PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 82-123
23-31 18-25 19-33 22-34
Position#10
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#2
Record4-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game77.2
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vaerlose v Bakken Bears
18 Oct 2026
VAER82
BBE123
29 Dec 2025
VAER70
BBE87
12 Jan 2025
VAER73
BBE98
21 Mar 2024
VAER79
BBE103
03 Feb 2024
VAER76
BBE98
01 Oct 2022
VAER84
BBE75
21 Nov 2021
VAER64
BBE90
06 Oct 2020
VAER74
BBE106
10 Jan 2020
VAER71
BBE85
29 Mar 2019
VAER87
BBE98
14 Oct 2018
VAER78
BBE90
10 Nov 2017
VAER69
BBE94
17 Nov 2016
VAER56
BBE110
04 Mar 2015
VAER66
BBE90
22 Feb 2014
VAER76
BBE103
29 Sep 2013
VAER74
BBE85
21 Oct 2012
VAER69
BBE87
18 Jan 2012
VAER66
BBE79
09 Oct 2011
VAER64
BBE75
08 Dec 2010
VAER79
BBE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Vejen
#9
L
83-86
83
86
-3
74avg 72
A08/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
96-90
96
90
+6
94avg 72
H12/04
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
74-97
74
97
-23
67avg 72
H19/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
89-83
89
83
+6
87avg 72
A23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
70-91
70
91
-21
61avg 72
H28/04
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
88-78
88
78
+10
78avg 72
A19/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
58avg 72
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
62avg 72
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
79-99
79
99
-20
74avg 72
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#8
L
80-92
80
92
-12
70avg 72
A08/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
25-27
18-24
22-13
23-19
21-24
24-22
28-25
23-27
14-27
19-21
18-22
24-12
23-23
19-26
23-22
15-22
17-28
25-15
13-26
24-23
18-11
17-28
29-16
20-16
19-23
14-24
21-25
16-13
20-23
14-25
23-12
25-20
16-26
21-21
17-32
20-25
25-19
18-28
17-20
171.1Avg total
81.8Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.289.2170.4-8.020%
Season at home (1)85.089.0174.0-4.00%
Season away (4)80.289.2169.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)81.889.3171.1-7.530%
Last 5 (5)81.289.2170.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.295.5169.7-21.49%
vs Similar (17)85.584.6170.2+0.971%
vs Weaker (2)83.586.5170.0-3.050%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
98-86
98
86
+12
92avg 90
H21/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
87-81
87
81
+6
77avg 90
A25/05
Basketligaen
Zwolle
#46
W
89-78
89
78
+11
76avg 90
H16/09
Champions League
Salon Vilpas
#16
L
72-90
72
90
-18
57avg 90
A18/09
Champions League
Horsens
#3
W
83-64
83
64
+19
76avg 90
H24/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
108-84
108
84
+24
110avg 90
A27/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
112-75
112
75
+37
118avg 90
H30/09
Basketligaen
Benfica
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
70avg 90
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Randers
#5
W
103-86
103
86
+17
95avg 90
H10/10
Basketligaen
Geneva Lions
#18
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 90
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
24-28
29-13
19-24
18-17
19-21
29-22
21-21
22-33
21-12
22-16
24-17
19-23
21-26
21-26
11-15
27-13
19-21
10-21
27-9
23-16
24-20
33-22
28-26
29-19
32-16
26-20
25-20
16-19
20-19
14-27
31-26
27-27
27-14
25-25
24-20
27-20
10-22
26-12
15-19
171.9Avg total
91.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)101.577.2178.8+24.2100%
Season at home (3)99.375.0174.3+24.3100%
Season away (1)108.084.0192.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.180.8171.9+10.380%
Last 5 (5)96.481.8178.2+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.590.5167.0-14.00%
vs Similar (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)95.781.5177.2+14.277%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
VaerloseBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vejen
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A08/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H12/04
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H19/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H28/04
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A19/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A08/10
Basketligaen
83.6Avg total
40.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.145.184.2-6.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.845.384.1-6.536%-
Last 30 away (16)39.444.984.4-5.531%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.083.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.880.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.548.484.9-11.80%-
vs Similar (17)40.642.683.3-2.053%-
vs Weaker (2)40.548.088.5-7.550%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H21/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/05
Basketligaen
Zwolle
#46
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/09
Champions League
Salon Vilpas
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A18/09
Champions League
Horsens
#3
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H24/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A27/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H30/09
Basketligaen
Benfica
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Randers
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H10/10
Basketligaen
Geneva Lions
#18
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
85.8Avg total
45.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.939.687.5+8.373%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.538.287.7+11.387%-
Last 30 away (15)46.341.087.3+5.360%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.785.8+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.038.485.4+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.043.581.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (1)37.042.079.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)49.339.088.3+10.385%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.7
53.2%
55.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.9
29.0%
31.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.216.7
66.3%
68.0%16.7
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.623.3
63.7%
55.2%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.110.0
29.3%
31.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.414.5
64.7%
68.0%14.5
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLLLWLWLWL
Bakken Bears
WWLWWWLWWW
#10
League position
#2
-8.0
Net rating
+10.7
87.8
Offensive rating
95.4
95.8
Defensive rating
84.7
49.2%
Effective FG%
54.2%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.0%
3-point %
29.3%
61.9%
Assist %
52.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence87.8 · 95.4Defence95.8 · 84.7Shooting49.2% · 54.2%3-point %29.0% · 29.3%Ball care17.3% · 15.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vaerlose wins
10
Bakken Bears wins
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26AVejen80-92
02/10/26AHorsens79-99
27/09/26HRanders85-89 OT
22/09/26ACopenhagen74-88
19/09/26AGladsaxe88-78
28/04/26HBears Academy70-91
23/04/26AHolbaek-Stenhus89-83
19/04/26HBMS Herlev74-97
12/04/26HAmager96-90
08/04/26AVejen83-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26AGeneva Lions78-73
10/10/26HRanders103-86
07/10/26HBenfica81-91
30/09/26HGladsaxe112-75
27/09/26ABears Academy108-84
24/09/26HHorsens83-64
18/09/26ASalon Vilpas72-90
16/09/26HZwolle89-78
25/05/26ATeam FOG Naestved87-81
21/05/26HTeam FOG Naestved98-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%0%25%
Points / game81.285.080.2
Allowed / game89.289.089.2
Point differential-8.0-4.0-9.0
Avg total170.4174.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%100%0%
Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game101.599.3108.0
Allowed / game77.275.084.0
Point differential+24.2+24.3+24.0
Avg total178.8174.3192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved550100%102.266.6+35.6
2 Bakken Bears440100%101.577.2+24.2
3 Randers64267%94.785.3+9.3
4 Svendborg64267%88.280.0+8.2
5 Horsens64267%84.280.8+3.3
6 Copenhagen53260%75.674.4+1.2
7 Vejen52340%80.891.6-10.8
8 Gladsaxe62433%79.385.2-5.8
9 Holbaek-Stenhus62433%77.790.7-13.0
10 Vaerlose51420%81.289.2-8.0
11 Bears Academy61517%76.288.8-12.7
12 BMS Herlev61517%75.095.5-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2318192282
Bakken Bears31253334123
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.