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Valencia vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 91-87
25-13 25-26 21-25 20-23
Position#3
Record19-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game85.9
Valencia 🏆
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas
Position#5
Record17-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game83.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30· Roig Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Valencia v Zalgiris Kaunas
04 Mar 2027
VAL v ZAL
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
VAL91
ZAL87
09 Jan 2024
VAL79
ZAL84
25 Nov 2022
VAL76
ZAL80
27 Jan 2021
VAL78
ZAL79
21 Dec 2017
VAL63
ZAL71
19 Jan 2011
VAL73
ZAL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Bayern
#14
L
89-93
89
93
-4
79avg 88
A22/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
90-80
90
80
+10
84avg 88
A25/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 88
H29/01
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
101-65
101
65
+36
90avg 88
H01/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
90-107
90
107
-17
84avg 88
A03/02
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
97avg 88
A05/02
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
79avg 88
A08/02
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
82-67
82
67
+15
73avg 88
H12/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
107-75
107
75
+32
100avg 88
A15/02
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
108-79
108
79
+29
110avg 88
A26/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
20-31
26-26
19-14
19-20
26-14
24-28
21-18
21-27
23-23
22-18
28-15
25-15
27-17
19-19
30-14
14-33
32-24
18-27
26-23
24-21
12-28
25-24
27-15
18-24
27-23
22-25
20-18
22-17
22-16
19-12
19-22
25-23
32-16
26-14
24-22
35-16
33-19
25-23
15-21
179.0Avg total
95.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)91.085.9176.9+5.166%
Season at home (14)90.181.1171.2+9.186%
Season away (15)91.990.4182.3+1.547%
Last 10 (10)95.283.8179.0+11.470%
Last 5 (5)97.682.0179.6+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)94.890.3185.2+4.567%
vs Weaker (24)92.780.5173.2+12.271%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
104-91
104
91
+13
117avg 85
H01/02
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
104-87
104
87
+17
103avg 85
H03/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
82-92
82
92
-10
81avg 85
A06/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
87-76
87
76
+11
92avg 85
H08/02
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
88avg 85
H13/02
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
69-63
69
63
+6
60avg 85
A15/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
91-67
91
67
+24
88avg 85
A18/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
119-81
119
81
+38
128avg 85
H21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
101-85
101
85
+16
106avg 85
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
92avg 85
H25/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-21
21-24
31-23
17-23
35-18
21-20
20-22
28-27
24-25
21-22
22-18
15-27
19-27
32-10
20-18
16-21
24-20
20-23
19-19
30-20
14-12
19-14
18-19
18-18
18-16
24-13
26-21
23-17
31-22
25-22
35-20
28-17
25-21
37-16
22-27
17-21
18-18
19-21
14-21
22-13
176.7Avg total
94.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)89.083.6172.6+5.459%
Season at home (14)87.978.4166.3+9.471%
Season away (15)90.188.4178.5+1.747%
Last 10 (10)94.981.8176.7+13.190%
Last 5 (5)95.878.0173.8+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.094.0193.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (5)94.881.6176.4+13.280%
vs Weaker (24)92.580.2172.7+12.275%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
ValenciaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#14
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A22/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A25/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H29/01
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H01/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A03/02
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A05/02
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A08/02
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H12/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A15/02
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
68-35
68
35
+33
A26/02
Euroleague
91.0Avg total
48.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.142.387.4+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.940.986.8+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)44.443.687.9+0.838%-
Last 10 (10)48.142.991.0+5.250%-
Last 5 (5)50.040.690.6+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.245.888.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker (24)45.841.487.2+4.458%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H01/02
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H03/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A06/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H08/02
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H13/02
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A15/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A18/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H25/02
Euroleague
86.7Avg total
48.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.339.585.8+6.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.738.186.8+10.675%-
Last 30 away (14)43.641.184.7+2.643%-
Last 10 (10)48.238.586.7+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)46.035.081.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)47.237.885.0+9.480%-
vs Weaker (24)46.539.886.4+6.758%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.521.1
61.2%
60.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.8
37.9%
35.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws19.413.0
67.0%
78.2%13.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.423.9
63.9%
60.4%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.19.1
39.4%
35.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.915.3
76.9%
78.2%15.3
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWLWLWWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#5
+10.7
Net rating
+14.8
100.6
Offensive rating
102.4
89.9
Defensive rating
87.6
59.1%
Effective FG%
62.1%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
12.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.9%
3-point %
39.4%
63.2%
Assist %
74.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 102.4Defence89.9 · 87.6Shooting59.1% · 62.1%3-point %37.9% · 39.4%Ball care12.2% · 14.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Valencia   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
7
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
07/11/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Valencia86-77
09/01/24Valencia v Zalgiris Kaunas79-84
27/10/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Valencia72-87
31/03/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Valencia95-74
25/11/22Valencia v Zalgiris Kaunas76-80
27/01/21Valencia v Zalgiris Kaunas78-79
22/10/20Zalgiris Kaunas v Valencia82-94
18/01/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Valencia86-82
21/12/17Valencia v Zalgiris Kaunas63-71
24/02/11Zalgiris Kaunas v Valencia74-80
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26ABaskonia108-79
15/02/26AMoraBanc Andorra107-75
12/02/26HLyon-Villeurbanne82-67
08/02/26AJoventut Badalona87-90
05/02/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv104-99 OT
03/02/26AAnadolu Efes90-107
01/02/26HForca Lleida101-65
29/01/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv94-83
25/01/26AGran Canaria90-80
22/01/26ABayern89-93
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26HOlympiacos99-94 OT
22/02/26HRytas101-85
21/02/26HNeptunas119-81
18/02/26ANevezis91-67
15/02/26AGargzdai69-63
13/02/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
08/02/26HNeptunas87-76
06/02/26AAnadolu Efes82-92
03/02/26HMonaco104-87
01/02/26HJonava104-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW66%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %66%86%47%
Points / game91.090.191.9
Allowed / game85.981.190.4
Point differential+5.1+9.1+1.5
Avg total176.9171.2182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%64%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (2)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW59%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %59%71%47%
Points / game89.087.990.1
Allowed / game83.678.488.4
Point differential+5.4+9.4+1.7
Avg total172.6166.3178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2922776%82.778.9+3.8
2 Valencia29191066%91.085.9+5.1
3 Olympiacos28181064%90.184.3+5.9
4 Real Madrid29181162%87.482.8+4.6
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv28171161%86.583.4+3.1
6 Zalgiris Kaunas29171259%89.083.6+5.4
7 Crvena zvezda29171259%87.485.5+1.9
8 Barcelona29171259%86.084.9+1.2
9 Panathinaikos29161355%85.784.3+1.4
10 Monaco30161453%90.186.3+3.8
11 Dubai29151452%88.087.6+0.4
12 Olimpia Milano29141548%85.386.3-1.0
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv29141548%89.691.7-2.2
14 Virtus Bologna29131645%81.484.3-2.8
15 Bayern29121741%80.584.0-3.5
16 Paris28101836%89.591.9-2.4
17 Anadolu Efes2992031%80.284.0-3.8
18 Baskonia2992031%87.092.3-5.2
19 Partizan2992031%80.087.8-7.8
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne2972224%78.486.2-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2525212091
Zalgiris Kaunas1326252387
← all games of the day
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