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Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 86-97
24-18 12-27 25-22 25-30
Position#1
Record22-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#2
Record16-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game77.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27· WiZink Center
European cup2023
Meetings · Real Madrid v Panathinaikos
04 Nov 2026
MAD112
PAO115
13 Nov 2025
MAD77
PAO87
17 Oct 2024
MAD90
PAO86
26 May 2024
MAD80
PAO95
29 Feb 2024
MAD86
PAO97
01 Feb 2023
MAD83
PAO68
15 Oct 2021
MAD88
PAO65
27 Jan 2021
MAD76
PAO66
19 Apr 2019
MAD78
PAO63
17 Apr 2019
MAD75
PAO72
19 Dec 2018
MAD89
PAO68
27 Apr 2018
MAD89
PAO82
25 Apr 2018
MAD81
PAO74
08 Mar 2018
MAD92
PAO75
16 Nov 2016
MAD87
PAO84
22 Jan 2015
MAD83
PAO65
21 Mar 2013
MAD73
PAO74
12 Oct 2012
MAD85
PAO78
05 Nov 2009
MAD80
PAO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
90-85
90
85
+5
92avg 76
H25/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
77-100
77
100
-23
60avg 76
A28/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
106-101
106
101
+5
110avg 76
H30/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 76
H01/02
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
92-79
92
79
+13
93avg 76
H04/02
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-81
76
81
-5
76avg 76
A08/02
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
80-73
80
73
+7
72avg 76
A11/02
ACB
Murcia
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 76
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#3
W
95-76
95
76
+19
93avg 76
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
W
96-85
96
85
+11
76avg 76
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-13
22-17
16-25
22-30
9-25
27-32
24-21
17-22
29-18
23-27
28-28
26-28
24-18
21-17
17-15
24-29
28-18
20-26
20-14
24-21
19-23
10-25
25-18
22-15
15-24
24-18
15-15
26-16
25-17
19-17
19-22
21-23
23-17
25-22
32-16
15-21
19-19
24-26
23-18
30-22
172.0Avg total
88.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)89.079.9168.9+9.285%
Season at home (13)94.181.6175.7+12.5100%
Season away (13)84.078.2162.2+5.869%
Last 10 (10)88.283.8172.0+4.480%
Last 5 (5)86.278.8165.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)88.279.8168.0+8.5100%
vs Weaker (25)88.880.9169.8+7.976%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 76
A25/01
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
87-55
87
55
+32
87avg 76
A28/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
79-62
79
62
+17
75avg 76
H31/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
68-80
68
80
-12
61avg 76
A02/02
Euroleague
Aris
#8
L
70-73
70
73
-3
67avg 76
H05/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
74-63
74
63
+11
64avg 76
H09/02
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
90avg 76
A12/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#37
W
79-72
79
72
+7
79avg 76
H15/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#25
W
76-65
76
65
+11
68avg 76
H17/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
58-69
58
69
-11
54avg 76
H18/02
Greek Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
15-25
23-19
16-28
26-11
23-18
22-15
16-11
21-16
23-12
13-13
22-21
25-25
13-19
18-20
12-16
10-25
24-14
23-12
13-22
13-21
25-9
19-17
17-16
28-16
20-19
20-18
21-16
20-15
19-15
20-18
20-24
19-16
25-17
14-11
18-21
12-14
13-16
14-17
19-22
145.3Avg total
75.5Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.877.4158.2+3.562%
Season at home (14)82.474.0156.4+8.479%
Season away (12)79.181.3160.4-2.242%
Last 10 (10)75.569.8145.3+5.760%
Last 5 (5)75.267.6142.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.069.0127.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)83.277.2160.4+6.080%
vs Weaker (23)81.172.8153.9+8.374%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
Real MadridPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H25/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A28/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H30/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H01/02
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H04/02
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A08/02
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/02
ACB
Murcia
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H18/02
Spanish Cup
85.5Avg total
43.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.482.3+3.673%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.337.282.5+8.187%-
Last 30 away (15)40.741.582.2-0.960%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.985.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.682.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)44.539.083.5+5.575%-
vs Weaker (25)42.739.682.3+3.072%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A25/01
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A28/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H31/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A02/02
Euroleague
Aris
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H05/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H09/02
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A12/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#37
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H15/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#25
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H17/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H18/02
Greek Cup
73.6Avg total
39.5Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.536.177.5+5.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.335.476.7+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.636.778.3+4.953%-
Last 10 (10)39.534.173.6+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.831.670.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.030.055.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.839.080.8+2.860%-
vs Weaker (23)42.236.078.2+6.361%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.4
54.6%
53.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.6
37.2%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.120.0
86.6%
77.4%20.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.8
53.4%
53.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.4
30.9%
36.6%19.2
🏀 Free throws20.815.9
76.4%
77.4%15.9
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWLWWWLW
Panathinaikos
LWWWWLLWWL
#1
League position
#2
+6.8
Net rating
+8.7
119.4
Offensive rating
106.1
112.6
Defensive rating
97.4
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
15.3%
Turnover %
20.0%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.2%
3-point %
30.9%
67.2%
Assist %
56.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 106.1Defence112.6 · 97.4Shooting55.1% · 50.9%3-point %37.2% · 30.9%Ball care15.3% · 20.0%Off. rebounds30.1% · 32.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24HBarcelona96-85
17/02/24HValencia95-76
15/02/24HMurcia84-79
11/02/24ABreogan80-73
08/02/24AOlimpia Milano76-81
04/02/24HBasquet Girona92-79
01/02/24HLyon-Villeurbanne86-79
30/01/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv106-101
28/01/24AGran Canaria77-100
25/01/24HOlympiacos90-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24HOlympiacos58-69
17/02/24HAris76-65
15/02/24HAEK Athens79-72
12/02/24AAEK Athens89-69
09/02/24HFenerbahce74-63
05/02/24HAris70-73
02/02/24AZalgiris Kaunas68-80
31/01/24HOlimpia Milano79-62
28/01/24AApollon Patras87-55
25/01/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv75-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %85%100%69%
Points / game89.094.184.0
Allowed / game79.981.678.2
Point differential+9.2+12.5+5.8
Avg total168.9175.7162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)100% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %12%15%8%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %62%79%42%
Points / game80.882.479.1
Allowed / game77.474.081.3
Point differential+3.5+8.4-2.2
Avg total158.2156.4160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%57%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %12%14%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2622485%89.079.9+9.2
2 Barcelona2618869%83.078.5+4.5
3 Virtus Bologna27171063%80.780.9-0.2
4 Panathinaikos26161062%80.877.4+3.5
5 Monaco26161062%81.379.0+2.3
6 Olympiacos26151158%78.775.2+3.5
7 Fenerbahce26151158%82.680.9+1.7
8 Baskonia26141254%83.383.5-0.1
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv27141352%87.187.8-0.6
10 Partizan27131448%83.683.9-0.2
11 Valencia27131448%76.076.4-0.4
12 Olimpia Milano26111542%76.976.7+0.3
13 Zalgiris Kaunas26111542%80.380.7-0.5
14 Bayern26111542%79.682.3-2.7
15 Anadolu Efes27111641%84.888.0-3.1
16 Crvena zvezda26101638%82.080.8+1.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2652119%78.386.2-7.8
18 Alba Berlin2752219%75.985.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2412252586
Panathinaikos1827223097
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