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Varese vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 93-90
20-16 27-23 26-30 20-21
Position#4
Record4-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game87.0
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game75.7
ItalyLega ARound 7
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Varese v Venezia
22 Nov 2026
VAR v VEN
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
VAR94
VEN106
01 Dec 2024
VAR77
VEN86
14 Jan 2024
VAR92
VEN103
19 Nov 2022
VAR93
VEN90
15 Jan 2022
VAR76
VEN68
14 Apr 2021
VAR75
VEN77
17 Nov 2019
VAR93
VEN91
31 Mar 2019
VAR87
VEN79
01 Oct 2017
VAR62
VEN80
27 Dec 2016
VAR60
VEN73
10 Apr 2016
VAR79
VEN68
15 Feb 2015
VAR53
VEN67
27 Oct 2013
VAR84
VEN72
18 May 2013
VAR84
VEN75
12 May 2013
VAR81
VEN72
10 May 2013
VAR92
VEN74
13 Jan 2013
VAR85
VEN87
26 Nov 2011
VAR73
VEN67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
L
99-104
99
104
-5
89avg 76
A16/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
99avg 76
H24/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
71-102
71
102
-31
60avg 76
A01/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
96-110
96
110
-14
87avg 76
H08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
74avg 76
A08/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
no box
H16/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
75avg 76
A22/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
87-85
87
85
+2
83avg 76
H30/10
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
101-93
101
93
+8
88avg 76
A06/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
24-32
23-24
31-26
24-25
21-20
31-24
27-23
24-27
25-20
14-25
8-30
19-20
24-29
29-38
24-23
23-17
18-21
29-17
17-26
26-23
18-17
24-20
15-28
27-22
24-24
17-18
17-21
22-18
21-16
24-22
20-25
24-23
17-23
26-19
20-20
31-33
28-15
17-20
25-25
183.5Avg total
90.5Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.387.0176.3+2.367%
Season at home (3)88.386.7175.0+1.767%
Season away (3)90.387.3177.7+3.067%
Last 10 (10)90.593.0183.5-2.550%
Last 5 (5)89.888.2178.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)84.188.0172.1-3.943%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.387.5174.8-0.353%
vs Weaker (1)87.085.0172.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
W
80-69
80
69
+11
58avg 69
H02/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
82avg 69
A08/10
Lega A
Ulm
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 69
A11/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
W
95-78
95
78
+17
87avg 69
A15/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 69
H18/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
77-69
77
69
+8
71avg 69
H23/10
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
85-80
85
80
+5
84avg 69
A25/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#3
L
61-77
61
77
-16
47avg 69
A30/10
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
76-68
76
68
+8
72avg 69
H02/11
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
82-71
82
71
+11
79avg 69
H06/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
24-12
22-13
13-19
18-26
19-25
28-24
24-15
16-21
26-19
14-18
24-23
29-15
26-20
18-23
22-20
15-12
17-18
18-20
23-29
16-21
21-15
23-18
17-15
21-18
19-15
19-18
26-29
12-15
17-27
18-15
14-20
20-15
18-14
20-20
18-19
15-18
25-15
20-20
22-18
156.0Avg total
79.8Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.775.7156.3+5.067%
Season at home (3)79.769.7149.3+10.0100%
Season away (3)81.781.7163.3+0.033%
Last 10 (10)79.876.2156.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)76.273.0149.2+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.875.8151.6+0.040%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.974.8146.7-2.950%
vs Weaker (9)82.774.0156.7+8.778%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
VareseVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A16/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H24/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A01/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A08/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H16/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A22/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H30/10
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A06/11
Lega A
90.8Avg total
46.1Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.343.987.2-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.643.585.1-1.933%-
Last 30 away (15)44.944.389.3+0.667%-
Last 10 (10)46.144.790.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)47.642.890.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)42.744.587.2-1.857%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.943.287.1+0.747%-
vs Weaker (1)41.046.087.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H02/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A08/10
Lega A
Ulm
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A11/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A15/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H18/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H23/10
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A25/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A30/10
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H02/11
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/11
Lega A
76.1Avg total
39.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.673.7+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.632.970.6+4.779%-
Last 30 away (16)38.637.976.4+0.756%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.676.1+2.980%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.671.4+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.034.075.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)35.136.471.4-1.344%-
vs Weaker (9)42.035.077.0+7.089%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.419.3
57.8%
51.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.711.8
34.0%
36.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.914.3
75.7%
76.1%14.3
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.2
52.3%
51.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.6
37.9%
36.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.213.6
79.1%
76.1%13.6
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWWLLWLLWL
Venezia
WWLWWLWLLW
#4
League position
#6
-4.8
Net rating
+5.0
113.4
Offensive rating
108.9
118.1
Defensive rating
103.9
54.3%
Effective FG%
54.2%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.0%
3-point %
37.9%
60.8%
Assist %
59.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 108.9Defence118.1 · 103.9Shooting54.3% · 54.2%3-point %34.0% · 37.9%Ball care15.2% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.4% · 22.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Varese wins
4
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
13/02/22Venezia v Varese82-93
15/01/22Varese v Venezia76-68
14/04/21Varese v Venezia75-77
20/12/20Venezia v Varese86-77
17/11/19Varese v Venezia93-91 OT
31/03/19Varese v Venezia87-79
09/12/18Venezia v Varese61-66
21/01/18Venezia v Varese63-75
01/10/17Varese v Venezia62-80
23/04/17Venezia v Varese87-81
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/22AScafati101-93
30/10/22HTreviso87-85
22/10/22AReggiana87-81
16/10/22HTrento91-94 OT
08/10/22ABrescia83-88
02/10/22HSassari87-81
08/05/22HSassari96-110
01/05/22ABrescia71-102
24/04/22HFortitudo Bologna103-92
16/04/22ATortona99-104
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/22HBasket Napoli82-71
02/11/22HCedevita Olimpija76-68
30/10/22ATortona61-77
25/10/22ACluj-Napoca85-80
23/10/22HOlimpia Milano77-69
18/10/22HJL Bourg73-79
15/10/22ATrieste95-78
11/10/22AUlm80-81
08/10/22APesaro89-90
02/10/22HScafati80-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game89.388.390.3
Allowed / game87.086.787.3
Point differential+2.3+1.7+3.0
Avg total176.3175.0177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game80.779.781.7
Allowed / game75.769.781.7
Point differential+5.0+10.0+0.0
Avg total156.3149.3163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna660100%84.870.3+14.5
2 Tortona65183%78.268.2+10.0
3 Olimpia Milano65183%78.071.2+6.8
4 Venezia64267%80.775.7+5.0
5 Trento64267%78.876.5+2.3
6 Varese64267%89.387.0+2.3
7 Pesaro63350%88.287.5+0.7
8 Brindisi63350%83.785.0-1.3
9 Reggiana62433%73.773.0+0.7
10 Sassari62433%78.778.3+0.3
11 Brescia62433%86.286.8-0.7
12 Basket Napoli62433%80.384.5-4.2
13 Treviso62433%74.881.8-7.0
14 Trieste62433%77.088.2-11.2
15 Scafati61517%78.283.3-5.2
16 Verona61517%77.790.8-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2027262093
Venezia1623302190
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