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Varese vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 102-95
26-18 21-32 31-14 24-31
Position#12
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game109.5
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game77.0
ItalyLega ARound 5· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Varese v Pistoia
27 Oct 2024
VAR102
PIS95
04 Oct 2023
VAR83
PIS82
26 Dec 2019
VAR91
PIS60
05 May 2019
VAR98
PIS70
29 Oct 2017
VAR81
PIS73
27 Feb 2017
VAR75
PIS70
03 Apr 2016
VAR91
PIS78
04 Jan 2015
VAR67
PIS71
23 Mar 2014
VAR84
PIS73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 83
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
113-79
113
79
+34
114avg 83
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
90-102
90
102
-12
84avg 83
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
112-88
112
88
+24
108avg 83
A21/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
95-100
95
100
-5
82avg 83
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
96-78
96
78
+18
89avg 83
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
94-118
94
118
-24
81avg 83
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
95-105
95
105
-10
86avg 83
H06/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
100-106
100
106
-6
85avg 83
A13/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
100-109
100
109
-9
94avg 83
H19/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
18-21
12-12
22-22
27-26
27-17
21-20
38-16
17-27
30-23
24-23
19-29
35-25
29-16
27-28
21-19
19-31
30-27
25-19
21-23
26-19
28-23
23-15
19-21
24-29
28-28
23-36
19-25
28-29
32-22
13-31
22-23
27-25
31-25
14-29
28-27
33-24
24-28
21-27
22-30
193.4Avg total
96.8Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)97.2109.5206.8-12.20%
Season at home (2)97.5107.0204.5-9.50%
Season away (2)97.0112.0209.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)96.896.6193.4+0.230%
Last 5 (5)97.0103.2200.2-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)86.395.5181.7-9.218%
vs Similar ◀ (16)94.287.6181.9+6.669%
vs Weaker (3)85.380.7166.0+4.767%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
L
90-96
90
96
-6
87avg 69
H21/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
105-80
105
80
+25
100avg 69
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
78-96
78
96
-18
62avg 69
H05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
53avg 69
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
62avg 69
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
63avg 69
H17/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 69
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
56avg 69
A06/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
66-65
66
65
+1
63avg 69
A13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 69
H20/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
24-24
26-15
15-30
24-20
31-22
21-26
29-12
19-26
23-28
15-23
21-19
12-23
16-25
27-13
15-18
19-30
15-16
17-25
24-26
13-31
17-28
25-16
22-23
29-24
27-19
10-20
22-19
19-32
20-19
10-17
19-16
12-14
21-11
16-20
17-20
18-20
14-14
17-24
15-19
163.5Avg total
78.1Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.577.0148.5-5.550%
Season at home (2)76.079.5155.5-3.550%
Season away (2)67.074.5141.5-7.550%
Last 10 (10)78.185.4163.5-7.330%
Last 5 (5)72.681.2153.8-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)77.583.8161.3-6.447%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.886.2170.0-2.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
VaresePistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A21/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H06/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A13/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H19/10
Lega A
102.5Avg total
53.4Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.045.692.6+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.845.194.9+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)44.646.090.6-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)53.449.1102.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)56.250.4106.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)47.649.597.1-1.855%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)47.643.190.8+4.556%-
vs Weaker (3)41.344.786.0-3.333%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H21/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
30-59
30
59
-29
H17/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A06/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/10
Lega A
85.1Avg total
39.8Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.344.983.2-6.627%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.243.781.9-5.521%-
Last 30 away (16)38.445.984.2-7.531%-
Last 10 (10)39.845.385.1-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.480.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.244.281.4-6.935%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.246.686.8-6.417%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 95.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.018.3
57.2%
52.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.613.0
38.7%
35.8%39.0
🏀 Free throws23.720.1
84.8%
76.8%20.1
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.6
49.3%
52.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.0
34.3%
35.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.915.1
75.9%
76.8%15.1
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLLWLWLWL
Pistoia
LWLWLLLLWL
#12
League position
#16
-0.1
Net rating
-8.3
120.6
Offensive rating
105.5
120.7
Defensive rating
113.8
57.6%
Effective FG%
50.1%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.5%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.7%
3-point %
34.3%
56.9%
Assist %
49.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence120.6 · 105.5Defence120.7 · 113.8Shooting57.6% · 50.1%3-point %38.7% · 34.3%Ball care13.6% · 13.5%Off. rebounds21.7% · 20.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Varese wins
3
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
05/05/24Pistoia v Varese78-96
04/10/23Varese v Pistoia83-82
26/12/19Varese v Pistoia91-60
05/05/19Varese v Pistoia98-70
06/01/19Pistoia v Varese71-65
04/03/18Pistoia v Varese74-65
29/10/17Varese v Pistoia81-73
27/02/17Varese v Pistoia75-70
30/10/16Pistoia v Varese97-64
03/04/16Varese v Pistoia91-78
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HTrapani100-109
13/10/24ATrento100-106
06/10/24HTortona95-105
29/09/24ABrescia94-118
05/05/24APistoia96-78
28/04/24HTreviso95-100
21/04/24ASassari112-88
14/04/24AScafati90-102
07/04/24HBasket Napoli113-79
03/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.73-81
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24HVenezia64-77
13/10/24ACremona66-65
06/10/24AVirtus Bologna68-84
29/09/24HBasket Napoli88-82
17/05/24HBrescia77-98
14/05/24ABrescia75-97
12/05/24ABrescia70-79
05/05/24HVarese78-96
28/04/24ATrento105-80
21/04/24HBrindisi90-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game97.297.597.0
Allowed / game109.5107.0112.0
Point differential-12.2-9.5-15.0
Avg total206.8204.5209.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game71.576.067.0
Allowed / game77.079.574.5
Point differential-5.5-3.5-7.5
Avg total148.5155.5141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento550100%89.480.6+8.8
2 Virtus Bologna440100%80.873.2+7.5
3 Brescia54180%94.486.0+8.4
4 Olimpia Milano54180%87.680.8+6.8
5 Trieste54180%89.287.0+2.2
6 Tortona43175%87.881.5+6.2
7 Trapani53260%92.686.2+6.4
8 Reggiana53260%81.279.0+2.2
9 Pistoia42250%71.577.0-5.5
10 Venezia52340%73.073.8-0.8
11 Cremona51420%72.675.6-3.0
12 Scafati51420%84.888.0-3.2
13 Sassari51420%84.690.2-5.6
14 Treviso51420%76.886.6-9.8
15 Basket Napoli5050%80.890.0-9.2
16 Varese4040%97.2109.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese26213124102
Pistoia1832143195
← all games of the day
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