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Varese vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-86
27-21 12-27 21-20 17-18
Position#12
Record2-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game95.1
Allowed / game103.6
vs
Venezia 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record3-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game73.8
ItalyLega ARound 9· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Varese v Venezia
22 Nov 2026
VAR v VEN
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
VAR94
VEN106
01 Dec 2024
VAR77
VEN86
14 Jan 2024
VAR92
VEN103
19 Nov 2022
VAR93
VEN90
15 Jan 2022
VAR76
VEN68
14 Apr 2021
VAR75
VEN77
17 Nov 2019
VAR93
VEN91
31 Mar 2019
VAR87
VEN79
01 Oct 2017
VAR62
VEN80
27 Dec 2016
VAR60
VEN73
10 Apr 2016
VAR79
VEN68
15 Feb 2015
VAR53
VEN67
27 Oct 2013
VAR84
VEN72
18 May 2013
VAR84
VEN75
12 May 2013
VAR81
VEN72
10 May 2013
VAR92
VEN74
13 Jan 2013
VAR85
VEN87
26 Nov 2011
VAR73
VEN67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
95-100
95
100
-5
82avg 81
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
96-78
96
78
+18
89avg 81
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
94-118
94
118
-24
81avg 81
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
95-105
95
105
-10
86avg 81
H06/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
100-106
100
106
-6
85avg 81
A13/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
100-109
100
109
-9
94avg 81
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
102-95
102
95
+7
93avg 81
H27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
81-107
81
107
-26
66avg 81
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
104-95
104
95
+9
100avg 81
H10/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
85-94
85
94
-9
73avg 81
A16/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
30-27
25-19
21-23
26-19
28-23
23-15
19-21
24-29
28-28
23-36
19-25
28-29
32-22
13-31
22-23
27-25
31-25
14-29
28-27
33-24
24-28
21-27
22-30
26-18
21-32
31-14
24-31
15-27
17-23
21-24
28-33
24-22
27-22
25-30
28-21
25-27
25-22
21-18
14-27
195.9Avg total
95.2Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)95.1103.6198.8-8.525%
Season at home (4)100.2101.0201.2-0.850%
Season away (4)90.0106.2196.2-16.20%
Last 10 (10)95.2100.7195.9-5.530%
Last 5 (5)94.4100.0194.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)87.296.3183.5-9.123%
vs Similar (15)91.988.1179.9+3.860%
vs Weaker (2)84.080.5164.5+3.550%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
77-64
77
64
+13
76avg 74
A20/10
Lega A
Hamburg
#17
W
80-68
80
68
+12
81avg 74
H22/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
66avg 74
H27/10
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
73avg 74
A30/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#14
W
81-80
81
80
+1
73avg 74
A03/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
66-94
66
94
-28
44avg 74
A06/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
75avg 74
A10/11
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#8
W
75-67
75
67
+8
80avg 74
H13/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
L
59-62
59
62
-3
50avg 74
H17/11
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#18
W
100-93 OT
100
93
+7
100avg 74
A28/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
14-14
24-17
19-15
22-16
24-15
16-17
18-20
19-23
18-17
18-17
20-12
24-20
22-19
21-17
11-30
21-26
15-20
15-19
30-15
20-24
9-23
22-22
15-25
20-24
12-20
17-22
29-13
12-10
18-14
25-22
20-21
13-15
15-16
11-15
20-16
20-30
20-17
22-23
24-16
153.1Avg total
76.9Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.973.8146.6-0.938%
Season at home (4)69.271.2140.5-2.025%
Season away (4)76.576.2152.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)76.976.2153.1+0.760%
Last 5 (5)75.679.0154.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.189.2165.4-13.112%
vs Similar (11)76.677.9154.5-1.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.576.8161.3+7.780%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
VareseVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H06/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A13/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H10/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A16/11
Lega A
101.3Avg total
51.0Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.846.292.0-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.146.294.3+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)43.846.290.1-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)51.050.3101.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)47.449.096.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)46.749.195.8-2.454%-
vs Similar (15)45.344.089.3+1.347%-
vs Weaker (2)43.544.588.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A20/10
Lega A
Hamburg
#17
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H22/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H27/10
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A30/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#14
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A06/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A10/11
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#8
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H13/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H17/11
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#18
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/11
Eurocup
73.9Avg total
35.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.841.879.6-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.139.979.0-0.733%-
Last 30 away (15)36.543.780.1-7.233%-
Last 10 (10)35.838.173.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)31.838.670.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.548.984.4-13.40%-
vs Similar (11)37.837.875.6+0.055%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.040.781.7+0.340%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.8
54.8%
52.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.9
35.3%
35.8%35.7
🏀 Free throws23.119.0
82.3%
76.8%19.0
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.4
54.6%
52.9%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.5
27.2%
35.8%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.413.6
73.9%
76.8%13.6
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLWLLLLWL
Venezia
WLWLLWLWWW
#12
League position
#8
-6.8
Net rating
+0.9
116.8
Offensive rating
101.0
123.7
Defensive rating
100.1
53.9%
Effective FG%
49.4%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
14.0%
Turnover %
19.4%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.3%
3-point %
27.2%
51.4%
Assist %
65.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 101.0Defence123.7 · 100.1Shooting53.9% · 49.4%3-point %35.3% · 27.2%Ball care14.0% · 19.4%Off. rebounds26.3% · 29.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
14/01/24Varese v Venezia92-103
29/10/23Venezia v Varese102-88
23/04/23Venezia v Varese92-81
19/11/22Varese v Venezia93-90
13/02/22Venezia v Varese82-93
15/01/22Varese v Venezia76-68
14/04/21Varese v Venezia75-77
20/12/20Venezia v Varese86-77
17/11/19Varese v Venezia93-91 OT
31/03/19Varese v Venezia87-79
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24AScafati85-94
10/11/24HVirtus Bologna104-95
03/11/24ATrieste81-107
27/10/24HPistoia102-95
19/10/24HTrapani100-109
13/10/24ATrento100-106
06/10/24HTortona95-105
29/09/24ABrescia94-118
05/05/24APistoia96-78
28/04/24HTreviso95-100
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24ALietkabelis100-93 OT
17/11/24HReggiana59-62
13/11/24HTurk Telekom75-67
10/11/24AOlimpia Milano78-79
06/11/24AHapoel Jerusalem66-94
03/11/24ABasket Napoli81-80
30/10/24ACluj-Napoca78-86
27/10/24HScafati75-69
22/10/24HHamburg80-68
20/10/24APistoia77-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL25%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game95.1100.290.0
Allowed / game103.6101.0106.2
Point differential-8.5-0.8-16.2
Avg total198.8201.2196.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL38%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game72.969.276.5
Allowed / game73.871.276.2
Point differential-0.9-2.0+0.2
Avg total146.6140.5152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento880100%88.277.0+11.2
2 Virtus Bologna87188%87.882.5+5.2
3 Trapani86275%93.985.4+8.5
4 Brescia86275%91.486.5+4.9
5 Olimpia Milano96367%84.883.8+1.0
6 Trieste85362%89.286.2+3.0
7 Reggiana85362%78.076.1+1.9
8 Tortona95456%84.682.7+1.9
9 Treviso94544%84.485.4-1.0
10 Venezia83538%72.973.8-0.9
11 Scafati83538%84.888.2-3.5
12 Pistoia93633%78.382.2-3.9
13 Sassari82625%81.686.5-4.9
14 Varese82625%95.1103.6-8.5
15 Cremona81712%76.582.2-5.8
16 Basket Napoli8080%79.888.8-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2712211777
Venezia2127201886
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