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Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 118-115
27-24 28-28 32-26 31-37
Position#4
Record6-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game110.9
Allowed / game98.4
vs
Position#9
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game100.1
USANBA· FTX Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Miami Heat v Utah Jazz
25 Mar 2027
MIA v UTA
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIA111
UTA115
04 Jan 2025
MIA100
UTA136
02 Mar 2024
MIA126
UTA120
13 Mar 2023
MIA119
UTA115
06 Nov 2021
MIA118
UTA115
26 Feb 2021
MIA124
UTA116
23 Dec 2019
MIA107
UTA104
02 Dec 2018
MIA102
UTA100
07 Jan 2018
MIA103
UTA102
12 Nov 2016
MIA91
UTA102
12 Nov 2015
MIA92
UTA91
17 Dec 2014
MIA87
UTA105
16 Dec 2013
MIA117
UTA94
22 Dec 2012
MIA105
UTA89
09 Nov 2010
MIA114
UTA116
23 Dec 2009
MIA80
UTA70
14 Mar 2009
MIA140
UTA129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
84-113
84
113
-29
71avg 102
H27/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
103-120
103
120
-17
92avg 102
H29/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
137-95
137
95
+42
134avg 102
H22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
91-102 OT
91
102
-11
81avg 102
A23/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
107-90
107
90
+17
103avg 102
H25/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
106-93
106
93
+13
98avg 102
A27/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
114-99
114
99
+15
114avg 102
H29/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
129-103
129
103
+26
131avg 102
A31/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
125-110
125
110
+15
122avg 102
A02/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
78-95
78
95
-17
65avg 102
H04/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
22-23
24-37
24-27
26-22
38-35
21-34
18-29
40-17
32-26
33-26
32-26
24-28
22-28
17-8
23-22
27-15
30-29
24-26
26-20
29-22
20-29
32-23
25-19
33-22
31-24
20-29
30-24
38-22
29-32
35-25
27-24
24-30
46-32
29-26
26-22
24-18
9-33
24-24
21-20
209.4Avg total
107.4Scored
102.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)110.998.4209.2+12.575%
Season at home (4)109.094.8203.8+14.275%
Season away (4)112.8102.0214.8+10.875%
Last 10 (10)107.4102.0209.4+5.460%
Last 5 (5)110.4100.0210.4+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)102.6115.0217.6-12.425%
vs Similar ◀ (15)114.8107.5222.3+7.373%
vs Weaker (7)111.6102.9214.4+8.771%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
111-119
111
119
-8
no box
H17/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
119-131
119
131
-12
108avg 109
A19/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
107-86
107
86
+21
98avg 109
H21/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
110-101
110
101
+9
97avg 109
A23/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
122-110
122
110
+12
112avg 109
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
122-91
122
91
+31
122avg 109
A29/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
99-107
99
107
-8
86avg 109
A31/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
107-95
107
95
+12
99avg 109
A31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
119-113
119
113
+6
105avg 109
H03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
116-98
116
98
+18
117avg 109
A04/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-36
28-24
18-32
28-27
33-31
39-19
22-41
25-40
27-18
27-24
29-21
24-23
24-26
22-26
35-28
29-21
35-31
31-33
25-26
31-20
32-18
29-22
31-32
30-19
24-25
33-29
15-25
27-28
30-23
27-25
27-21
23-26
33-29
25-30
32-28
29-26
15-16
24-24
36-34
41-24
218.3Avg total
113.2Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)112.8100.1212.9+12.688%
Season at home (3)116.0103.0219.0+13.0100%
Season away (5)110.898.4209.2+12.480%
Last 10 (10)113.2105.1218.3+8.170%
Last 5 (5)112.6100.8213.4+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)112.5116.6229.1-4.150%
vs Weaker (20)117.7105.2222.9+12.580%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
Miami HeatUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H27/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H29/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
72-43
72
43
+29
H22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A23/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H25/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A27/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H29/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A31/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A02/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H04/11
NBA
107.1Avg total
55.8Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.854.8112.6+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.150.7106.9+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)59.258.4117.6+0.944%-
Last 10 (10)55.851.3107.1+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)56.652.8109.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)53.158.5111.6-5.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)60.153.3113.4+6.767%-
vs Weaker (7)58.353.7112.0+4.657%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H17/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
72-50
72
50
+22
A19/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H21/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A29/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A31/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/11
NBA
108.4Avg total
57.5Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.053.8112.8+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.455.4116.8+6.060%-
Last 30 away (15)56.552.2108.7+4.360%-
Last 10 (10)57.550.9108.4+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)54.448.2102.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)58.760.8119.5-2.150%-
vs Weaker (20)59.150.3109.4+8.865%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.228.7
51.1%
53.1%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.711.0
33.6%
35.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.417.0
83.3%
77.4%17.0
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.724.1
56.4%
53.1%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.615.3
35.1%
35.3%45.9
🏀 Free throws23.919.1
79.9%
77.4%19.1
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWWWWLWLL
Utah Jazz
WWWLWWWWLL
#4
League position
#9
+5.3
Net rating
+8.3
106.2
Offensive rating
112.9
100.9
Defensive rating
104.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
54.5%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.6%
3-point %
35.1%
59.4%
Assist %
47.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 112.9Defence100.9 · 104.6Shooting50.8% · 54.5%3-point %33.6% · 35.1%Ball care14.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds24.3% · 26.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Utah Jazz wins
DateGameScore
27/02/21Miami Heat v Utah Jazz124-116
14/02/21Utah Jazz v Miami Heat112-94
25/07/20Utah Jazz v Miami Heat101-99
13/02/20Utah Jazz v Miami Heat116-101
24/12/19Miami Heat v Utah Jazz107-104
13/12/18Utah Jazz v Miami Heat111-84
02/12/18Miami Heat v Utah Jazz102-100
07/01/18Miami Heat v Utah Jazz103-102
11/11/17Utah Jazz v Miami Heat74-84
02/12/16Utah Jazz v Miami Heat110-111
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/21HBoston Celtics78-95
02/11/21ADallas Mavericks125-110
31/10/21AMemphis Grizzlies129-103
29/10/21HCharlotte Hornets114-99
27/10/21ABrooklyn Nets106-93
25/10/21HOrlando Magic107-90
23/10/21AIndiana Pacers91-102 OT
22/10/21HMilwaukee Bucks137-95
29/05/21HMilwaukee Bucks103-120
27/05/21HMilwaukee Bucks84-113
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/21AAtlanta Hawks116-98
03/11/21HSacramento Kings119-113
31/10/21AMilwaukee Bucks107-95
31/10/21AChicago Bulls99-107
29/10/21AHouston Rockets122-91
27/10/21HDenver Nuggets122-110
23/10/21ASacramento Kings110-101
21/10/21HOklahoma City Thunder107-86
19/06/21ALos Angeles Clippers119-131
17/06/21HLos Angeles Clippers111-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game110.9109.0112.8
Allowed / game98.494.8102.0
Point differential+12.5+14.2+10.8
Avg total209.2203.8214.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%0%25%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%100%80%
Points / game112.8116.0110.8
Allowed / game100.1103.098.4
Point differential+12.6+13.0+12.4
Avg total212.9219.0209.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors87188%113.199.4+13.8
2 Utah Jazz87188%112.8100.1+12.6
3 Philadelphia 76ers97278%110.8102.3+8.4
4 Miami Heat86275%110.998.4+12.5
5 Chicago Bulls86275%108.2101.2+7.0
6 Washington Wizards96367%111.3107.2+4.1
7 New York Knicks96367%113.0109.0+4.0
8 Brooklyn Nets96367%105.0103.3+1.7
9 Dallas Mavericks85362%101.1106.4-5.2
10 Toronto Raptors106460%104.9100.4+4.5
11 Cleveland Cavaliers106460%104.0104.5-0.5
12 Phoenix Suns74357%108.7108.9-0.1
13 Sacramento Kings95456%113.2111.0+2.2
14 Denver Nuggets95456%100.798.8+1.9
15 Los Angeles Lakers95456%112.3112.0+0.3
16 Memphis Grizzlies95456%108.2113.3-5.1
17 Los Angeles Clippers84450%105.4102.1+3.2
18 Charlotte Hornets105550%114.2117.4-3.2
19 Portland Trail Blazers94544%110.9109.3+1.6
20 Boston Celtics94544%109.3110.6-1.2
21 Milwaukee Bucks94544%108.1109.4-1.3
22 Atlanta Hawks94544%106.8108.8-2.0
23 Minnesota Timberwolves83538%102.2106.0-3.8
24 San Antonio Spurs93633%108.9107.9+1.0
25 Indiana Pacers103730%110.7111.4-0.7
26 Oklahoma City Thunder82625%98.0109.1-11.1
27 Orlando Magic102820%99.9108.6-8.7
28 Houston Rockets91811%103.4110.2-6.8
29 Detroit Pistons91811%94.9107.2-12.3
30 New Orleans Pelicans101910%101.4112.7-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat27283231118
Utah Jazz24282637115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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