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Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 107-104
32-28 21-24 23-29 31-23
Position#7
Record21-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game107.4
vs
Position#8
Record18-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game107.4
Allowed / game106.3
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Miami Heat v Utah Jazz
25 Mar 2027
MIA v UTA
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIA111
UTA115
04 Jan 2025
MIA100
UTA136
02 Mar 2024
MIA126
UTA120
13 Mar 2023
MIA119
UTA115
06 Nov 2021
MIA118
UTA115
26 Feb 2021
MIA124
UTA116
23 Dec 2019
MIA107
UTA104
02 Dec 2018
MIA102
UTA100
07 Jan 2018
MIA103
UTA102
12 Nov 2016
MIA91
UTA102
12 Nov 2015
MIA92
UTA91
17 Dec 2014
MIA87
UTA105
16 Dec 2013
MIA117
UTA94
22 Dec 2012
MIA105
UTA89
09 Nov 2010
MIA114
UTA116
23 Dec 2009
MIA80
UTA70
14 Mar 2009
MIA140
UTA129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
121-110 OT
121
110
+11
116avg 103
A04/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
93-112
93
112
-19
84avg 103
A05/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
112-103
112
103
+9
111avg 103
H07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
110-105 OT
110
105
+5
101avg 103
H08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
135-121 OT
135
121
+14
132avg 103
H11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
110-113
110
113
-3
98avg 103
H14/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
122-118 OT
122
118
+4
115avg 103
A15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
111-118
111
118
-7
100avg 103
A17/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
108-104
108
104
+4
105avg 103
A19/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
129-114
129
114
+15
138avg 103
H21/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
26-30
25-28
25-27
28-20
16-32
25-30
24-30
27-28
34-37
25-20
26-18
16-25
31-24
27-24
23-24
36-30
30-34
27-32
24-21
29-30
30-21
26-37
25-25
37-23
36-27
18-31
21-31
32-36
26-37
28-22
25-23
19-29
37-19
26-26
26-30
39-20
31-27
28-27
31-40
226.9Avg total
115.1Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)112.7107.4220.1+5.272%
Season at home (13)118.9104.7223.6+14.292%
Season away (16)107.6109.6217.2-2.156%
Last 10 (10)115.1111.8226.9+3.370%
Last 5 (5)116.0113.4229.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)131.0126.0257.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)106.9108.3215.3-1.447%
vs Weaker (14)116.1105.5221.6+10.693%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
110-130
110
130
-20
99avg 104
A01/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
94-103
94
103
-9
87avg 104
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
96-121
96
121
-25
84avg 104
H05/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
126-112
126
112
+14
130avg 104
H08/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
90-104
90
104
-14
79avg 104
H10/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
127-116
127
116
+11
124avg 104
A12/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
114-106
114
106
+8
108avg 104
H14/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
109-102
109
102
+7
108avg 104
H18/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
111-106
111
106
+5
103avg 104
A20/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
114-107
114
107
+7
117avg 104
A21/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-37
17-40
49-30
24-23
23-31
19-29
24-25
28-18
26-34
21-31
28-29
21-27
32-36
37-18
28-30
29-28
24-25
23-26
21-34
22-19
25-23
34-36
38-24
30-33
22-29
27-27
37-28
28-22
26-20
32-27
24-24
27-31
28-30
24-26
31-28
28-22
31-33
25-31
28-22
30-21
219.8Avg total
109.1Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)107.4106.3213.7+1.262%
Season at home (14)109.2105.4214.6+3.879%
Season away (15)105.8107.1212.9-1.347%
Last 10 (10)109.1110.7219.8-1.660%
Last 5 (5)115.0107.4222.4+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)110.5111.0221.5-0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (16)102.5106.4208.9-3.944%
vs Weaker (12)112.3104.8217.2+7.583%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
Miami HeatUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A04/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A05/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H14/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
73-50
73
50
+23
A15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A17/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A19/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H21/12
NBA
114.4Avg total
59.2Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.054.2112.3+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)62.752.4115.1+10.377%-
Last 30 away (17)54.555.6110.1-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)59.255.2114.4+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)63.253.8117.0+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.070.0123.0-17.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.955.3109.2-1.347%-
vs Weaker (14)62.852.0114.8+10.879%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
37-77
37
77
-40
A01/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
47-65
47
65
-18
H05/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H08/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H10/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A12/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H14/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H18/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A20/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A21/12
NBA
110.5Avg total
51.6Scored
58.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.152.6104.7-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.052.4109.4+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)47.852.7100.5-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)51.658.9110.5-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)54.856.4111.2-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.041.597.5+14.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)48.252.6100.9-4.444%-
vs Weaker (12)56.654.3110.9+2.242%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 115.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.527.3
53.0%
52.3%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.613.1
37.9%
35.7%39.3
🏀 Free throws27.521.2
77.1%
77.2%21.2
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 109.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.326.6
51.9%
52.3%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.012.9
40.3%
35.7%38.7
🏀 Free throws22.517.2
76.4%
77.2%17.2
They take 83.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLWLWWWLW
Utah Jazz
WWWWWLWLLL
#7
League position
#8
+3.2
Net rating
-1.6
112.5
Offensive rating
107.6
109.2
Defensive rating
109.1
54.5%
Effective FG%
55.2%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
12.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.9%
3-point %
40.3%
65.6%
Assist %
58.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 107.6Defence109.2 · 109.1Shooting54.5% · 55.2%3-point %37.9% · 40.3%Ball care12.5% · 17.0%Off. rebounds20.5% · 21.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Utah Jazz wins
DateGameScore
13/12/18Utah Jazz v Miami Heat111-84
02/12/18Miami Heat v Utah Jazz102-100
07/01/18Miami Heat v Utah Jazz103-102
11/11/17Utah Jazz v Miami Heat74-84
02/12/16Utah Jazz v Miami Heat110-111
13/11/16Miami Heat v Utah Jazz91-102
10/01/16Utah Jazz v Miami Heat98-83
13/11/15Miami Heat v Utah Jazz92-91
18/12/14Miami Heat v Utah Jazz87-105
13/12/14Utah Jazz v Miami Heat95-100
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/19HNew York Knicks129-114
19/12/19APhiladelphia 76ers108-104
17/12/19AMemphis Grizzlies111-118
15/12/19ADallas Mavericks122-118 OT
14/12/19HLos Angeles Lakers110-113
11/12/19HAtlanta Hawks135-121 OT
08/12/19HChicago Bulls110-105 OT
07/12/19HWashington Wizards112-103
05/12/19ABoston Celtics93-112
04/12/19AToronto Raptors121-110 OT
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/19ACharlotte Hornets114-107
20/12/19AAtlanta Hawks111-106
18/12/19HOrlando Magic109-102
14/12/19HGolden State Warriors114-106
12/12/19AMinnesota Timberwolves127-116
10/12/19HOklahoma City Thunder90-104
08/12/19HMemphis Grizzlies126-112
05/12/19HLos Angeles Lakers96-121
03/12/19APhiladelphia 76ers94-103
01/12/19AToronto Raptors110-130

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW72%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %72%92%56%
Points / game112.7118.9107.6
Allowed / game107.4104.7109.6
Point differential+5.2+14.2-2.1
Avg total220.1223.6217.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%69%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %17%15%19%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLWLWW79%
AwayLLWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %62%79%47%
Points / game107.4109.2105.8
Allowed / game106.3105.4107.1
Point differential+1.2+3.8-1.3
Avg total213.7214.6212.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%21%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)100% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks3127487%120.6107.1+13.5
2 Los Angeles Lakers3024680%112.3104.9+7.3
3 Boston Celtics2720774%111.2103.2+8.0
4 Miami Heat2921872%112.7107.4+5.2
5 Denver Nuggets2820871%107.6101.8+5.8
6 Toronto Raptors3021970%112.1106.4+5.7
7 Houston Rockets2920969%120.4114.8+5.7
8 Los Angeles Clippers32221069%115.7108.6+7.1
9 Philadelphia 76ers32221069%109.8104.9+4.9
10 Indiana Pacers31211068%109.1105.0+4.2
11 Dallas Mavericks29191066%117.2108.9+8.4
12 Utah Jazz29181162%107.4106.3+1.2
13 Brooklyn Nets29161355%111.9111.7+0.1
14 Oklahoma City Thunder29151452%109.2107.9+1.3
15 Portland Trail Blazers30141647%112.8113.4-0.6
16 Orlando Magic30131743%103.5104.9-1.5
17 Sacramento Kings29121741%105.1107.9-2.8
18 Charlotte Hornets33132039%104.2110.8-6.6
19 San Antonio Spurs28111739%111.9115.7-3.8
20 Phoenix Suns29111838%114.8115.6-0.8
21 Chicago Bulls32122038%105.7107.3-1.6
22 Memphis Grizzlies30111937%110.8116.2-5.4
23 Minnesota Timberwolves28101836%113.3117.2-3.9
24 Detroit Pistons31112035%108.4110.6-2.3
25 Washington Wizards2992031%117.5121.7-4.2
26 Cleveland Cavaliers3092130%104.5113.5-9.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans3072323%111.9118.5-6.6
28 New York Knicks3172423%103.5112.7-9.3
29 Golden State Warriors3062420%104.6113.6-9.0
30 Atlanta Hawks3162519%108.8118.6-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat32212331107
Utah Jazz28242923104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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