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Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 123-126
30-31 33-38 35-27 25-30
Position#22
Record19-19
FormWWLLL
Points / game117.1
Allowed / game116.3
vs
Position#10
Record18-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game108.5
Allowed / game109.3
USANBA· Vivint Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Miami Heat
10 Nov 2026
UTA109
MIA115
24 Jan 2026
UTA116
MIA147
09 Jan 2025
UTA92
MIA97
30 Dec 2023
UTA117
MIA109
31 Dec 2022
UTA123
MIA126
13 Nov 2021
UTA105
MIA111
13 Feb 2021
UTA112
MIA94
25 Jul 2020
UTA101
MIA99
12 Feb 2020
UTA116
MIA101
12 Dec 2018
UTA111
MIA84
10 Nov 2017
UTA74
MIA84
01 Dec 2016
UTA110
MIA111
09 Jan 2016
UTA98
MIA83
12 Dec 2014
UTA95
MIA100
08 Feb 2014
UTA94
MIA89
14 Jan 2013
UTA104
MIA97
02 Mar 2012
UTA99
MIA98
08 Dec 2010
UTA98
MIA111
11 Jan 2010
UTA118
MIA89
03 Dec 2008
UTA89
MIA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
110-115
110
115
-5
100avg 105
A11/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
121-100
121
100
+21
118avg 105
H14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
132-129 OT
132
129
+3
120avg 105
H16/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
97-123
97
123
-26
82avg 105
A18/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
99-122
99
122
-23
77avg 105
A20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
126-111
126
111
+15
117avg 105
A21/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
120-112
120
112
+8
107avg 105
H23/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
122-126
122
126
-4
104avg 105
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
107-112
107
112
-5
98avg 105
A29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
125-126
125
126
-1
122avg 105
A31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
26-33
38-31
20-23
29-30
23-15
39-26
30-29
27-25
31-37
33-33
32-28
22-27
25-29
36-36
14-31
21-29
23-33
27-28
28-32
31-24
30-36
34-25
31-26
30-27
30-39
33-24
27-22
26-31
30-32
26-33
40-30
37-27
22-27
35-34
13-24
27-30
30-30
30-31
38-35
233.5Avg total
115.9Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)117.1116.3233.4+0.850%
Season at home (17)121.4115.6237.1+5.871%
Season away (21)113.6116.9230.5-3.333%
Last 10 (10)115.9117.6233.5-1.740%
Last 5 (5)120.0117.4237.4+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)101.0116.2217.2-15.20%
vs Similar ◀ (23)119.2116.7236.0+2.552%
vs Weaker (3)121.3120.7242.0+0.733%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
111-115
111
115
-4
101avg 101
H10/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
87-82
87
82
+5
80avg 101
A13/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
110-108
110
108
+2
100avg 101
A15/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
111-108
111
108
+3
97avg 101
A16/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
111-101
111
101
+10
105avg 101
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
103-113
103
113
-10
95avg 101
H21/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
108-111
108
111
-3
93avg 101
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
113-110
113
110
+3
98avg 101
H27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
112-98
112
98
+14
96avg 101
H29/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
119-124
119
124
-5
105avg 101
A31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
28-34
27-27
27-29
26-19
21-23
20-22
20-18
31-31
33-21
22-32
24-24
29-29
37-23
20-33
25-23
25-28
27-27
28-29
31-17
21-31
36-21
20-36
26-25
28-31
30-25
24-28
26-27
33-31
26-25
34-30
20-24
33-25
28-27
34-26
17-20
19-23
38-37
33-25
29-39
215.5Avg total
108.5Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)108.5109.3217.8-0.850%
Season at home (19)110.0109.7219.7+0.358%
Season away (17)106.9108.8215.7-1.941%
Last 10 (10)108.5107.0215.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)111.0111.2222.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)111.8121.8233.5-10.025%
vs Similar ◀ (19)106.9106.1213.0+0.958%
vs Weaker (7)112.1111.0223.1+1.157%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
Utah JazzMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A11/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H16/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A18/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A21/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H23/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A31/12
NBA
113.5Avg total
54.6Scored
58.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.559.4117.9-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)61.362.2123.5-0.838%-
Last 30 away (17)56.457.3113.6-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)54.658.9113.5-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)58.660.6119.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)50.057.5107.5-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)60.259.3119.4+0.952%-
vs Weaker (3)57.063.0120.0-6.033%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H10/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A15/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A16/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H21/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H29/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A31/12
NBA
111.4Avg total
57.8Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.555.4111.9+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.253.6110.8+3.680%-
Last 30 away (15)55.857.3113.1-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)57.853.6111.4+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)58.455.2113.6+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.562.2116.8-7.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)56.754.7111.4+2.074%-
vs Weaker (7)57.153.6110.7+3.657%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.227.0
54.9%
54.5%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.814.6
34.9%
35.8%43.8
🏀 Free throws23.218.1
78.0%
78.1%18.1
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.025.9
54.0%
54.5%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.713.9
35.0%
35.8%41.7
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
78.1%15.0
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
LLLWWLLWWL
Miami Heat
LWWLLWWWWL
#22
League position
#10
-1.7
Net rating
+1.5
113.2
Offensive rating
110.7
114.9
Defensive rating
109.2
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.3%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
13.2%
Turnover %
11.7%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.9%
3-point %
35.0%
57.0%
Assist %
59.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 110.7Defence114.9 · 109.2Shooting53.7% · 53.3%3-point %34.9% · 35.0%Ball care13.2% · 11.7%Off. rebounds25.1% · 22.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Utah Jazz wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
13/11/21Utah Jazz v Miami Heat105-111
06/11/21Miami Heat v Utah Jazz118-115
27/02/21Miami Heat v Utah Jazz124-116
14/02/21Utah Jazz v Miami Heat112-94
25/07/20Utah Jazz v Miami Heat101-99
13/02/20Utah Jazz v Miami Heat116-101
24/12/19Miami Heat v Utah Jazz107-104
13/12/18Utah Jazz v Miami Heat111-84
02/12/18Miami Heat v Utah Jazz102-100
07/01/18Miami Heat v Utah Jazz103-102
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22ASacramento Kings125-126
29/12/22AGolden State Warriors107-112
27/12/22ASan Antonio Spurs122-126
23/12/22HWashington Wizards120-112
21/12/22ADetroit Pistons126-111
20/12/22ACleveland Cavaliers99-122
18/12/22AMilwaukee Bucks97-123
16/12/22HNew Orleans Pelicans132-129 OT
14/12/22HNew Orleans Pelicans121-100
11/12/22ADenver Nuggets110-115
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22ADenver Nuggets119-124
29/12/22HLos Angeles Lakers112-98
27/12/22HMinnesota Timberwolves113-110
24/12/22HIndiana Pacers108-111
21/12/22HChicago Bulls103-113
17/12/22ASan Antonio Spurs111-101
16/12/22AHouston Rockets111-108
15/12/22AOklahoma City Thunder110-108
13/12/22AIndiana Pacers87-82
10/12/22HSan Antonio Spurs111-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381721
Win %50%71%33%
Points / game117.1121.4113.6
Allowed / game116.3115.6116.9
Point differential+0.8+5.8-3.3
Avg total233.4237.1230.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%35%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)80% (5)25% (8)
Overtime %8%6%10%
Miami Heat
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeLLLWW58%
AwayWWWWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %50%58%41%
Points / game108.5110.0106.9
Allowed / game109.3109.7108.8
Point differential-0.8+0.3-1.9
Avg total217.8219.7215.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (18)70% (10)50% (8)
Overtime %8%5%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics36261072%118.8112.1+6.8
2 Brooklyn Nets36241267%114.5111.0+3.5
3 Milwaukee Bucks35231266%112.9110.5+2.5
4 Denver Nuggets35231266%116.4114.4+2.0
5 New Orleans Pelicans36231364%117.6112.8+4.8
6 Memphis Grizzlies35221363%115.4111.2+4.2
7 Cleveland Cavaliers37231462%111.2106.2+5.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers35211460%111.9108.2+3.7
9 Dallas Mavericks37211657%112.6110.4+2.2
10 Sacramento Kings34191556%118.3116.7+1.6
11 Los Angeles Clippers38211755%109.7109.4+0.3
12 Phoenix Suns37201754%115.1112.0+3.1
13 Indiana Pacers37201754%115.4115.8-0.5
14 Portland Trail Blazers35181751%112.3112.2+0.1
15 New York Knicks37191851%114.5112.1+2.4
16 Golden State Warriors37191851%116.4116.8-0.4
17 Utah Jazz38191950%117.1116.3+0.8
18 Miami Heat36181850%108.5109.3-0.8
19 Atlanta Hawks36171947%114.5115.5-1.0
20 Toronto Raptors36162044%111.3111.2+0.1
21 Chicago Bulls36162044%113.8114.8-1.0
22 Washington Wizards37162143%111.9112.9-1.0
23 Minnesota Timberwolves37162143%114.4115.9-1.5
24 Oklahoma City Thunder36152142%115.2116.8-1.6
25 Los Angeles Lakers36152142%116.0117.7-1.7
26 Orlando Magic37132435%109.8113.9-4.2
27 San Antonio Spurs36122433%111.9120.5-8.6
28 Houston Rockets36102628%109.4115.8-6.4
29 Charlotte Hornets37102727%111.3118.0-6.7
30 Detroit Pistons39102926%111.7118.5-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utah Jazz30333525123
Miami Heat31382730126
← all games of the day
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