PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

South East Melbourne vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 111-94
35-29 29-18 22-17 25-30
Position#2
Record22-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game92.8
South East Melbourne 🏆
Australia
vs
Perth
Australia
Position#5
Record21-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game86.1
AustraliaNBL· John Cain Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · South East Melbourne v Perth
24 Jan 2027
SOUT v PERT
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
SOUT v PERT
upcoming
04 Mar 2026
SOUT111
PERT94
10 Jan 2026
SOUT97
PERT107
02 Nov 2025
SOUT94
PERT89
03 Nov 2024
SOUT100
PERT76
27 Jan 2024
SOUT91
PERT103
01 Oct 2023
SOUT110
PERT99
09 Feb 2023
SOUT99
PERT106
22 Jan 2023
SOUT112
PERT91
26 Feb 2022
SOUT86
PERT80
05 Feb 2022
SOUT79
PERT101
14 Feb 2021
SOUT96
PERT71
11 Feb 2021
SOUT75
PERT106
08 Dec 2019
SOUT98
PERT108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South East Melbourne winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
L
97-107
97
107
-10
83avg 88
H10/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
108-89
108
89
+19
no box
A18/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
123-116
123
116
+7
116avg 88
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
118-91
118
91
+27
118avg 88
H24/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
93-101
93
101
-8
79avg 88
A28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
97-77
97
77
+20
89avg 88
A31/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
114-83
114
83
+31
100avg 88
A05/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
88-114
88
114
-26
68avg 88
H08/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
120-104
120
104
+16
118avg 88
H14/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
91-95
91
95
-4
78avg 88
A19/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
24-26
25-21
22-28
31-23
22-20
28-26
27-20
38-28
36-26
26-31
23-31
16-26
33-26
32-15
37-24
32-24
19-25
26-26
16-26
18-18
30-22
23-16
26-21
17-20
35-32
34-15
28-16
29-33
25-22
23-30
11-29
32-34
35-22
35-23
18-25
23-33
19-19
30-16
19-27
202.6Avg total
104.9Scored
97.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)100.792.8193.5+8.067%
Season at home (16)103.793.8197.5+9.969%
Season away (17)97.991.8189.7+6.265%
Last 10 (10)104.997.7202.6+7.260%
Last 5 (5)102.094.6196.6+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)108.0108.7216.7-0.767%
vs Similar ◀ (7)92.092.3184.3-0.343%
vs Weaker (20)103.691.4195.0+12.275%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
W
107-97
107
97
+10
104avg 83
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
H16/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
106-69
106
69
+37
113avg 83
H22/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
73-74
73
74
-1
58avg 83
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
101-93
101
93
+8
97avg 83
H28/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
106-99
106
99
+7
100avg 83
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
98-84
98
84
+14
45avg 83
H06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
91avg 83
H13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
65avg 83
A15/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
83avg 83
H20/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-26
26-24
21-25
28-22
18-13
26-24
21-21
27-29
30-25
24-18
38-13
14-13
24-12
16-26
12-12
21-24
24-32
25-19
26-26
26-16
25-30
23-24
32-20
26-25
22-22
28-18
18-19
30-25
29-19
22-18
25-18
18-20
29-28
16-27
19-24
20-23
19-17
29-17
17-24
21-16
180.1Avg total
94.7Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)90.886.1176.8+4.764%
Season at home (17)89.784.9174.6+4.859%
Season away (16)91.987.2179.2+4.769%
Last 10 (10)94.785.4180.1+9.380%
Last 5 (5)93.686.8180.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.3101.3179.7-23.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)89.788.0177.7+1.745%
vs Weaker (16)95.183.2178.2+11.988%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
South East MelbournePerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H10/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A18/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H24/01
NBL
Perth
#5
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A31/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A05/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H08/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H14/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A19/02
NBL
105.1Avg total
54.0Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.248.098.1+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.447.9101.3+5.553%-
Last 30 away (15)46.948.094.9-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)54.051.1105.1+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)52.651.0103.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.754.3107.0-1.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.748.193.9-2.429%-
vs Weaker (20)51.447.098.3+4.460%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H16/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H22/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H28/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A15/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H20/02
NBL
92.6Avg total
48.7Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.943.690.5+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.141.388.3+5.873%-
Last 30 away (15)46.745.992.6+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)48.743.992.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)48.444.092.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.049.793.7-5.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)47.942.690.5+5.364%-
vs Weaker (16)46.843.189.8+3.762%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 106.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.023.9
54.3%
54.6%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.413.6
35.4%
33.3%40.8
🏀 Free throws22.117.9
81.0%
74.8%17.9
They take 82.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.523.6
56.9%
54.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.3
37.1%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.215.4
72.6%
74.8%15.4
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
South East Melbourne
LWLWWLWWWL
Perth
WLWWWWLWWW
#2
League position
#5
+9.0
Net rating
+10.6
108.3
Offensive rating
105.4
99.4
Defensive rating
94.8
53.8%
Effective FG%
56.4%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
9.3%
Turnover %
12.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.4%
3-point %
37.1%
57.9%
Assist %
59.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 105.4Defence99.4 · 94.8Shooting53.8% · 56.4%3-point %35.4% · 37.1%Ball care9.3% · 12.2%Off. rebounds- · 37.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ South East Melbourne   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
South East Melbourne wins
7
Perth wins
DateGameScore
28/01/26Perth v South East Melbourne101-93
10/01/26South East Melbourne v Perth97-107
18/12/25Perth v South East Melbourne76-77
02/11/25South East Melbourne v Perth94-89
11/02/25Perth v South East Melbourne122-105
31/01/25Perth v South East Melbourne100-99
15/11/24Perth v South East Melbourne97-84
03/11/24South East Melbourne v Perth100-76
20/09/24Perth v South East Melbourne106-98
27/01/24South East Melbourne v Perth91-103
South East Melbournelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26AMelbourne United91-95
14/02/26HTasmania JackJumpers120-104
08/02/26HSydney88-114
05/02/26ANew Zealand Breakers114-83
31/01/26AAdelaide97-77
28/01/26APerth93-101
24/01/26HCairns Taipans118-91
21/01/26HNew Zealand Breakers123-116
18/01/26AAdelaide108-89
10/01/26HPerth97-107
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26HAdelaide86-74
15/02/26ASydney84-102
13/02/26HBrisbane Bullets94-75
06/02/26HCairns Taipans98-84
31/01/26AIllawarra Hawks106-99
28/01/26HSouth East Melbourne101-93
25/01/26HMelbourne United73-74
22/01/26HCairns Taipans106-69
16/01/26HIllawarra Hawks92-87
10/01/26ASouth East Melbourne107-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South East Melbourne
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeLWWLW69%
AwayWLWWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %67%69%65%
Points / game100.7103.797.9
Allowed / game92.893.891.8
Point differential+8.0+9.9+6.2
Avg total193.5197.5189.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%56%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeLWWWW59%
AwayWWWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %64%59%69%
Points / game90.889.791.9
Allowed / game86.184.987.2
Point differential+4.7+4.8+4.7
Avg total176.8174.6179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%35%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)17% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney3324973%99.387.2+12.0
2 Adelaide34231168%92.688.3+4.4
3 South East Melbourne33221167%100.792.8+8.0
4 Perth33211264%90.886.1+4.7
5 Melbourne United33201361%92.288.0+4.1
6 Tasmania JackJumpers33141942%87.187.4-0.3
7 New Zealand Breakers34142041%92.193.1-0.9
8 Illawarra Hawks33132039%93.297.1-4.0
9 Cairns Taipans3392427%83.596.8-13.3
10 Brisbane Bullets3362718%82.196.8-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South East Melbourne35292225111
Perth2918173094
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.