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Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 119-115
33-26 23-31 34-33 29-25
Position#10
Record36-33
FormWWLWL
Points / game108.6
Allowed / game109.4
vs
Position#22
Record33-35
FormLLLWW
Points / game117.3
Allowed / game117.2
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Miami Heat v Utah Jazz
25 Mar 2027
MIA v UTA
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIA111
UTA115
04 Jan 2025
MIA100
UTA136
02 Mar 2024
MIA126
UTA120
13 Mar 2023
MIA119
UTA115
06 Nov 2021
MIA118
UTA115
26 Feb 2021
MIA124
UTA116
23 Dec 2019
MIA107
UTA104
02 Dec 2018
MIA102
UTA100
07 Jan 2018
MIA103
UTA102
12 Nov 2016
MIA91
UTA102
12 Nov 2015
MIA92
UTA91
17 Dec 2014
MIA87
UTA105
16 Dec 2013
MIA117
UTA94
22 Dec 2012
MIA105
UTA89
09 Nov 2010
MIA114
UTA116
23 Dec 2009
MIA80
UTA70
14 Mar 2009
MIA140
UTA129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
99-128
99
128
-29
83avg 99
A25/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
103-108
103
108
-5
95avg 99
A26/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
101-99
101
99
+2
89avg 99
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
96-119
96
119
-23
83avg 99
H02/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
120-122
120
122
-2
114avg 99
H04/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
117-109
117
109
+8
118avg 99
H05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
130-128
130
128
+2
125avg 99
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
100-104
100
104
-4
96avg 99
H09/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
119-115
119
115
+4
116avg 99
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
114-126 OT
114
126
-12
95avg 99
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-42
24-31
18-22
25-33
16-29
35-25
21-28
31-26
28-22
30-28
26-30
17-19
38-34
15-37
24-25
19-23
31-37
25-34
32-25
32-26
29-26
37-23
21-26
30-34
30-43
33-25
29-28
38-32
30-26
23-31
29-30
18-17
27-26
23-33
32-30
37-26
24-34
31-24
23-23
30-27
225.7Avg total
109.9Scored
115.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)108.6109.4218.0-0.852%
Season at home (35)109.5108.7218.2+0.863%
Season away (34)107.6110.1217.7-2.541%
Last 10 (10)109.9115.8225.7-5.940%
Last 5 (5)116.0116.4232.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)105.0104.6209.6+0.460%
vs Similar ◀ (22)109.0110.5219.5-1.555%
vs Weaker (3)105.7108.3214.0-2.733%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
123-117
123
117
+6
119avg 107
A14/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
111-117
111
117
-6
110avg 107
A16/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
120-119 OT
120
119
+1
112avg 107
H24/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
118-102
118
102
+16
117avg 107
H26/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
94-102
94
102
-8
78avg 107
H01/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
103-130
103
130
-27
102avg 107
A04/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
119-129
119
129
-10
113avg 107
A06/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
116-120
116
120
-4
105avg 107
A08/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
131-124
131
124
+7
128avg 107
A10/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
119-111
119
111
+8
110avg 107
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-33
26-18
36-37
34-29
24-38
23-25
33-25
31-29
28-26
18-29
32-31
28-20
24-33
31-32
30-14
33-23
30-32
18-18
25-21
21-31
29-34
23-33
32-30
19-33
20-35
31-35
33-31
35-28
31-34
28-25
27-28
30-33
29-28
35-28
33-41
34-27
32-29
26-20
39-32
22-30
232.5Avg total
115.4Scored
117.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)117.3117.2234.5+0.049%
Season at home (33)118.4115.3233.7+3.161%
Season away (35)116.2119.1235.3-2.937%
Last 10 (10)115.4117.1232.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)117.6122.8240.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.5118.0233.5-2.525%
vs Similar ◀ (21)118.1121.3239.4-3.243%
vs Weaker (5)116.4106.2222.6+10.280%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
Miami HeatUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A25/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A26/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
53-71
53
71
-18
H02/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
56-71
56
71
-15
H04/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H09/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A12/03
NBA
117.1Avg total
56.1Scored
61.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.357.5112.8-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.458.4113.9-3.025%-
Last 30 away (14)55.156.5111.6-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)56.161.0117.1-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)57.458.2115.6-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)54.058.2112.2-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)55.357.6112.9-2.332%-
vs Weaker (3)57.056.0113.0+1.067%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A14/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A16/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H24/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H26/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H01/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A04/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A06/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A08/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A10/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A12/03
NBA
111.8Avg total
53.3Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.859.1115.9-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.958.4116.3-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)55.659.8115.4-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)53.358.5111.8-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)56.860.2117.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.562.5115.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)57.759.9117.6-2.138%-
vs Weaker (5)56.653.0109.6+3.660%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.226.2
53.3%
54.5%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.6
35.6%
35.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws26.822.7
84.7%
78.1%22.7
They take 81.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 115.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.730.0
54.8%
54.5%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.511.7
33.0%
35.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws25.120.3
80.9%
78.1%20.3
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLWWLLWLL
Utah Jazz
WWLLLLWWLW
#10
League position
#22
-5.9
Net rating
-1.6
110.7
Offensive rating
108.8
116.6
Defensive rating
110.4
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.7%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.6%
3-point %
33.0%
60.3%
Assist %
58.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 108.8Defence116.6 · 110.4Shooting53.3% · 52.7%3-point %35.6% · 33.0%Ball care14.8% · 17.0%Off. rebounds22.2% · 29.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Utah Jazz wins
DateGameScore
01/01/23Utah Jazz v Miami Heat123-126
13/11/21Utah Jazz v Miami Heat105-111
06/11/21Miami Heat v Utah Jazz118-115
27/02/21Miami Heat v Utah Jazz124-116
14/02/21Utah Jazz v Miami Heat112-94
25/07/20Utah Jazz v Miami Heat101-99
13/02/20Utah Jazz v Miami Heat116-101
24/12/19Miami Heat v Utah Jazz107-104
13/12/18Utah Jazz v Miami Heat111-84
02/12/18Miami Heat v Utah Jazz102-100
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23AOrlando Magic114-126 OT
11/03/23HCleveland Cavaliers119-115
09/03/23HCleveland Cavaliers100-104
07/03/23HAtlanta Hawks130-128
05/03/23HAtlanta Hawks117-109
04/03/23HNew York Knicks120-122
02/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers96-119
28/02/23APhiladelphia 76ers101-99
26/02/23ACharlotte Hornets103-108
25/02/23AMilwaukee Bucks99-128
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23ACharlotte Hornets119-111
10/03/23AOrlando Magic131-124
08/03/23ADallas Mavericks116-120
06/03/23AOklahoma City Thunder119-129
04/03/23AOklahoma City Thunder103-130
01/03/23HSan Antonio Spurs94-102
26/02/23HSan Antonio Spurs118-102
24/02/23HOklahoma City Thunder120-119 OT
16/02/23AMemphis Grizzlies111-117
14/02/23AIndiana Pacers123-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL52%
HomeLWWLW63%
AwayLLLWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693534
Win %52%63%41%
Points / game108.6109.5107.6
Allowed / game109.4108.7110.1
Point differential-0.8+0.8-2.5
Avg total218.0218.2217.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (38)68% (22)50% (16)
Overtime %7%3%12%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW49%
HomeLLWWL61%
AwayLLLWW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683335
Win %49%61%37%
Points / game117.3118.4116.2
Allowed / game117.2115.3119.1
Point differential+0.0+3.1-2.9
Avg total234.5233.7235.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (23)67% (12)27% (11)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks67481972%115.9111.9+4.0
2 Boston Celtics68472169%117.9112.4+5.5
3 Denver Nuggets68462268%116.9113.0+3.9
4 Philadelphia 76ers67452267%115.0110.7+4.3
5 Cleveland Cavaliers70432761%112.0106.7+5.4
6 Memphis Grizzlies66402661%115.8111.9+3.9
7 Sacramento Kings66402661%121.2118.3+2.9
8 Brooklyn Nets68392957%113.9113.0+0.9
9 New York Knicks70403057%115.0112.3+2.7
10 Phoenix Suns67373055%113.4111.2+2.2
11 Los Angeles Clippers69363352%112.5112.5+0.0
12 Miami Heat69363352%108.6109.4-0.8
13 Golden State Warriors68353351%118.1117.6+0.5
14 Dallas Mavericks68343450%113.9113.2+0.7
15 Atlanta Hawks68343450%117.3117.2+0.0
16 Minnesota Timberwolves68343450%115.4115.7-0.3
17 Oklahoma City Thunder68333549%117.8116.3+1.5
18 New Orleans Pelicans68333549%114.0113.3+0.7
19 Utah Jazz68333549%117.3117.2+0.0
20 Los Angeles Lakers68333549%116.6117.2-0.6
21 Toronto Raptors68323647%112.4112.2+0.2
22 Chicago Bulls67313646%113.2112.4+0.7
23 Washington Wizards68313746%112.9113.4-0.5
24 Portland Trail Blazers68313746%114.6115.8-1.3
25 Indiana Pacers69313845%115.5117.9-2.4
26 Orlando Magic68284041%111.6114.3-2.7
27 Charlotte Hornets70224831%111.8117.5-5.7
28 San Antonio Spurs67175025%112.0122.0-10.0
29 Detroit Pistons69165323%111.4118.6-7.2
30 Houston Rockets67155222%110.3118.5-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat33233429119
Utah Jazz26313325115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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