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Varese vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 87-79
25-18 19-22 28-16 15-23
Position#7
Record13-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game75.0
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record17-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game73.2
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Varese v Venezia
22 Nov 2026
VAR v VEN
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
VAR94
VEN106
01 Dec 2024
VAR77
VEN86
14 Jan 2024
VAR92
VEN103
19 Nov 2022
VAR93
VEN90
15 Jan 2022
VAR76
VEN68
14 Apr 2021
VAR75
VEN77
17 Nov 2019
VAR93
VEN91
31 Mar 2019
VAR87
VEN79
01 Oct 2017
VAR62
VEN80
27 Dec 2016
VAR60
VEN73
10 Apr 2016
VAR79
VEN68
15 Feb 2015
VAR53
VEN67
27 Oct 2013
VAR84
VEN72
18 May 2013
VAR84
VEN75
12 May 2013
VAR81
VEN72
10 May 2013
VAR92
VEN74
13 Jan 2013
VAR85
VEN87
26 Nov 2011
VAR73
VEN67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
104-96
104
96
+8
128avg 116
A10/02
Lega A
Cremona
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A14/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#14
W
92-80
92
80
+12
126avg 116
H03/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
72avg 116
A10/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
83-64
83
64
+19
110avg 116
H17/03
Lega A
Oostende
#33
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
A20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
L
77-81
77
81
-4
66avg 116
A24/03
Lega A
Oostende
#33
W
72-57
72
57
+15
no box
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
34-26
24-19
19-27
15-19
25-25
12-16
21-22
23-24
19-18
28-16
22-22
25-12
12-20
15-28
28-17
27-15
26-15
9-24
9-22
33-21
23-19
21-19
23-25
23-13
19-22
18-16
23-13
21-17
22-16
11-17
19-20
24-21
16-18
17-15
20-27
18-15
10-9
27-14
17-19
159.2Avg total
82.5Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.275.0154.3+4.257%
Season at home (11)83.674.1157.7+9.582%
Season away (12)75.275.9151.1-0.833%
Last 10 (10)82.576.7159.2+5.870%
Last 5 (5)81.071.2152.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.974.3154.2+5.667%
vs Weaker (18)82.372.4154.7+9.972%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
89-86
89
86
+3
112avg 118
A03/02
Lega A
Fribourg Olympic
#34
W
72-62
72
62
+10
no box
H05/02
Champions League
Trento
#6
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
no box
H10/02
Lega A
Sassari
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
77-76
77
76
+1
109avg 118
A02/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
72-95
72
95
-23
no box
A05/03
Champions League
Sassari
#4
W
98-90
98
90
+8
128avg 118
H10/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
84-66
84
66
+18
no box
H12/03
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
87-86
87
86
+1
115avg 118
A17/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
76-65
76
65
+11
72avg 118
H24/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
20-28
21-14
30-19
28-8
12-18
9-16
23-20
13-22
10-22
23-15
27-14
29-20
28-21
18-25
13-23
16-22
14-19
24-22
23-13
18-23
10-22
24-26
20-24
27-23
27-15
21-23
23-29
19-12
18-19
23-19
24-16
20-29
21-18
23-14
23-25
22-17
19-15
21-18
14-15
161.6Avg total
82.0Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.273.2155.3+9.074%
Season at home (12)81.573.2154.8+8.267%
Season away (11)82.973.1156.0+9.882%
Last 10 (10)82.079.6161.6+2.470%
Last 5 (5)83.480.4163.8+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.385.7171.0-0.367%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.978.7157.6+0.255%
vs Weaker (15)80.872.1152.9+8.773%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
VareseVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A10/02
Lega A
Cremona
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A14/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H03/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A10/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Oostende
#33
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A24/03
Lega A
Oostende
#33
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
81.1Avg total
44.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.076.8+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.335.376.6+6.077%-
Last 30 away (17)38.538.476.9+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)44.236.981.1+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)41.834.276.0+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.336.779.0+5.778%-
vs Weaker (18)39.136.175.1+3.061%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A03/02
Lega A
Fribourg Olympic
#34
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H05/02
Champions League
Trento
#6
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H10/02
Lega A
Sassari
#3
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H15/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A02/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A05/03
Champions League
Sassari
#4
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H10/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H12/03
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A17/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H24/03
Lega A
78.7Avg total
38.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.577.0-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.937.175.9+1.860%-
Last 30 away (15)38.040.078.0-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.878.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.740.784.3+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.939.975.8-4.027%-
vs Weaker (15)38.036.974.9+1.153%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.5
45.7%
51.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.4
35.7%
35.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.012.7
70.6%
72.3%12.7
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.419.3
57.8%
51.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.5
39.5%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.910.6
66.7%
72.3%10.6
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLWWWLWWLW
Venezia
WWWWLWLLWW
#7
League position
#2
+3.1
Net rating
+7.2
111.2
Offensive rating
112.2
108.1
Defensive rating
105.0
49.1%
Effective FG%
58.4%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
13.1%
Turnover %
16.2%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.7%
3-point %
39.5%
52.0%
Assist %
65.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 112.2Defence108.1 · 105.0Shooting49.1% · 58.4%3-point %35.7% · 39.5%Ball care13.1% · 16.2%Off. rebounds33.0% · 21.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Varese   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
6
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
09/12/18Venezia v Varese61-66
21/01/18Venezia v Varese63-75
01/10/17Varese v Venezia62-80
23/04/17Venezia v Varese87-81
27/12/16Varese v Venezia60-73
10/04/16Varese v Venezia79-68
20/12/15Venezia v Varese84-58
15/02/15Varese v Venezia53-67
02/11/14Venezia v Varese98-95
02/02/14Venezia v Varese77-93
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/19HOostende72-57
24/03/19ABrindisi77-81
20/03/19AOostende73-70
17/03/19HCremona83-64
13/03/19HZ-Mobile Prishtina100-84
10/03/19AAvellino71-76
06/03/19AZ-Mobile Prishtina80-77
03/03/19HReggiana92-80
14/02/19ACremona73-82
10/02/19ATrieste104-96
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/19HAvellino76-65
17/03/19AOlimpia Milano87-86
12/03/19HNizhny Novgorod84-66
10/03/19HSassari98-90
05/03/19ANizhny Novgorod72-95
02/03/19AVirtus Bologna77-76
15/02/19HSassari88-89
10/02/19HTrento77-81 OT
05/02/19HFribourg Olympic72-62
03/02/19APesaro89-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%82%33%
Points / game79.283.675.2
Allowed / game75.074.175.9
Point differential+4.2+9.5-0.8
Avg total154.3157.7151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%64%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (2)29% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW74%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %74%67%82%
Points / game82.281.582.9
Allowed / game73.273.273.1
Point differential+9.0+8.2+9.8
Avg total155.3154.8156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)25% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2419579%87.278.2+9.0
2 Venezia2317674%82.273.2+9.0
3 Cremona2415962%82.178.7+3.4
4 Brindisi24141058%82.279.6+2.6
5 Avellino24141058%80.580.3+0.2
6 Varese23131057%79.275.0+4.2
7 Trieste24131154%87.583.1+4.4
8 Trento24131154%79.581.3-1.8
9 Sassari24121250%85.081.6+3.3
10 Brescia24121250%80.080.4-0.4
11 Virtus Bologna24121250%80.781.5-0.8
12 Cantu24121250%84.187.0-2.9
13 Reggiana2471729%77.582.8-5.2
14 Pesaro2471729%80.992.2-11.3
15 Torino2461825%83.387.8-4.5
16 Pistoia2451921%75.383.8-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2519281587
Venezia1822162379
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