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Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 73-80
19-31 12-10 15-18 27-21
Position#13
Record4-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#2
Record5-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game77.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9
European cup2022
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
92-91
92
91
+1
87avg 77
A18/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
68avg 77
A20/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
no box
A23/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
87-73
87
73
+14
79avg 77
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 77
H30/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 77
A04/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
82avg 77
A06/11
ACB
Monaco
#4
W
89-84
89
84
+5
86avg 77
H11/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
59-89
59
89
-30
44avg 77
A17/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
78-94
78
94
-16
69avg 77
A19/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
25-24
21-23
26-23
25-20
18-14
15-26
19-19
27-27
21-14
18-18
18-25
23-20
27-19
22-16
15-18
18-23
22-32
20-22
20-15
22-28
12-19
24-24
25-11
18-24
30-17
17-27
23-15
20-20
21-20
23-14
25-30
8-24
17-18
17-24
17-23
17-27
19-23
18-23
24-21
170.1Avg total
83.6Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.282.0161.2-2.850%
Season at home (4)80.878.8159.5+2.050%
Season away (4)77.885.2163.0-7.550%
Last 10 (10)83.686.5170.1-2.960%
Last 5 (5)79.486.4165.8-7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.486.1167.6-4.743%
vs Similar (14)80.681.4162.1-0.850%
vs Weaker (9)84.679.6164.1+5.067%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
87-89
87
89
-2
85avg 77
H19/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
72-56
72
56
+16
78avg 77
H21/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
76avg 77
A23/10
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
91-95
91
95
-4
84avg 77
H27/10
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
95avg 77
H30/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
85avg 77
A03/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
89-94
89
94
-5
77avg 77
A06/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 77
H10/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
90-72
90
72
+18
91avg 77
H17/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
93-57
93
57
+36
89avg 77
H20/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
17-17
24-26
25-26
25-10
14-20
15-14
18-12
19-14
14-23
25-18
24-33
24-18
21-23
19-27
27-27
26-12
26-18
13-22
26-17
23-20
24-30
20-11
16-16
13-20
23-28
22-23
31-23
26-19
28-24
15-20
25-22
26-20
27-17
17-15
20-20
27-9
25-13
19-21
22-14
165.4Avg total
87.2Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.677.1159.8+5.562%
Season at home (5)86.879.4166.2+7.460%
Season away (3)75.773.3149.0+2.367%
Last 10 (10)87.278.2165.4+9.060%
Last 5 (5)89.877.0166.8+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)79.575.9155.4+3.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.876.8164.6+11.189%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A18/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A20/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A23/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H30/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A04/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A06/11
ACB
Monaco
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A17/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A19/11
ACB
84.4Avg total
41.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.681.6+0.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.840.582.3+1.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.780.8-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.484.4-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.844.080.8-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.944.383.1-5.429%-
vs Similar (14)42.040.082.0+2.071%-
vs Weaker (9)40.938.879.7+2.167%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H21/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/10
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H27/10
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H30/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A03/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A06/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H10/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H17/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H20/11
ACB
82.4Avg total
44.9Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.378.0+5.373%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.434.678.1+8.888%-
Last 30 away (14)39.638.377.9+1.357%-
Last 10 (10)44.937.582.4+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)48.440.088.4+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)38.336.174.4+2.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.736.680.2+7.178%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.1
51.2%
53.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.0
36.5%
36.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.012.3
82.0%
78.5%12.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.2
53.6%
53.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.0
38.6%
36.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.216.5
81.7%
78.5%16.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLWWWLWWLW
Real Madrid
WWWLWWLLWL
#13
League position
#2
-5.4
Net rating
+13.5
109.3
Offensive rating
116.2
114.6
Defensive rating
102.7
52.9%
Effective FG%
55.3%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.5%
3-point %
38.6%
60.1%
Assist %
67.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 116.2Defence114.6 · 102.7Shooting52.9% · 55.3%3-point %36.5% · 38.6%Ball care18.5% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.9% · 33.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
5
Real Madrid wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22ATenerife78-94
17/11/22AVirtus Bologna59-89
11/11/22HMonaco89-84
06/11/22ABreogan88-83
04/11/22AOlympiacos83-82
30/10/22HBarcelona80-92
27/10/22HAlba Berlin87-73
23/10/22AObradoiro CAB103-98 OT
20/10/22AFenerbahce77-79
18/10/22AAnadolu Efes92-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/22HMurcia93-57
17/11/22HAlba Berlin90-72
10/11/22HAnadolu Efes94-85
06/11/22ABasket Zaragoza89-94
03/11/22AOlimpia Milano83-77
30/10/22HFuenlabrada91-69
27/10/22HVirtus Bologna91-95
23/10/22ABaskonia82-88
21/10/22HCrvena zvezda72-56
19/10/22HOlympiacos87-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.280.877.8
Allowed / game82.078.885.2
Point differential-2.8+2.0-7.5
Avg total161.2159.5163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game82.686.875.7
Allowed / game77.179.473.3
Point differential+5.5+7.4+2.3
Avg total159.8166.2149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce98189%87.475.8+11.7
2 Olympiacos96367%85.279.1+6.1
3 Monaco96367%83.780.9+2.8
4 Real Madrid85362%82.677.1+5.5
5 Barcelona85362%78.576.2+2.2
6 Zalgiris Kaunas85362%79.077.1+1.9
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv95456%83.384.9-1.6
8 Baskonia84450%87.886.2+1.5
9 Partizan84450%84.685.6-1.0
10 Virtus Bologna84450%73.274.6-1.4
11 Valencia84450%79.282.0-2.8
12 Anadolu Efes83538%83.983.6+0.2
13 Olimpia Milano83538%70.073.8-3.8
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne83538%73.177.6-4.5
15 Alba Berlin93633%81.781.4+0.2
16 Crvena zvezda93633%73.179.3-6.2
17 Bayern82625%72.877.8-5.0
18 Panathinaikos82625%78.586.1-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1912152773
Real Madrid3110182180
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