
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23ABrindisi98-79
09/03/23HPartizan76-62
07/03/23AValencia88-84
05/03/23HScafati89-80
03/03/23HOlympiacos83-62
23/02/23HPanathinaikos78-76
15/02/23HBrescia72-75
12/02/23AVarese87-75
05/02/23ATrieste65-59
02/02/23HCrvena zvezda74-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %68%71%64%
Points / game84.690.678.6
Allowed / game78.180.475.9
Point differential+6.5+10.2+2.7
Avg total162.8171.1154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)33% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW44%
HomeWWWWW47%
AwayWLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %44%47%42%
Points / game73.073.872.1
Allowed / game76.374.179.0
Point differential-3.3-0.3-6.9
Avg total149.3147.9151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)33% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2921872%84.775.7+9.0
2 Real Madrid2819968%84.678.1+6.5
3 Monaco29191066%83.981.6+2.3
4 Barcelona28181064%80.677.3+3.3
5 Fenerbahce28171161%84.580.6+3.9
6 Partizan29161355%84.582.5+2.0
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv29161355%82.581.9+0.6
8 Baskonia29151452%86.384.1+2.2
9 Zalgiris Kaunas29151452%75.477.5-2.1
10 Anadolu Efes29141548%82.181.3+0.8
11 Valencia29141548%83.085.5-2.6
12 Virtus Bologna29131645%78.381.3-3.0
13 Olimpia Milano27121544%73.076.3-3.3
14 Crvena zvezda28121643%76.078.5-2.5
15 Bayern28111739%76.979.7-2.9
16 Panathinaikos2891932%79.082.7-3.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2882029%74.780.4-5.7
18 Alba Berlin2872125%79.885.0-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2418252491
Olimpia Milano2317262187
← all games of the day
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