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Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 124-116
26-30 31-23 39-41 28-22
Position#15
Record16-18
FormLWWWW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game109.4
vs
Position#1
Record29-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game116.2
Allowed / game105.4
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Miami Heat v Utah Jazz
25 Mar 2027
MIA v UTA
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIA111
UTA115
04 Jan 2025
MIA100
UTA136
02 Mar 2024
MIA126
UTA120
13 Mar 2023
MIA119
UTA115
06 Nov 2021
MIA118
UTA115
26 Feb 2021
MIA124
UTA116
23 Dec 2019
MIA107
UTA104
02 Dec 2018
MIA102
UTA100
07 Jan 2018
MIA103
UTA102
12 Nov 2016
MIA91
UTA102
12 Nov 2015
MIA92
UTA91
17 Dec 2014
MIA87
UTA105
16 Dec 2013
MIA117
UTA94
22 Dec 2012
MIA105
UTA89
09 Nov 2010
MIA114
UTA116
23 Dec 2009
MIA80
UTA70
14 Mar 2009
MIA140
UTA129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
W
109-103
109
103
+6
105avg 103
A07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
98-96
98
96
+2
no box
H10/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
101-94
101
94
+7
100avg 103
A12/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
94-112
94
112
-18
84avg 103
A14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
118-125
118
125
-7
110avg 103
A16/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
112-120 OT
112
120
-8
105avg 103
A18/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
118-110
118
110
+8
118avg 103
A19/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
96-94
96
94
+2
89avg 103
A21/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
108-94
108
94
+14
108avg 103
A23/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
116avg 103
H25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
35-36
22-18
27-26
27-25
30-30
19-27
22-14
19-29
28-24
28-10
26-31
21-18
21-29
15-31
37-34
35-33
27-34
29-25
27-33
36-24
25-22
25-30
19-29
31-21
26-22
32-36
29-31
36-23
23-29
22-25
15-17
23-21
22-33
34-23
29-17
32-35
34-21
26-29
24-23
212.6Avg total
107.0Scored
105.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)107.0109.4216.4-2.447%
Season at home (16)106.5108.8215.3-2.350%
Season away (18)107.4109.9217.3-2.444%
Last 10 (10)107.0105.6212.6+1.470%
Last 5 (5)110.0105.2215.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)106.6119.5226.1-12.910%
vs Similar (17)106.9106.8213.8+0.159%
vs Weaker (3)109.092.7201.7+16.3100%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
138-121
138
121
+17
140avg 107
A06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
103-95
103
95
+8
96avg 107
A07/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
122-108
122
108
+14
no box
H10/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
129-115
129
115
+14
125avg 107
H13/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
112-94
112
94
+18
108avg 107
H14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
134-123
134
123
+11
120avg 107
H16/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
114-96
114
96
+18
101avg 107
A18/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
112-116
112
116
-4
95avg 107
A20/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
132-110
132
110
+22
136avg 107
H23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
114-89
114
89
+25
114avg 107
H25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-32
39-22
37-36
32-31
25-20
22-27
28-21
28-27
24-27
24-20
42-32
32-29
35-31
34-21
27-30
33-33
18-21
29-21
31-15
34-37
35-42
37-24
34-28
28-29
24-25
22-26
35-24
33-21
23-31
26-26
26-22
37-37
35-35
29-32
27-23
41-20
24-23
39-24
27-17
24-25
227.7Avg total
121.0Scored
106.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)116.2105.4221.6+10.783%
Season at home (19)117.7104.3222.0+13.489%
Season away (16)114.4106.8221.1+7.675%
Last 10 (10)121.0106.7227.7+14.390%
Last 5 (5)121.2106.8228.0+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)114.3113.7228.0+0.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)116.8101.8218.6+15.195%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
Miami HeatUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H10/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A12/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A16/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A18/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A19/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A21/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A23/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H25/02
NBA
108.8Avg total
55.6Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.555.6110.2-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.555.9111.4-0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)53.755.4109.1-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)55.653.2108.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)57.650.2107.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)51.159.4110.5-8.330%-
vs Similar (17)57.154.1111.1+3.065%-
vs Weaker (3)51.752.0103.7-0.333%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H10/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
69-52
69
52
+17
H13/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H16/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A18/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A20/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H25/02
NBA
110.4Avg total
57.4Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.051.7108.7+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.151.6111.7+8.681%-
Last 30 away (14)53.451.9105.4+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)57.453.0110.4+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)58.857.6116.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)54.357.9112.2-3.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)58.448.6107.0+9.780%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.925.6
52.4%
52.8%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.812.7
35.5%
36.6%38.1
🏀 Free throws21.717.7
81.6%
77.7%17.7
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 121.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers52.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.724.6
57.6%
52.8%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.617.6
39.5%
36.6%52.8
🏀 Free throws23.319.0
81.5%
77.7%19.0
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWWLLLWWW
Utah Jazz
WWLWWWWWWW
#15
League position
#1
+1.6
Net rating
+14.3
108.0
Offensive rating
119.3
106.4
Defensive rating
105.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
58.4%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
13.4%
Turnover %
13.8%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.5%
3-point %
39.5%
70.5%
Assist %
57.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 119.3Defence106.4 · 105.0Shooting52.7% · 58.4%3-point %35.5% · 39.5%Ball care13.4% · 13.8%Off. rebounds19.6% · 24.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Utah Jazz wins
DateGameScore
14/02/21Utah Jazz v Miami Heat112-94
25/07/20Utah Jazz v Miami Heat101-99
13/02/20Utah Jazz v Miami Heat116-101
24/12/19Miami Heat v Utah Jazz107-104
13/12/18Utah Jazz v Miami Heat111-84
02/12/18Miami Heat v Utah Jazz102-100
07/01/18Miami Heat v Utah Jazz103-102
11/11/17Utah Jazz v Miami Heat74-84
02/12/16Utah Jazz v Miami Heat110-111
13/11/16Miami Heat v Utah Jazz91-102
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/21HToronto Raptors116-108
23/02/21AOklahoma City Thunder108-94
21/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers96-94
19/02/21ASacramento Kings118-110
18/02/21AGolden State Warriors112-120 OT
16/02/21ALos Angeles Clippers118-125
14/02/21AUtah Jazz94-112
12/02/21AHouston Rockets101-94
10/02/21HNew York Knicks98-96
07/02/21ANew York Knicks109-103
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/21HLos Angeles Lakers114-89
23/02/21HCharlotte Hornets132-110
20/02/21ALos Angeles Clippers112-116
18/02/21ALos Angeles Clippers114-96
16/02/21HPhiladelphia 76ers134-123
14/02/21HMiami Heat112-94
13/02/21HMilwaukee Bucks129-115
10/02/21HBoston Celtics122-108
07/02/21AIndiana Pacers103-95
06/02/21ACharlotte Hornets138-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW47%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game107.0106.5107.4
Allowed / game109.4108.8109.9
Point differential-2.4-2.3-2.4
Avg total216.4215.3217.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %9%6%11%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %83%89%75%
Points / game116.2117.7114.4
Allowed / game105.4104.3106.8
Point differential+10.7+13.4+7.6
Avg total221.6222.0221.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%84%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz3529683%116.2105.4+10.7
2 Los Angeles Lakers37261170%111.4105.9+5.5
3 Philadelphia 76ers35241169%113.7110.3+3.4
4 Brooklyn Nets36241267%121.1115.5+5.6
5 Los Angeles Clippers37231462%113.7109.8+3.9
6 Phoenix Suns35201557%112.4108.7+3.7
7 Milwaukee Bucks36201656%119.2113.3+5.9
8 Golden State Warriors36201656%114.0112.1+1.9
9 Denver Nuggets35191654%115.6110.6+5.0
10 Portland Trail Blazers35191654%113.8116.1-2.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies32171553%111.8111.0+0.8
12 San Antonio Spurs31161552%110.1112.0-2.0
13 Chicago Bulls35181751%114.6114.0+0.5
14 Toronto Raptors37191851%112.6110.3+2.3
15 New York Knicks37191851%104.2102.8+1.4
16 Dallas Mavericks34171750%112.8113.6-0.8
17 New Orleans Pelicans34161847%115.8114.9+1.0
18 Miami Heat34161847%107.0109.4-2.4
19 Boston Celtics35161946%110.0110.4-0.4
20 Charlotte Hornets35161946%111.4112.5-1.1
21 Atlanta Hawks36162044%113.6113.5+0.0
22 Indiana Pacers34151944%112.5112.1+0.4
23 Orlando Magic37152241%105.8111.8-6.0
24 Houston Rockets35142140%109.3110.9-1.6
25 Oklahoma City Thunder35142140%106.9112.1-5.3
26 Washington Wizards33132039%113.1118.1-5.0
27 Sacramento Kings36142239%113.7119.9-6.1
28 Cleveland Cavaliers37142338%103.8112.2-8.4
29 Detroit Pistons36112531%106.5109.9-3.4
30 Minnesota Timberwolves3682822%108.6116.3-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat26313928124
Utah Jazz30234122116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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