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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 106-115
24-25 26-43 22-21 34-26
Position#14
Record16-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game109.9
vs
Position#18
Record15-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game112.0
USANBA· Amway Center (Orlando)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
W
113-96
113
96
+17
108avg 104
H24/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
130-117
130
117
+13
130avg 104
H26/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
139-120
139
120
+19
145avg 104
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
130-125
130
125
+5
130avg 104
H02/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
101-129
101
129
-28
87avg 104
A03/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
111-121
111
121
-10
98avg 104
A07/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
123-91
123
91
+32
119avg 104
H09/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
104-94
104
94
+10
95avg 104
H12/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
111-128
111
128
-17
105avg 104
A16/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
97-114
97
114
-17
80avg 104
A17/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
29-26
29-18
36-22
25-33
36-24
31-29
38-31
31-26
35-30
36-33
37-31
31-36
27-25
34-28
38-36
22-43
29-30
34-25
16-31
20-37
32-28
34-34
25-22
28-23
30-21
35-24
30-23
22-29
29-25
30-15
23-25
24-30
27-34
27-37
33-27
31-27
19-34
24-22
23-31
229.4Avg total
115.9Scored
113.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)113.2109.9223.1+3.464%
Season at home (13)119.8106.9226.8+12.985%
Season away (12)106.1113.1219.2-7.042%
Last 10 (10)115.9113.5229.4+2.460%
Last 5 (5)109.2109.6218.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)105.6114.6220.2-9.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)108.2106.4214.6+1.857%
vs Weaker (11)119.7113.2232.9+6.573%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
124-131
124
131
-7
114avg 102
H29/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
142-132
142
132
+10
140avg 102
H01/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
129-144
129
144
-15
118avg 102
H03/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
112-103
112
103
+9
110avg 102
A07/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
99-111
99
111
-12
86avg 102
H09/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
116-114
116
114
+2
117avg 102
A12/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
115-104
115
104
+11
115avg 102
H14/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
116-124
116
124
-8
111avg 102
H15/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
118-116
118
116
+2
108avg 102
H17/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
108-112
108
112
-4
101avg 102
H19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
40-28
35-34
27-38
33-38
31-35
33-27
45-32
31-25
34-40
33-41
31-38
37-32
27-34
23-18
25-19
25-17
27-36
23-35
24-23
29-24
30-26
30-27
27-37
22-23
34-22
35-25
24-34
22-36
34-24
32-33
28-31
36-24
22-33
33-23
27-36
33-22
33-32
17-23
25-35
237.0Avg total
117.9Scored
119.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)112.8112.0224.8+0.856%
Season at home (13)116.2117.0233.2-0.854%
Season away (14)109.7107.4217.1+2.457%
Last 10 (10)117.9119.1237.0-1.250%
Last 5 (5)114.6114.0228.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)96.2105.2201.4-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)114.6114.4228.9+0.244%
vs Weaker (9)112.3105.2217.6+7.1100%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.0-4.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.0-4.0
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H24/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H26/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H02/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
51-73
51
73
-22
A03/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A07/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H09/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H12/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A16/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A17/12
NBA
113.7Avg total
54.6Scored
59.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.754.6112.3+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.355.2115.6+5.162%-
Last 30 away (14)54.753.9108.6+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)54.659.1113.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)52.457.6110.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)53.061.2114.2-8.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)56.049.9105.9+6.164%-
vs Weaker (11)62.057.6119.6+4.473%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H29/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H01/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
D
65-65
65
65
+0
H03/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A07/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H09/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A12/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H14/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H15/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H17/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H19/12
NBA
118.4Avg total
60.2Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.353.6110.9+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.655.7115.3+3.969%-
Last 30 away (17)55.552.1107.5+3.453%-
Last 10 (10)60.258.2118.4+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)59.053.2112.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)53.052.0105.0+1.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)58.656.2114.8+2.356%-
vs Weaker (9)57.349.9107.2+7.478%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.732.4
56.2%
54.4%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
36.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws26.220.2
77.1%
78.2%20.2
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.728.9
53.8%
54.4%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.013.2
41.2%
36.3%39.6
🏀 Free throws25.520.5
80.4%
78.2%20.5
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LLWWLLWWWW
Miami Heat
LWLWWLWLWL
#14
League position
#18
+2.3
Net rating
-1.2
113.3
Offensive rating
118.1
111.0
Defensive rating
119.3
55.3%
Effective FG%
56.8%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
13.3%
Turnover %
12.2%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.8%
3-point %
41.2%
61.4%
Assist %
66.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 118.1Defence111.0 · 119.3Shooting55.3% · 56.8%3-point %35.8% · 41.2%Ball care13.3% · 12.2%Off. rebounds22.7% · 22.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Orlando Magic wins
8
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23ABoston Celtics97-114
16/12/23ABoston Celtics111-128
12/12/23HCleveland Cavaliers104-94
09/12/23HDetroit Pistons123-91
07/12/23ACleveland Cavaliers111-121
03/12/23ABrooklyn Nets101-129
02/12/23HWashington Wizards130-125
30/11/23HWashington Wizards139-120
26/11/23HCharlotte Hornets130-117
24/11/23HBoston Celtics113-96
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23HMinnesota Timberwolves108-112
17/12/23HChicago Bulls118-116
15/12/23HChicago Bulls116-124
14/12/23HCharlotte Hornets115-104
12/12/23ACharlotte Hornets116-114
09/12/23HCleveland Cavaliers99-111
07/12/23AToronto Raptors112-103
03/12/23HIndiana Pacers129-144
01/12/23HIndiana Pacers142-132
29/11/23HMilwaukee Bucks124-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL64%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%85%42%
Points / game113.2119.8106.1
Allowed / game109.9106.9113.1
Point differential+3.4+12.9-7.0
Avg total223.1226.8219.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%69%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeLWLWL54%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %56%54%57%
Points / game112.8116.2109.7
Allowed / game112.0117.0107.4
Point differential+0.8-0.8+2.4
Avg total224.8233.2217.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2520580%118.2108.9+9.3
2 Minnesota Timberwolves2520580%113.5105.9+7.6
3 Milwaukee Bucks2519676%124.0118.8+5.3
4 Philadelphia 76ers2618869%122.2110.9+11.3
5 Oklahoma City Thunder2517868%120.2113.0+7.2
6 Sacramento Kings2416867%118.2116.8+1.5
7 Denver Nuggets28181064%115.2110.5+4.7
8 Orlando Magic2516964%113.2109.9+3.4
9 Los Angeles Clippers26161062%117.0110.7+6.3
10 Dallas Mavericks26161062%119.3117.6+1.7
11 New York Knicks25151060%114.2110.4+3.8
12 New Orleans Pelicans26151158%116.5113.0+3.5
13 Miami Heat27151256%112.8112.0+0.8
14 Cleveland Cavaliers27151256%112.0111.9+0.1
15 Houston Rockets24131154%110.7107.3+3.4
16 Phoenix Suns26141254%115.3114.1+1.2
17 Los Angeles Lakers25131252%113.4114.9-1.5
18 Brooklyn Nets26131350%116.1115.1+1.0
19 Golden State Warriors27131448%116.5116.0+0.4
20 Indiana Pacers23111248%127.6128.0-0.5
21 Atlanta Hawks26111542%122.7122.7+0.0
22 Toronto Raptors26111542%112.5114.2-1.7
23 Chicago Bulls28111739%109.9113.3-3.4
24 Utah Jazz27101737%112.2119.5-7.3
25 Charlotte Hornets2571828%111.0120.7-9.8
26 Memphis Grizzlies2671927%106.0112.5-6.5
27 Portland Trail Blazers2671927%107.7114.2-6.5
28 Washington Wizards2642215%117.0126.8-9.9
29 San Antonio Spurs2642215%110.9122.5-11.6
30 Detroit Pistons272257%108.9120.8-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic24262234106
Miami Heat25432126115
← all games of the day
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