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Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 117-109
27-28 27-25 34-35 29-21
Position#23
Record13-19
FormLWWWL
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game119.1
Utah Jazz 🏆
USA
vs
Miami Heat
USA
Position#18
Record19-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game113.4
Allowed / game111.5
USANBA· Delta Center (Salt Lake City)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Miami Heat
10 Nov 2026
UTA109
MIA115
24 Jan 2026
UTA116
MIA147
09 Jan 2025
UTA92
MIA97
30 Dec 2023
UTA117
MIA109
31 Dec 2022
UTA123
MIA126
13 Nov 2021
UTA105
MIA111
13 Feb 2021
UTA112
MIA94
25 Jul 2020
UTA101
MIA99
12 Feb 2020
UTA116
MIA101
12 Dec 2018
UTA111
MIA84
10 Nov 2017
UTA74
MIA84
01 Dec 2016
UTA110
MIA111
09 Jan 2016
UTA98
MIA83
12 Dec 2014
UTA95
MIA100
08 Feb 2014
UTA94
MIA89
14 Jan 2013
UTA104
MIA97
02 Mar 2012
UTA99
MIA98
08 Dec 2010
UTA98
MIA111
11 Jan 2010
UTA118
MIA89
03 Dec 2008
UTA89
MIA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
120-134
120
134
-14
116avg 110
A12/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
117-113
117
113
+4
111avg 110
H14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
122-114
122
114
+8
118avg 110
A15/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
104-125
104
125
-21
95avg 110
A17/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
125-108
125
108
+17
125avg 110
H19/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
116-124
116
124
-8
111avg 110
A21/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
119-111
119
111
+8
110avg 110
A22/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
126-119
126
119
+7
126avg 110
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
130-118
130
118
+12
132avg 110
A27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
105-112
105
112
-7
98avg 110
A29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-34
32-32
23-45
45-23
22-31
30-19
37-34
28-29
38-30
31-24
34-22
19-38
23-35
27-27
26-44
28-19
28-28
26-31
34-23
37-26
27-36
29-26
37-30
23-32
34-32
30-26
26-30
29-23
31-34
24-37
30-27
41-21
27-32
37-28
36-33
30-25
37-39
14-20
25-22
29-31
236.2Avg total
118.4Scored
117.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)113.3119.1232.4-5.841%
Season at home (13)118.6115.8234.4+2.862%
Season away (19)109.6121.4231.0-11.726%
Last 10 (10)118.4117.8236.2+0.660%
Last 5 (5)119.2116.8236.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)109.3121.9231.2-12.717%
vs Similar (7)120.7115.7236.4+5.071%
vs Weaker (5)115.8111.6227.4+4.280%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
99-111
99
111
-12
86avg 103
H09/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
116-114
116
114
+2
117avg 103
A12/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
115-104
115
104
+11
115avg 103
H14/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
116-124
116
124
-8
111avg 103
H15/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
118-116
118
116
+2
108avg 103
H17/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
108-112
108
112
-4
101avg 103
H19/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
115-106
115
106
+9
108avg 103
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
122-113
122
113
+9
114avg 103
H23/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
119-113
119
113
+6
120avg 103
H26/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
114-102
114
102
+12
106avg 103
A29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
27-36
23-35
24-23
29-24
30-26
30-27
27-37
22-23
34-22
35-25
24-34
22-36
34-24
32-33
28-31
36-24
22-33
33-23
27-36
33-22
33-32
17-23
25-35
25-24
43-26
21-22
26-34
33-26
29-34
26-26
34-27
26-22
37-27
23-37
33-27
22-25
36-26
33-25
23-26
225.7Avg total
114.2Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)113.4111.5225.0+1.961%
Season at home (15)116.7116.5233.2+0.360%
Season away (16)110.3106.9217.2+3.462%
Last 10 (10)114.2111.5225.7+2.770%
Last 5 (5)115.6109.2224.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)103.0112.3215.3-9.30%
vs Similar (20)115.2113.2228.4+2.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)114.4107.9222.3+6.6100%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -3.9-3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -3.9-3.9
Utah JazzMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A12/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A15/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A17/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H19/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A21/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A22/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
64-60
64
60
+4
A27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A29/12
NBA
116.8Avg total
56.7Scored
60.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.560.1115.6-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (11)58.556.9115.4+1.545%-
Last 30 away (19)53.761.9115.7-8.221%-
Last 10 (10)56.760.1116.8-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)58.062.0120.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)52.261.1113.3-8.811%-
vs Similar (7)60.360.7121.0-0.443%-
vs Weaker (5)60.455.8116.2+4.680%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H09/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A12/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H14/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H15/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H17/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H19/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H23/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H26/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A29/12
NBA
112.7Avg total
59.8Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.754.7113.4+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.156.1116.3+4.071%-
Last 30 away (16)57.553.4110.9+4.156%-
Last 10 (10)59.852.9112.7+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)63.452.8116.2+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.056.3114.3+1.733%-
vs Similar (20)59.455.5114.9+3.965%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)57.151.7108.9+5.471%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 118.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.829.9
55.6%
54.4%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.413.4
36.8%
36.3%40.2
🏀 Free throws21.418.4
86.0%
78.2%18.4
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 114.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.626.2
51.8%
54.4%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.713.8
40.9%
36.3%41.4
🏀 Free throws25.720.4
79.4%
78.2%20.4
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
LWWWLWLWWL
Miami Heat
WWWWLWLWWL
#23
League position
#18
+0.6
Net rating
+2.7
116.6
Offensive rating
115.7
116.0
Defensive rating
112.9
55.4%
Effective FG%
55.6%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.6%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.8%
3-point %
40.9%
67.9%
Assist %
65.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 115.7Defence116.0 · 112.9Shooting55.4% · 55.6%3-point %36.8% · 40.9%Ball care13.6% · 13.6%Off. rebounds28.1% · 24.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Utah Jazz wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
13/03/23Miami Heat v Utah Jazz119-115
01/01/23Utah Jazz v Miami Heat123-126
13/11/21Utah Jazz v Miami Heat105-111
06/11/21Miami Heat v Utah Jazz118-115
27/02/21Miami Heat v Utah Jazz124-116
14/02/21Utah Jazz v Miami Heat112-94
25/07/20Utah Jazz v Miami Heat101-99
13/02/20Utah Jazz v Miami Heat116-101
24/12/19Miami Heat v Utah Jazz107-104
13/12/18Utah Jazz v Miami Heat111-84
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23ANew Orleans Pelicans105-112
27/12/23ASan Antonio Spurs130-118
24/12/23AToronto Raptors126-119
22/12/23ADetroit Pistons119-111
21/12/23ACleveland Cavaliers116-124
19/12/23HBrooklyn Nets125-108
17/12/23ASacramento Kings104-125
15/12/23APortland Trail Blazers122-114
14/12/23HNew York Knicks117-113
12/12/23AOklahoma City Thunder120-134
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23AGolden State Warriors114-102
26/12/23HPhiladelphia 76ers119-113
23/12/23HAtlanta Hawks122-113
21/12/23AOrlando Magic115-106
19/12/23HMinnesota Timberwolves108-112
17/12/23HChicago Bulls118-116
15/12/23HChicago Bulls116-124
14/12/23HCharlotte Hornets115-104
12/12/23ACharlotte Hornets116-114
09/12/23HCleveland Cavaliers99-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL41%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLWWWL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321319
Win %41%62%26%
Points / game113.3118.6109.6
Allowed / game119.1115.8121.4
Point differential-5.8+2.8-11.7
Avg total232.4234.4231.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%23%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)62% (8)-
Overtime %6%15%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %61%60%62%
Points / game113.4116.7110.3
Allowed / game111.5116.5106.9
Point differential+1.9+0.3+3.4
Avg total225.0233.2217.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%13%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3025583%120.6110.2+10.4
2 Minnesota Timberwolves3023777%113.4107.4+6.0
3 Milwaukee Bucks3023777%124.5118.5+5.9
4 Philadelphia 76ers3122971%121.9111.1+10.8
5 Oklahoma City Thunder3021970%121.2112.9+8.3
6 Denver Nuggets34231168%115.3110.3+5.0
7 Sacramento Kings29181162%117.4117.3+0.1
8 Los Angeles Clippers31191261%116.6112.2+4.4
9 Orlando Magic31191261%113.0110.6+2.4
10 Miami Heat31191261%113.4111.5+1.9
11 New Orleans Pelicans30171357%116.1112.3+3.8
12 New York Knicks30171357%114.8112.0+2.8
13 Dallas Mavericks32181456%118.8117.6+1.1
14 Cleveland Cavaliers32181456%112.0112.0+0.0
15 Phoenix Suns30161453%116.0114.9+1.1
16 Houston Rockets30151550%112.3109.7+2.6
17 Indiana Pacers28141450%126.2125.4+0.8
18 Los Angeles Lakers30151550%114.3115.7-1.4
19 Golden State Warriors31151648%116.6115.8+0.8
20 Brooklyn Nets32151747%115.8116.1-0.3
21 Chicago Bulls33141942%110.0112.6-2.6
22 Utah Jazz32131941%113.3119.1-5.8
23 Atlanta Hawks31121939%121.9122.6-0.6
24 Toronto Raptors31121939%113.2114.5-1.3
25 Memphis Grizzlies31102132%107.2113.5-6.3
26 Portland Trail Blazers3192229%109.4115.2-5.8
27 Charlotte Hornets3072323%110.6121.4-10.9
28 Washington Wizards3162519%116.4126.0-9.6
29 San Antonio Spurs3152616%111.7123.0-11.3
30 Detroit Pistons312296%109.7121.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utah Jazz27273429117
Miami Heat28253521109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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