PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jul 2020
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 101-99
28-25 19-22 28-26 26-26
Position#8
Record41-24
FormWWWLL
Points / game110.7
Allowed / game107.8
Utah Jazz 🏆
USA
vs
Miami Heat
USA
Position#7
Record42-24
FormWLWLW
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game108.8
USANBA· HP Field House
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Miami Heat
10 Nov 2026
UTA109
MIA115
24 Jan 2026
UTA116
MIA147
09 Jan 2025
UTA92
MIA97
30 Dec 2023
UTA117
MIA109
31 Dec 2022
UTA123
MIA126
13 Nov 2021
UTA105
MIA111
13 Feb 2021
UTA112
MIA94
25 Jul 2020
UTA101
MIA99
12 Feb 2020
UTA116
MIA101
12 Dec 2018
UTA111
MIA84
10 Nov 2017
UTA74
MIA84
01 Dec 2016
UTA110
MIA111
09 Jan 2016
UTA98
MIA83
12 Dec 2014
UTA95
MIA100
08 Feb 2014
UTA94
MIA89
14 Jan 2013
UTA104
MIA97
02 Mar 2012
UTA99
MIA98
08 Dec 2010
UTA98
MIA111
11 Jan 2010
UTA118
MIA89
03 Dec 2008
UTA89
MIA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
L
110-120
110
120
-10
97avg 104
H23/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
111-131
111
131
-20
100avg 104
H25/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
103-114
103
114
-11
87avg 104
H27/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
129-119
129
119
+10
124avg 104
H29/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
126-113
126
113
+13
130avg 104
A03/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
112-104
112
104
+8
106avg 104
A05/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
99-94
99
94
+5
93avg 104
A07/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
111-105
111
105
+6
102avg 104
A08/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
92-101
92
101
-9
79avg 104
H10/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
88-101
88
101
-13
78avg 104
H24/07
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-38
30-24
19-38
25-20
35-27
27-35
26-37
23-32
15-23
36-30
31-32
21-29
31-28
27-32
32-21
39-38
31-25
28-26
35-31
32-31
35-26
29-28
29-24
19-26
30-29
32-20
17-17
20-28
28-17
27-22
24-34
32-32
22-27
29-30
19-19
22-25
19-28
20-22
27-23
22-28
218.3Avg total
108.1Scored
110.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)110.7107.8218.4+2.963%
Season at home (32)110.2106.3216.5+3.966%
Season away (33)111.2109.2220.3+2.061%
Last 10 (10)108.1110.2218.3-2.150%
Last 5 (5)100.4101.0201.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)110.1112.4222.5-2.339%
vs Weaker (12)119.7107.9227.6+11.892%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
119-125 OT
119
125
-6
115avg 107
A25/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
L
126-129
126
129
-3
126avg 107
H27/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
126-118
126
118
+8
124avg 107
H29/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
116-113
116
113
+3
108avg 107
H01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
105-89
105
89
+16
100avg 107
H03/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
116-113
116
113
+3
116avg 107
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
104-110
104
110
-6
96avg 107
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
100-89
100
89
+11
102avg 107
A08/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
98-109
98
109
-11
95avg 107
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
104-98
104
98
+6
100avg 107
H23/07
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
39-35
31-24
12-31
28-29
32-28
34-38
32-34
31-31
32-24
25-38
38-25
24-27
33-22
34-31
25-33
31-26
22-26
28-18
24-19
30-26
30-29
28-29
28-29
26-32
25-33
23-24
30-21
29-23
28-31
15-18
28-17
40-22
11-37
26-28
21-22
27-21
29-23
17-27
31-27
220.7Avg total
111.4Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)112.0108.8220.8+3.364%
Season at home (33)116.1106.8222.9+9.285%
Season away (33)108.0110.7218.7-2.742%
Last 10 (10)111.4109.3220.7+2.160%
Last 5 (5)104.4103.8208.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)105.089.0194.0+16.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)112.9112.0224.9+0.945%
vs Weaker (18)113.7110.8224.6+2.956%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
Utah JazzMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H23/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H25/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H27/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H29/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A03/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A05/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A07/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A08/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H10/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H24/07
NBA
110.4Avg total
56.7Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.154.5111.5+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.555.2110.7+0.338%-
Last 30 away (14)58.953.6112.5+5.264%-
Last 10 (10)56.753.7110.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)54.249.8104.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)55.055.6110.6-0.639%-
vs Weaker (12)60.252.8112.9+7.467%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A25/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H27/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H29/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H03/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A08/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H23/07
NBA
112.2Avg total
57.6Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.953.8112.6+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.753.2111.9+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)59.054.3113.3+4.773%-
Last 10 (10)57.654.6112.2+3.080%-
Last 5 (5)55.055.4110.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.052.0105.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)56.554.3110.7+2.264%-
vs Weaker (18)60.753.6114.2+7.178%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 108.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.925.7
57.2%
52.3%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.613.1
36.8%
35.7%39.3
🏀 Free throws22.117.4
78.7%
77.2%17.4
They take 80.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 111.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.6
53.4%
52.3%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.114.9
40.2%
35.7%44.7
🏀 Free throws25.019.5
78.0%
77.2%19.5
They take 81.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jul 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
LLWWWWWLLL
Miami Heat
WLWLWWWWLL
#8
League position
#7
-2.2
Net rating
+2.1
112.3
Offensive rating
112.2
114.5
Defensive rating
110.1
56.3%
Effective FG%
56.5%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.6%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
18.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.8%
3-point %
40.2%
54.1%
Assist %
73.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 112.2Defence114.5 · 110.1Shooting56.3% · 56.5%3-point %36.8% · 40.2%Ball care14.1% · 13.6%Off. rebounds20.3% · 18.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Utah Jazz wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
13/02/20Utah Jazz v Miami Heat116-101
24/12/19Miami Heat v Utah Jazz107-104
13/12/18Utah Jazz v Miami Heat111-84
02/12/18Miami Heat v Utah Jazz102-100
07/01/18Miami Heat v Utah Jazz103-102
11/11/17Utah Jazz v Miami Heat74-84
02/12/16Utah Jazz v Miami Heat110-111
13/11/16Miami Heat v Utah Jazz91-102
10/01/16Utah Jazz v Miami Heat98-83
13/11/15Miami Heat v Utah Jazz92-91
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/07/20HPhoenix Suns88-101
10/03/20HToronto Raptors92-101
08/03/20ADetroit Pistons111-105
07/03/20ABoston Celtics99-94
05/03/20ANew York Knicks112-104
03/03/20ACleveland Cavaliers126-113
29/02/20HWashington Wizards129-119
27/02/20HBoston Celtics103-114
25/02/20HPhoenix Suns111-131
23/02/20HHouston Rockets110-120
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/07/20HSacramento Kings104-98
11/03/20HCharlotte Hornets98-109
08/03/20AWashington Wizards100-89
07/03/20ANew Orleans Pelicans104-110
05/03/20HOrlando Magic116-113
03/03/20HMilwaukee Bucks105-89
01/03/20HBrooklyn Nets116-113
29/02/20HDallas Mavericks126-118
27/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves126-129
25/02/20ACleveland Cavaliers119-125 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL63%
HomeLLWLL66%
AwayWWWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653233
Win %63%66%61%
Points / game110.7110.2111.2
Allowed / game107.8106.3109.2
Point differential+2.9+3.9+2.0
Avg total218.4216.5220.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%31%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)88% (8)64% (11)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW64%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663333
Win %64%85%42%
Points / game112.0116.1108.0
Allowed / game108.8106.8110.7
Point differential+3.3+9.2-2.7
Avg total220.8222.9218.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won63% (19)73% (11)50% (8)
Overtime %14%15%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks67551282%118.7107.4+11.4
2 Los Angeles Lakers65501577%114.2107.0+7.2
3 Toronto Raptors65471872%112.7106.2+6.5
4 Los Angeles Clippers65452069%115.9109.4+6.6
5 Denver Nuggets66442267%110.1107.1+3.0
6 Boston Celtics65432266%112.6106.7+5.9
7 Miami Heat66422464%112.0108.8+3.3
8 Utah Jazz65412463%110.7107.8+2.9
9 Oklahoma City Thunder65412463%110.6107.9+2.6
10 Houston Rockets65402562%117.6114.1+3.5
11 Philadelphia 76ers66402661%109.3107.0+2.3
12 Indiana Pacers66402661%109.1107.1+2.0
13 Dallas Mavericks68412760%116.2110.2+6.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies66323448%112.2113.3-1.2
15 Brooklyn Nets65303546%110.1111.2-1.1
16 Orlando Magic67303745%106.2107.4-1.2
17 New Orleans Pelicans65293645%115.9116.3-0.3
18 Portland Trail Blazers67293843%113.3114.9-1.6
19 Sacramento Kings66283842%109.0111.1-2.1
20 San Antonio Spurs64273742%112.8114.9-2.1
21 Phoenix Suns66273941%112.4113.5-1.2
22 Washington Wizards65244137%115.1119.2-4.1
23 Charlotte Hornets65234235%102.9109.6-6.8
24 Chicago Bulls65224334%106.8109.9-3.1
25 New York Knicks66214532%105.8112.3-6.5
26 Detroit Pistons66204630%107.2110.8-3.6
27 Atlanta Hawks67204730%111.8119.7-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves64194530%113.2117.5-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers65194629%106.9114.8-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors65155023%106.3115.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utah Jazz28192826101
Miami Heat2522262699
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.