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Valencia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 116-93
25-14 33-22 28-24 30-33
Position#2
Record1-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#11
Record1-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game89.3
SpainACBRound 4· Roig Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Valencia v Murcia
18 Oct 2026
VAL116
MUR93
08 Mar 2026
VAL110
MUR84
05 Apr 2025
VAL71
MUR86
25 May 2024
VAL77
MUR84
18 May 2024
VAL86
MUR96
24 Mar 2024
VAL83
MUR82
16 Oct 2022
VAL74
MUR75
18 Feb 2022
VAL83
MUR86
26 Sep 2021
VAL86
MUR91
20 Dec 2020
VAL89
MUR78
10 Mar 2019
VAL89
MUR65
01 Apr 2018
VAL73
MUR84
14 May 2017
VAL67
MUR70
22 Dec 2015
VAL65
MUR54
24 Jan 2015
VAL81
MUR63
14 Dec 2013
VAL88
MUR86
26 Jan 2013
VAL94
MUR96
24 Mar 2012
VAL87
MUR80
29 Dec 2009
VAL72
MUR67
26 Apr 2009
VAL83
MUR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
108-84
108
84
+24
101avg 92
A24/06
ACB
Besiktas
#14
W
96-94
96
94
+2
89avg 92
A25/09
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
L
100-105
100
105
-5
86avg 92
H27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
111-88
111
88
+23
101avg 92
H29/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
105-92
105
92
+13
104avg 92
A02/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
W
97-82
97
82
+15
90avg 92
A04/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
W
93-82
93
82
+11
84avg 92
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
74avg 92
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
86avg 92
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
88-91
88
91
-3
79avg 92
H15/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
21-12
35-29
26-20
28-27
26-24
27-20
15-23
20-26
33-24
19-26
28-29
26-10
26-23
31-27
28-28
21-33
29-28
26-16
29-15
21-22
15-17
30-28
31-15
29-17
18-23
27-17
19-25
26-19
14-20
20-29
26-21
31-17
28-17
12-25
19-31
23-31
25-19
24-21
16-20
189.0Avg total
98.1Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.392.0186.3+2.333%
Season at home (1)100.0105.0205.0-5.00%
Season away (2)91.585.5177.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)98.190.9189.0+7.260%
Last 5 (5)92.289.2181.4+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)89.187.6176.8+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)97.387.8185.0+9.573%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
100-90
100
90
+10
97avg 80
A24/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
116-95
116
95
+21
109avg 80
H29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
68-91
68
91
-23
51avg 80
H02/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
80avg 80
A04/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
76-100
76
100
-24
60avg 80
H06/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
77-84
77
84
-7
64avg 80
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#6
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 80
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#37
W
85-58
85
58
+27
89avg 80
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
64avg 80
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
86-67
86
67
+19
80avg 80
A14/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
23-26
27-21
28-26
23-29
35-17
28-23
30-26
14-16
16-30
22-20
16-25
22-18
21-22
24-26
23-21
17-27
19-25
25-27
15-21
16-22
17-14
19-16
25-32
18-18
28-28
24-27
30-21
16-8
23-14
27-20
19-16
13-16
20-28
24-22
20-24
15-17
19-15
32-23
20-12
173.1Avg total
87.5Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.789.3174.0-4.733%
Season at home (2)88.592.0180.5-3.550%
Season away (1)77.084.0161.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)87.585.6173.1+1.960%
Last 5 (5)85.078.6163.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)87.098.0185.0-11.033%
vs Similar (7)86.192.4178.6-6.329%
vs Weaker (20)91.879.7171.5+12.295%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
ValenciaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A24/06
ACB
Besiktas
#14
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A25/09
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H29/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A02/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
91.8Avg total
48.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.141.288.3+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.641.288.8+6.459%-
Last 30 away (13)46.441.387.7+5.185%-
Last 10 (10)48.643.291.8+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.486.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)46.640.487.0+6.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.241.588.8+5.773%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A24/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H02/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H06/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#37
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/10
Champions League
80.4Avg total
39.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.483.4+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.840.683.4+2.269%-
Last 30 away (14)43.240.383.5+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)39.740.780.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.073.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.348.387.7-9.00%-
vs Similar (7)40.442.482.9-2.043%-
vs Weaker (20)44.538.583.0+5.985%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.7
53.8%
55.7%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.7
38.1%
36.2%35.1
🏀 Free throws21.716.5
76.0%
75.8%16.5
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.6
52.0%
55.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.0
34.7%
36.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.517.3
76.9%
75.8%17.3
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLLWWWWLWW
Murcia
WLWWLLWLWW
#2
League position
#11
+7.1
Net rating
+2.1
105.5
Offensive rating
98.6
98.4
Defensive rating
96.5
55.2%
Effective FG%
52.0%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
10.7%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.1%
3-point %
34.7%
59.3%
Assist %
55.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 98.6Defence98.4 · 96.5Shooting55.2% · 52.0%3-point %38.1% · 34.7%Ball care10.7% · 14.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
5
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
08/03/26Valencia v Murcia110-84
21/12/25Murcia v Valencia92-80
05/04/25Valencia v Murcia71-86
15/12/24Murcia v Valencia88-96
25/05/24Valencia v Murcia77-84
22/05/24Murcia v Valencia72-83
18/05/24Valencia v Murcia86-96
24/03/24Valencia v Murcia83-82
10/12/23Murcia v Valencia77-85 OT
19/04/23Murcia v Valencia90-82
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
13/10/26HOlympiacos97-102 OT
11/10/26ABarcelona86-89
08/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
04/10/26ABasket Zaragoza97-82
02/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne105-92
29/09/26HBaskonia111-88
27/09/26HForca Lleida100-105
25/09/26ABesiktas96-94
24/06/26ABarcelona108-84
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26ABamberg86-67
11/10/26HTenerife77-90
07/10/26HVarese85-58
04/10/26HBarcelona100-94
27/09/26ABasquet Girona77-84
06/06/26HBarcelona76-100
04/06/26ABarcelona90-87
02/06/26HBarcelona68-91
29/05/26HForca Lleida116-95
24/05/26ABasket Zaragoza100-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game94.3100.091.5
Allowed / game92.0105.085.5
Point differential+2.3-5.0+6.0
Avg total186.3205.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game84.788.577.0
Allowed / game89.392.084.0
Point differential-4.7-3.5-7.0
Avg total174.0180.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baskonia330100%103.082.7+20.3
2 Real Madrid440100%110.590.2+20.2
3 Breogan43175%107.099.8+7.2
4 Basket Zaragoza43175%91.086.5+4.5
5 Obradoiro CAB43175%91.890.0+1.8
6 Tenerife32167%83.377.7+5.7
7 Barcelona32167%100.795.7+5.0
8 Unicaja42250%84.581.2+3.2
9 Bilbao42250%97.0100.5-3.5
10 Basquet Girona42250%91.0100.0-9.0
11 Valencia31233%94.392.0+2.3
12 Joventut Badalona31233%91.092.7-1.7
13 Murcia31233%84.789.3-4.7
14 San Pablo Burgos41325%87.588.5-1.0
15 Forca Lleida41325%93.298.5-5.2
16 MoraBanc Andorra41325%88.095.0-7.0
17 Leyma Coruna41325%91.5105.5-14.0
18 Manresa4040%85.5103.0-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia25332830116
Murcia1422243393
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