Reggiana vs Varese Result & Analysis

Reggiana host Varese on 14 November 2026 in the Lega Basket Serie A, with the model favouring the home side at 66% versus 34% for the visitors. Reggiana are 2-5 overall, 81.7 points scored and 83.7 allowed per game, 13th in the standings, and 2-2 at home with 82.5 points for and 78.0 against; their last five games yielded one win and four losses, including a 78-83 defeat to Venezia at home on 7 November, a 94-99 loss to Unicaja on 3 November, and a 68-81 loss to Treviso on 31 October. Varese sit 4-3 overall, 87.7 points scored and 87.6 allowed, 8th in the table, and 2-1 on the road with 89.7 points for and 84.0 against; their recent five games include three wins and two losses, highlighted by a 99-88 away victory over Verona on 31 October and a 95-61 win over Bamberg on 27 October, but a 81-84 loss to Udine at home on 8 November. In the ten meetings between the clubs, Reggiana have won seven to Varese's three, most recently defeating them 76-61 on 1 February 2026. Pythia projects a 86-82 score for the game, totaling 168.1 points, with a -3.5 spread that the home team covers 56% of the time and a 170.5 total that the over is hit 43% of the time, while a 5% chance of overtime is also noted. The next game will see Reggiana try to improve on their recent struggles at home.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana winLost

66.3%fair 1.51

Best odds1.61

Implied59.5%

Edge+6.8pp

Varese winWon

33.7%fair 2.97

Best odds2.46

Implied40.5%

Edge-6.8pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Reggiana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormReggiana

Date

Competition

Trento

#11

78-83

-5

68avg 74

H26/09

Lega A

Basket Napoli

93-99

-6

83avg 74

A03/10

Lega A

Pardubice

#49

82-65

+17

82avg 74

H06/10

Champions League

Tortona

#12

93-86

91avg 74

H11/10

Lega A

Verona

#10

81-94

-13

69avg 74

A18/10

Lega A

Juventus

#19

75-76

-1

75avg 74

H21/10

Champions League

Cantu

#16

81-60

+21

74avg 74

H25/10

Lega A

Treviso

68-81

-13

57avg 74

A31/10

Lega A

Unicaja

94-99

-5

no box

A03/11

Champions League

Venezia

78-83

-5

no box

H07/11

Lega A

18-26

25-20

18-16

17-21

34-23

15-27

28-26

16-23

15-15

24-14

25-22

18-14

25-25

22-23

22-19

24-19

21-29

25-28

20-16

15-21

25-22

25-25

20-14

5-15

23-20

15-19

18-14

25-7

15-29

24-18

22-20

7-14

25-16

18-27

21-32

30-24

26-18

20-21

18-20

14-24

164.9Avg total

82.3Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	81.7	83.7	165.4	-2.0	29%
Season at home (4)	82.5	78.0	160.5	+4.5	50%
Season away (3)	80.7	91.3	172.0	-10.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	82.3	82.6	164.9	-0.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	79.8	159.0	-0.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	78.3	84.8	163.1	-6.5	10%
vs Similar (10)	85.2	83.3	168.5	+1.9	60%
vs Weaker (10)	84.1	73.8	157.9	+10.3	60%

This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVarese

Date

Competition

Scafati

#15

85-77

78avg 77

A04/10

Lega A

Murcia

58-85

-27

44avg 77

A07/10

Champions League

Trieste

85-84

82avg 77

H10/10

Lega A

Peristeri

82-85

-3

80avg 77

H13/10

Champions League

Trento

#11

85-87

-2

72avg 77

A18/10

Lega A

BC Roma

#13

110-103 OT

110

103

106avg 77

H24/10

Lega A

Bamberg

#53

95-61

+34

92avg 77

A27/10

Champions League

Verona

#10

99-88

+11

90avg 77

A31/10

Lega A

Udine

81-84

-3

no box

H08/11

Lega A

Peristeri

96-101

101

-5

no box

A11/11

Champions League

24-17

16-21

30-24

15-15

8-16

14-23

20-27

16-19

19-15

21-23

21-20

24-26

27-26

25-11

12-27

18-21

17-23

24-26

21-23

23-15

32-28

17-17

17-22

29-28

22-10

24-16

29-17

20-18

25-23

25-21

23-27

26-17

26-14

23-26

14-27

18-17

20-28

27-30

17-21

32-22

173.1Avg total

87.6Scored

85.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	87.7	87.6	175.3	+0.1	57%
Season at home (4)	86.2	90.2	176.5	-4.0	50%
Season away (3)	89.7	84.0	173.7	+5.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	85.5	173.1	+2.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	96.2	87.4	183.6	+8.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	84.4	91.2	175.6	-6.8	33%
vs Similar (14)	87.4	86.9	174.2	+0.5	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	91.0	78.2	169.2	+12.8	75%

This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 170 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%). The market's main line is 169.25.

Over/Under 164Actual: Over 164

Over 164

62.4%

@ 1.55+2.7pp

Under 164

37.6%

@ 2.30-2.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.55

Marathon Be

1.54

Under

Bet365

2.30

Over/Under 169.25 · main lineActual: Over 169.25

Over 169.25

49.2%

@ 1.79-1.3pp

Under 169.25

50.8%

@ 1.83+1.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.79

Under

1xBet

1.83

Over/Under 174Actual: Over 174

Over 174

38.4%

@ 2.50-0.8pp

Under 174

61.6%

@ 1.55+0.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Marathon Be

2.24

Under

Marathon Be

1.55

Bet365

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Reggiana total 83.5Actual: Reggiana over 83.5

Over 83.5

63.6%

@ 1.60+4.2pp

Under 83.5

36.4%

@ 2.50-4.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.60

Betano

1.55

Bet365

1.50

1xBet

1.46

Under

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.25

WilliamHill

2.25

1xBet

2.15

Reggiana total 87.5 · main lineActual: Reggiana under 87.5

Over 87.5

48.7%

@ 2.10+2.5pp

Under 87.5

51.3%

@ 1.83-2.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

2.10

Marathon Be

2.00

Betano

2.00

1xBet

1.87

Bet365

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.72

Betano

1.70

WilliamHill

1.67

1xBet

1.61

Reggiana total 91.5Actual: Reggiana under 91.5

Over 91.5

34.0%

@ 2.75+0.5pp

Under 91.5

66.0%

@ 1.44-0.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.75

1xBet

2.63

Bet365

2.62

Under

Bet365

1.44

Betano

1.35

1xBet

1.33

Varese total 79.5Actual: Varese over 79.5

Over 79.5

60.3%

@ 1.54-1.3pp

Under 79.5

39.7%

@ 2.35+1.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.54

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.41

Under

Betano

2.35

Bet365

2.35

1xBet

2.28

Varese total 83.5 · main lineActual: Varese over 83.5

Over 83.5

44.9%

@ 1.91-3.7pp

Under 83.5

55.1%

@ 1.83+3.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.91

WilliamHill

1.91

Betano

1.90

BetVictor

1.88

Bet365

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

WilliamHill

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.78

Varese total 87.5Actual: Varese over 87.5

Over 87.5

30.5%

@ 2.72-5.0pp

Under 87.5

69.5%

@ 1.40+5.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.72

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.46

Under

Betano

1.40

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Reggiana's side (positive = Reggiana win). Pythia's expected margin is +4.8; Reggiana win by 1+ in 58% of simulations.

Spread Reggiana -6.5Actual: Varese +6.5

REG -6.5

44.9%

@ 2.35+5.1pp

VAR +6.5

55.1%

@ 1.60-5.1pp

Best 5 market prices

REG

Marathon Be

2.35

Bet365

2.35

Betano

2.27

1xBet

2.23

VAR

Betano

1.60

Marathon Be

1.56

Bet365

1.55

1xBet

1.47

Spread Reggiana -3.5 · main lineActual: Varese +3.5

REG -3.5

56.2%

@ 1.89+5.7pp

VAR +3.5

43.8%

@ 1.93-5.7pp

Best 5 market prices

REG

1xBet

1.89

Marathon Be

1.89

Pinnacle

1.89

Betano

1.87

Bet365

1.86

VAR

Pinnacle

1.93

1xBet

1.91

Marathon Be

1.91

Betano

1.87

Bet365

1.86

Spread Reggiana -0.5Actual: Varese +0.5

REG -0.5

66.3%

VAR +0.5

33.7%

Best 5 market prices

REG

No market prices yet.

VAR

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ReggianaVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.2	50%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	57%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	21.9	42.4	-1.5	44%	56%
Last 10 (10)	22.7	22.3	45.0	+0.4	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.0	43.8	+1.8	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.4	21.7	41.1	-2.3	40%	50%
vs Similar (10)	22.6	22.3	44.9	+0.3	50%	80%
vs Weaker (10)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.5	60%	40%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.9	41.9	-2.0	43%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	22.5	43.9	-1.1	57%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	21.4	40.1	-2.8	31%	38%
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	25.0	20.6	45.6	+4.4	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.8	25.6	44.4	-6.8	17%	67%
vs Similar (14)	20.4	19.9	40.2	+0.5	57%	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	75%	25%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.2	41.9	+1.4	43%	40%
Last 30 at home (14)	24.0	19.3	43.3	+4.7	57%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	21.1	40.6	-1.5	31%	31%
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.2	43.5	-0.9	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	30%	40%
vs Similar (10)	22.8	21.1	43.9	+1.7	40%	50%
vs Weaker (10)	22.5	18.0	40.5	+4.5	60%	30%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+1.0	40%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	19.7	42.6	+3.2	50%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	22.4	43.9	-1.0	31%	56%
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.0	45.2	+1.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	23.1	20.8	43.8	+2.3	42%	58%
vs Similar (14)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	36%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.2	50%	50%

ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

#11

43-46

-3

H26/09

Lega A

Basket Napoli

49-50

-1

A03/10

Lega A

Pardubice

#49

39-29

+10

H06/10

Champions League

Tortona

#12

47-48

-1

H11/10

Lega A

Verona

#10

46-57

-11

A18/10

Lega A

Juventus

#19

50-47

H21/10

Champions League

Cantu

#16

38-39

-1

H25/10

Lega A

Treviso

39-47

-8

A31/10

Lega A

Unicaja

43-43

A03/11

Champions League

Venezia

46-39

H07/11

Lega A

88.5Avg total

44.0Scored

44.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.75
Last 30 (30)	42.3	41.1	83.4	+1.2	47%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	45.0	38.9	83.9	+6.1	64%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	40.0	43.0	83.0	-3.0	31%	50%
Last 10 (10)	44.0	44.5	88.5	-0.5	30%	80%
Last 5 (5)	43.2	43.0	86.2	+0.2	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	39.0	43.3	82.3	-4.3	20%	50%
vs Similar (10)	45.4	43.4	88.8	+2.0	50%	70%
vs Weaker (10)	42.6	36.6	79.2	+6.0	70%	30%

This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Scafati

#15

40-38

A04/10

Lega A

Murcia

22-39

-17

A07/10

Champions League

Trieste

40-38

H10/10

Lega A

Peristeri

52-37

+15

H13/10

Champions League

Trento

#11

41-49

-8

A18/10

Lega A

BC Roma

#13

49-45

H24/10

Lega A

Bamberg

#53

46-26

+20

A27/10

Champions League

Verona

#10

50-44

A31/10

Lega A

Udine

49-40

H08/11

Lega A

Peristeri

47-58

-11

A11/11

Champions League

85.0Avg total

43.6Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.75
Last 30 (30)	42.1	43.1	85.2	-1.0	47%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	44.4	42.2	86.6	+2.1	57%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	43.9	84.0	-3.8	38%	56%
Last 10 (10)	43.6	41.4	85.0	+2.2	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	48.2	42.6	90.8	+5.6	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	41.9	46.3	88.2	-4.4	25%	75%
vs Similar (14)	41.6	41.4	83.1	+0.2	57%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	44.2	39.2	83.5	+5.0	75%	50%

This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Varese win

REG win

62.0%

@ 1.65+3.1pp

VAR win

38.0%

@ 2.32-3.1pp

1st half Spread Reggiana -2 · main lineActual: Varese +2

REG -2

53.2%

@ 1.93+3.9pp

VAR +2

46.8%

@ 1.88-3.9pp

1st half Over/Under 84.75 · main lineActual: Over 84.75

Over

49.9%

@ 1.83+0.2pp

Under

50.1%

@ 1.81-0.2pp

Reggiana 1st half total 43 · main lineActual: Reggiana under 43

Over

53.6%

@ 1.87+4.7pp

Under

46.4%

@ 1.87-4.7pp

Varese 1st half total 42 · main lineActual: Varese over 42

Over

43.1%

@ 1.88-6.1pp

Under

56.9%

@ 1.86+6.1pp

1st half: REG + total 84.5

REG & over

30.0%

@ 3.20+2.8pp

REG & under

29.3%

@ 3.35+3.3pp

1st half: Draw + total 84.5

Draw & over

1.8%

@ 26.00-1.5pp

Draw & under

2.4%

@ 26.00-1.0pp

1st half: VAR + total 84.5

VAR & over

18.0%

@ 4.25-2.5pp

VAR & under

18.4%

@ 4.50-1.0pp

1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5

Over

53.9%

@ 1.83+0.3pp

Under

46.1%

@ 2.05-0.3pp

1st half Over/Under 86Actual: Over 86

Over

43.8%

@ 1.92-5.1pp

Under

56.2%

@ 1.82+5.1pp

1st half Spread Reggiana -3Actual: Varese +3

REG -3

48.9%

@ 2.12+4.1pp

VAR +3

51.1%

@ 1.72-4.1pp

1st half Spread Reggiana -1Actual: Varese +1

REG -1

57.6%

@ 1.86+3.6pp

VAR +1

42.4%

@ 2.07-3.6pp

1st half Over/Under 82.25Actual: Over 82.25

Over

57.5%

@ 1.72+4.9pp

Under

42.5%

@ 1.91-4.9pp

1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Over 87.5

Over

38.5%

@ 2.38-0.9pp

Under

61.5%

@ 1.53+0.9pp

1st half Spread Reggiana 0Actual: Varese 0

REG 0

62.0%

@ 1.72+7.1pp

VAR 0

38.0%

@ 2.07-7.1pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Varese (regulation)

REG

59.4%

@ 1.78+6.0pp

Draw

4.2%

@ 21.00-1.5pp

VAR

36.4%

@ 2.25-5.3pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.0	39.9	+1.8	63%	33%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.1	38.6	+2.3	64%	21%
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	62%	44%
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	80%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	60%	40%
vs Similar (10)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	20%
vs Weaker (10)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	70%	40%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.8	44.3	-1.3	37%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	22.8	41.6	-3.9	29%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	23.8	22.8	46.6	+0.9	44%	81%
Last 10 (10)	20.4	23.5	43.9	-3.1	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.8	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.3	24.1	45.4	-2.8	33%	67%
vs Similar (14)	20.4	21.7	42.1	-1.4	36%	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	25.8	22.8	48.5	+3.0	50%	100%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.1	43%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	31%	56%
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.2	35.3	-1.1	40%	20%
Last 5 (5)	16.2	16.8	33.0	-0.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.6	30%	40%
vs Similar (10)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	40%	40%
vs Weaker (10)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	40%	60%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	22.6	21.3	43.9	+1.3	60%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.3	64%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	22.9	21.6	44.5	+1.4	56%	62%
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.8	41.9	+2.3	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	25.0	20.4	45.4	+4.6	100%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.2	20.8	41.9	+0.4	42%	50%
vs Similar (14)	24.3	23.1	47.4	+1.1	71%	79%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.0	16.2	37.2	+4.8	75%	25%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.5
Last 30 (30)	40.2	39.5	79.7	+0.7	43%	30%
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	36.7	75.8	+2.4	50%	7%
Last 30 away (16)	41.2	42.0	83.2	-0.8	38%	50%
Last 10 (10)	38.3	38.1	76.4	+0.2	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	36.0	36.8	72.8	-0.8	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	39.3	41.5	80.8	-2.2	40%	30%
vs Similar (10)	39.8	39.9	79.7	-0.1	30%	30%
vs Weaker (10)	41.5	37.2	78.7	+4.3	60%	30%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.5
Last 30 (30)	44.1	44.1	88.1	+0.0	43%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	43.7	84.8	-2.6	29%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	46.7	44.4	91.1	+2.3	56%	75%
Last 10 (10)	42.5	43.3	85.8	-0.8	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	45.0	43.2	88.2	+1.8	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	42.5	44.8	87.3	-2.3	42%	58%
vs Similar (14)	44.6	44.9	89.5	-0.2	29%	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	46.8	39.0	85.8	+7.8	100%	75%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

REG win + total 169.5

🔒 Pro

VAR win + total 169.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: REG leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: VAR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (REG:VAR): REG wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Q2: Over 37.5	74.0%	1.47	1xBet 1.47	-	-	-	-	+14.5pp	Won
1st half: Reggiana +3.5	74.5%	1.36	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Lost
Reggiana +8.5	86.7%	1.19	Betano 1.19	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Lost
Reggiana +7.5	84.8%	1.22	Betano 1.22	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Lost
Reggiana +5.5	80.3%	1.28	1xBet 1.33	Betano 1.29	Bet365 1.25	Marathon Bet 1.24	-	+9.0pp	Lost
Reggiana +4.5	77.7%	1.32	1xBet 1.38	Betano 1.34	Marathon Bet 1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	+9.0pp	Lost
1st half: Varese under 46.5	79.0%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Lost
Q4: Reggiana +4.5	78.1%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
2nd half: Reggiana over 37.5	78.0%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Q4: Reggiana under 25.5	76.8%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Lost
Under 180	74.3%	1.38	Marathon Bet 1.39	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Lost
1st half: Reggiana over 37.5	80.4%	1.25	1xBet 1.27	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Q4: Reggiana +3.5	73.6%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
1st half: Reggiana over 38.5	76.3%	1.31	Bet365 1.32	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Reggiana +2.5	72.3%	1.49	Betfair 1.91	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.40	Marathon Bet 1.39	1xBet 1.31	+7.3pp	Lost
Varese under 94.5	87.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Lost
Reggiana over 75.5	86.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Reggiana +6.5	82.7%	1.23	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Lost
Q1: Under 49.5	84.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Lost
Under 182.5	78.3%	1.29	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Lost
2nd half: Reggiana over 38.5	73.6%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Q1: Varese under 23.5	72.8%	1.38	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.36	-	-	+6.8pp	Lost
Q4: Varese under 24.5	76.3%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Q1: Varese under 24.5	79.1%	1.26	1xBet 1.27	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Lost
1st half: Reggiana +2.5	71.0%	1.41	1xBet 1.44	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.38	-	-	+6.6pp	Lost
1st half: Reggiana +4.5	77.7%	1.28	1xBet 1.30	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Lost
Reggiana over 76.5	84.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Q2: Reggiana over 18.5	73.8%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana +2.5	70.8%	1.40	1xBet 1.41	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Lost
2nd half: Varese over 36.5	73.3%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Reggiana +2	71.3%	1.42	Marathon Bet 1.42	Bet365 1.41	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Lost
Q4: Varese over 17.5	72.5%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Q4: Reggiana over 18.5	73.0%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Under 187.5	85.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Reggiana under 108.5	97.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Reggiana over 78.5	79.4%	1.25	Bet365 1.27	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Varese under 90.5	78.6%	1.27	Bet365 1.29	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Lost
Varese under 100.5	95.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Q1: Under 47.5	77.1%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Lost
Reggiana over 74.5	88.4%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
2nd half: Reggiana +4.5	75.7%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
1st half: Varese under 45.5	74.6%	1.32	1xBet 1.33	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Lost
Varese under 91.5	81.2%	1.22	Betano 1.24	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Lost
Varese under 105.5	98.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
1st half: Reggiana over 36.5	83.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
1st half: Reggiana over 39.5	71.7%	1.37	1xBet 1.38	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Q2: Varese under 23.5	73.5%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Reggiana over 66.5	97.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana +3.5	75.4%	1.31	1xBet 1.32	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Lost
Reggiana over 68.5	96.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Varese under 104.5	97.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
1st half: Reggiana over 32.5	94.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Reggiana under 107.5	97.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Q1: Varese under 25.5	84.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Lost
Reggiana +16.5	95.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Reggiana over 65.5	97.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Reggiana +4	77.1%	1.29	Bet365 1.30	Marathon Bet 1.29	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Lost
Varese under 98.5	93.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Lost
Q1: Varese under 29.5	96.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Lost
Reggiana over 64.5	98.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Reggiana +3.5	74.9%	1.33	Betano 1.38	Bet365 1.34	Marathon Bet 1.33	1xBet 1.28	-	+5.6pp	Lost
Reggiana over 72.5	91.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Varese under 96.5	91.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Lost
Q1: Reggiana under 30.5	95.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Reggiana over 70.5	94.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Varese under 102.5	96.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Varese under 88.5	72.8%	1.35	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.34	1xBet 1.31	-	-	+5.4pp	Lost
Q1: Reggiana over 12.5	96.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Under 181.5	76.6%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Lost
Reggiana over 79.5	76.6%	1.27	1xBet 1.28	Betano 1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Reggiana +5	79.8%	1.25	Marathon Bet 1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Lost
Under 197.5	94.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Reggiana +3	74.2%	1.35	Marathon Bet 1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Lost
1st half: Reggiana over 34.5	89.6%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Q1: Varese under 27.5	91.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Lost
Varese under 103.5	97.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Reggiana over 67.5	96.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Q3: Reggiana over 18.5	71.5%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Lost
Q1: Varese under 28.5	94.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Lost
2nd half: Reggiana +3.5	72.0%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
2nd half: Varese +8.5	74.6%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana under 31.5	97.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Varese over 63.5	96.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Varese under 89.5	75.8%	1.27	Betano 1.29	Bet365 1.29	1xBet 1.24	-	-	+5.1pp	Lost
Reggiana over 80.5	73.6%	1.33	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.32	1xBet 1.29	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Varese over 61.5	97.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Varese over 62.5	97.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Reggiana under 106.5	96.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Q1: Under 48.5	81.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Lost
Varese under 99.5	94.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Q1: Varese under 31.5	98.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Lost
Under 192.5	91.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Reggiana +15.5	95.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Reggiana over 69.5	95.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Q1: Varese under 30.5	97.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Lost
Q1: Reggiana over 13.5	95.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Varese under 101.5	96.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana under 26.5	82.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Reggiana under 103.5	93.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
2nd half: Varese +7.5	71.2%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Varese under 92.5	83.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Lost
1st half: Reggiana over 35.5	87.0%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
2nd half: Varese under 45.5	73.5%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
1st half: Varese under 51.5	93.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Lost
Reggiana over 71.5	93.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Q3: Varese over 17.5	71.1%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana under 32.5	98.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Reggiana +11.5	91.3%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Reggiana under 105.5	95.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
1st half: Reggiana +6.5	83.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Reggiana over 81.5	70.4%	1.36	Betano 1.38	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Varese over 65.5	94.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.2%	1.02	WilliamHill 1.04	Betano 1.02	1xBet 1.01	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
1st half: Reggiana over 33.5	92.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Reggiana +21.5	98.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Varese under 97.5	92.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Lost
Reggiana under 104.5	94.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Under 195.5	93.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana over 11.5	98.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Q1: Varese over 11.5	96.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Q3: Varese under 23.5	73.8%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Lost
Varese +24.5	94.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Varese under 93.5	85.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Lost
Varese over 64.5	95.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana under 29.5	93.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Over 143.5	94.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana under 28.5	91.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Under 178	70.3%	1.38	Bet365 1.40	Marathon Bet 1.35	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Lost
1st half: Under 94.5	83.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Lost
Q1: Varese over 12.5	94.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana over 18.5	74.6%	1.29	1xBet 1.31	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Lost
2nd half: Reggiana under 47.5	73.0%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Q1: Varese under 26.5	88.6%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Lost
Under 185.5	83.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Reggiana over 77.5	81.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Varese over 67.5	92.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Reggiana +20.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Reggiana under 97.5	83.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Q1: Varese over 10.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Q4: Varese +5.5	73.5%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Lost
1st half: Varese under 47.5	82.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Lost
Reggiana under 101.5	91.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Reggiana over 73.5	90.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Reggiana under 99.5	87.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
1st half: Varese under 49.5	89.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Q1: Reggiana or Varese	94.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Varese under 95.5	89.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Varese +29.5	97.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana over 14.5	92.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Q4: Reggiana under 24.5	70.6%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Lost
1st half: Reggiana +8.5	88.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Lost
Reggiana +10.5	89.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Lost
Q1: Reggiana +5.5	83.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Lost
1st half: Reggiana under 53.5	91.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Q3: Reggiana under 24.5	72.9%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Q1: Under 46.5	72.6%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Lost
1st half: Under 90.5	71.7%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Lost
Reggiana under 102.5	92.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Varese over 66.5	93.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Q1: Over 36.5	79.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Varese +28.5	97.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Varese +23.5	94.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana under 27.5	87.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
1st half: Under 92.5	77.9%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Lost
1st half: Reggiana under 51.5	86.5%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Under 179	72.4%	1.35	Marathon Bet 1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Lost
Varese over 72.5	82.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Under 180.5	74.8%	1.32	Marathon Bet 1.38	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.29	-	-	+3.3pp	Lost
Q1: Varese over 13.5	92.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Over 153.5	82.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Varese over 69.5	89.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana under 24.5	70.2%	1.36	Betano 1.39	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.30	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana over 15.5	89.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
1st half: Varese over 31.5	90.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Under 190.5	89.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
1st half: Varese over 33.5	85.2%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Varese over 71.5	85.2%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Over 148.5	89.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Over 145.5	92.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Varese over 68.5	91.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Q4: Varese under 23.5	70.1%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Q2: Varese over 17.5	71.3%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Over 158.5	73.9%	1.30	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Under 193.5	91.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Reggiana under 100.5	89.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana over 17.5	80.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Varese over 73.5	80.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
1st half: Reggiana under 52.5	89.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Q1: Varese over 14.5	89.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Q2: Reggiana or Varese	94.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
1st half: Varese over 35.5	77.6%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Under 179.5	72.9%	1.32	Marathon Bet 1.34	Bet365 1.34	Betano 1.28	-	-	+2.3pp	Lost
Varese +19.5	89.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana over 16.5	85.2%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Q1: Reggiana under 25.5	76.6%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
1st half: Over 74.5	82.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
1st half: Reggiana under 50.5	83.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
1st half: Reggiana under 49.5	79.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Varese over 75.5	74.3%	1.26	Bet365 1.27	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Reggiana under 96.5	81.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Varese +14.5	79.8%	1.19	Betano 1.19	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Q2: Reggiana under 24.5	70.2%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Reggiana under 94.5	75.7%	1.23	Betano 1.24	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Reggiana under 98.5	85.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
1st half: Over 78.5	71.3%	1.33	WilliamHill 1.36	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Q1: Varese over 16.5	79.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Q1: Over 38.5	70.8%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Q1: Varese over 17.5	72.9%	1.27	1xBet 1.28	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Varese over 70.5	87.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Over 159.5	71.9%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Varese +18.5	87.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Reggiana under 93.5	72.6%	1.29	Bet365 1.32	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Over 147.5	90.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
1st half: Over 76.5	77.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Q1: Varese +6.5	77.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Varese +12.5	74.6%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
1st half: Reggiana under 47.5	70.9%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Under 188.5	87.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Reggiana under 95.5	78.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Q1: Varese over 15.5	84.4%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Under 183.5	80.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Over 150.5	87.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Under 178.5	70.9%	1.32	Marathon Bet 1.34	Betano 1.32	Bet365 1.30	-	-	+0.3pp	Lost
Q1: Over 37.5	75.5%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
1st half: Reggiana under 48.5	75.4%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Varese +13.5	77.3%	1.20	Betano 1.22	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Won
Over 155.5	79.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.0pp	Won
Varese over 74.5	77.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Varese over 76.5	71.0%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
1st half: Varese +11.5	82.3%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Varese +11.5	71.8%	1.25	Betano 1.29	Bet365 1.26	Marathon Bet 1.21	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
1st half: Varese +9.5	76.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
Over 152.5	84.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
Varese +11	70.9%	1.25	Bet365 1.27	Marathon Bet 1.22	-	-	-	-2.5pp	Won
Over 157.5	75.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Won
Reggiana +6	82.2%	1.20	Marathon Bet 1.20	-	-	-	-	-	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 78.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game

46%

33%

21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	18.1	51.0%	54.3%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	9.7	32.7%	34.3%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	19.7	13.6	69.0%	74.6%	13.6

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game

46%

33%

21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	18.0	50.7%	54.3%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	10.5	36.3%	34.3%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	24.7	17.1	69.2%	74.6%	17.1

They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.5	16.3	50.2%	54.3%	32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	10.1	32.5%	34.3%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	22.9	17.6	76.9%	74.6%	17.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	20.5	59.1%	54.3%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	8.7	29.6%	34.3%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	25.2	18.6	73.8%	74.6%	18.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	20.5	52.7%	54.3%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	9.3	33.9%	34.3%	27.8
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.4	68.7%	74.6%	13.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	19.8	56.0%	54.3%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.2	10.3	33.0%	34.3%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.6	72.3%	74.6%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	17.7	53.3%	54.3%	35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	8.2	29.7%	34.3%	24.7
🏀 Free throws	24.4	18.7	76.9%	74.6%	18.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	20.6	56.1%	54.3%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	8.6	30.5%	34.3%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	23.5	17.8	75.7%	74.6%	17.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Reggiana

LLLWLLWWLL

Varese

LLWWWLLWLW

#14

League position

-1.8

Net rating

-1.2

90.0

Offensive rating

91.5

91.9

Defensive rating

92.7

50.1%

Effective FG%

52.4%

49.4%

Opp. effective FG%

52.3%

15.1%

Turnover %

18.5%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.38

32.7%

3-point %

36.3%

67.3%

Assist %

66.7%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Reggiana ■ Varese

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Reggiana wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
01/02/26	Varese v Reggiana	61-76
19/10/25	Reggiana v Varese	103-79
16/03/25	Varese v Reggiana	63-78
22/12/24	Reggiana v Varese	97-80
17/03/24	Reggiana v Varese	113-80
29/12/23	Varese v Reggiana	116-93
08/04/23	Varese v Reggiana	81-85
22/10/22	Reggiana v Varese	81-87
18/02/22	Reggiana v Varese	82-84
24/10/21	Varese v Reggiana	67-106

Reggianalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	H	Venezia	78-83
03/11/26	A	Unicaja	94-99
31/10/26	A	Treviso	68-81
25/10/26	H	Cantu	81-60
21/10/26	H	Juventus	75-76
18/10/26	A	Verona	81-94
11/10/26	H	Tortona	93-86
06/10/26	H	Pardubice	82-65
03/10/26	A	Basket Napoli	93-99
26/09/26	H	Trento	78-83

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	A	Peristeri	96-101
08/11/26	H	Udine	81-84
31/10/26	A	Verona	99-88
27/10/26	A	Bamberg	95-61
24/10/26	H	BC Roma	110-103 OT
18/10/26	A	Trento	85-87
13/10/26	H	Peristeri	82-85
10/10/26	H	Trieste	85-84
07/10/26	A	Murcia	58-85
04/10/26	A	Scafati	85-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana

Lega A 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	29%
Home	LWWL	50%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	29%	50%	0%
Points / game	81.7	82.5	80.7
Allowed / game	83.7	78.0	91.3
Point differential	-2.0	+4.5	-10.7
Avg total	165.4	160.5	172.0
Over 169.25	43%	25%	67%
Win by 10+	14%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Varese

Lega A 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	57%
Home	LWWL	50%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	57%	50%	67%
Points / game	87.7	86.2	89.7
Allowed / game	87.6	90.2	84.0
Point differential	+0.1	-4.0	+5.7
Avg total	175.3	176.5	173.7
Over 169.25	43%	25%	67%
Win by 10+	14%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	14%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Virtus Bologna	7	6	1	86%	96.4	86.0	+10.4
2	Basket Napoli	7	6	1	86%	93.7	86.6	+7.1
3	Olimpia Milano	7	5	2	71%	90.9	82.7	+8.1
4	Maxima Roma	7	5	2	71%	88.1	83.7	+4.4
5	Treviso	7	5	2	71%	90.7	88.6	+2.1
6	Trieste	7	4	3	57%	94.4	88.4	+6.0
7	Udine	7	4	3	57%	81.3	80.3	+1.0
8	Varese	7	4	3	57%	87.7	87.6	+0.1
9	Venezia	7	4	3	57%	87.9	88.6	-0.7
10	Verona	7	3	4	43%	88.4	91.1	-2.7
11	Trento	7	3	4	43%	80.4	83.6	-3.1
12	BC Roma	7	2	5	29%	100.1	99.3	+0.9
13	Reggiana	7	2	5	29%	81.7	83.7	-2.0
14	Tortona	7	2	5	29%	83.7	91.0	-7.3
15	Scafati	7	1	6	14%	81.6	92.0	-10.4
16	Cantu	7	0	7	0%	76.9	90.9	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Reggiana	18	22	18	26	84
Varese	34	21	25	19	99

← all games of the day

Reggiana vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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