PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Varese vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 75-77
18-16 21-19 17-27 19-15
Position#12
Record10-15
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Venezia 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record16-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game77.4
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Varese v Venezia
22 Nov 2026
VAR v VEN
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
VAR94
VEN106
01 Dec 2024
VAR77
VEN86
14 Jan 2024
VAR92
VEN103
19 Nov 2022
VAR93
VEN90
15 Jan 2022
VAR76
VEN68
14 Apr 2021
VAR75
VEN77
17 Nov 2019
VAR93
VEN91
31 Mar 2019
VAR87
VEN79
01 Oct 2017
VAR62
VEN80
27 Dec 2016
VAR60
VEN73
10 Apr 2016
VAR79
VEN68
15 Feb 2015
VAR53
VEN67
27 Oct 2013
VAR84
VEN72
18 May 2013
VAR84
VEN75
12 May 2013
VAR81
VEN72
10 May 2013
VAR92
VEN74
13 Jan 2013
VAR85
VEN87
26 Nov 2011
VAR73
VEN67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
65avg 71
H04/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
110-105 OT
110
105
+5
no box
H07/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 71
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
67-79
67
79
-12
58avg 71
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 71
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 71
H06/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
80avg 71
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
88-70
88
70
+18
no box
H28/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 71
A05/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
77-95
77
95
-18
70avg 71
A11/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
11-19
24-20
17-11
21-18
27-31
19-15
20-23
16-24
20-24
22-24
25-26
26-19
12-20
8-22
21-18
21-19
8-20
19-29
28-17
18-22
23-17
21-17
27-18
26-18
14-10
21-21
20-19
21-13
20-23
21-14
26-20
24-18
21-23
24-22
14-18
19-23
19-23
17-21
22-28
165.9Avg total
83.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.486.5167.9-5.240%
Season at home (13)83.283.6166.8-0.554%
Season away (12)79.489.7169.1-10.225%
Last 10 (10)83.082.9165.9+0.160%
Last 5 (5)83.677.6161.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)82.388.5170.8-6.238%
vs Similar (14)80.986.1167.0-5.136%
vs Weaker (3)84.782.0166.7+2.767%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
78-65
78
65
+13
no box
A31/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 73
H07/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
A11/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
65-96
65
96
-31
no box
A13/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#5
L
88-96
88
96
-8
74avg 73
A27/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
59avg 73
A06/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
87-69
87
69
+18
84avg 73
A21/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
69-63
69
63
+6
64avg 73
H28/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
no box
A03/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
94-87
94
87
+7
89avg 73
H11/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
13-14
15-15
31-16
26-21
21-23
15-19
18-12
23-16
18-22
24-23
24-21
25-20
13-22
11-30
16-24
20-24
32-23
16-27
20-22
13-16
27-17
17-23
15-21
25-21
16-17
25-11
21-20
13-16
24-18
17-16
15-13
25-20
27-22
17-19
11-19
28-27
32-19
10-17
24-24
160.6Avg total
80.6Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.077.4158.4+3.664%
Season at home (12)81.578.2159.7+3.375%
Season away (13)80.576.7157.2+3.854%
Last 10 (10)80.680.0160.6+0.660%
Last 5 (5)81.277.2158.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.384.8158.2-11.523%
vs Similar (5)88.681.4170.0+7.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.477.5159.8+4.964%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
VareseVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H04/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H07/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H28/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A05/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A11/04
Lega A
79.9Avg total
39.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.283.2-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.181.5-0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)39.545.484.9-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.879.9-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.079.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.347.888.1-7.531%-
vs Similar (14)39.640.379.9-0.636%-
vs Weaker (3)40.337.377.7+3.033%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A31/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H07/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A11/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A13/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#5
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A27/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A06/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H28/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A03/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H11/04
Lega A
83.8Avg total
44.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.182.9+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.440.983.3+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)41.241.482.6-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.883.8+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.684.6+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.539.978.5-1.446%-
vs Similar (5)44.842.487.2+2.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.342.386.5+2.045%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.516.0
50.8%
51.2%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.7
38.5%
35.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.012.3
72.4%
75.8%12.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.4
51.9%
51.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.712.1
40.7%
35.9%36.3
🏀 Free throws19.111.9
62.3%
75.8%11.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWWWWLLLWW
Venezia
WLWWLLLWWW
#12
League position
#4
-2.9
Net rating
+8.9
110.4
Offensive rating
109.1
113.3
Defensive rating
100.2
54.2%
Effective FG%
56.2%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.5%
3-point %
40.7%
57.4%
Assist %
61.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 109.1Defence113.3 · 100.2Shooting54.2% · 56.2%3-point %38.5% · 40.7%Ball care17.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.4% · 23.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
20/12/20Venezia v Varese86-77
17/11/19Varese v Venezia93-91 OT
31/03/19Varese v Venezia87-79
09/12/18Venezia v Varese61-66
21/01/18Venezia v Varese63-75
01/10/17Varese v Venezia62-80
23/04/17Venezia v Varese87-81
27/12/16Varese v Venezia60-73
10/04/16Varese v Venezia79-68
20/12/15Venezia v Varese84-58
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/21AReggiana77-95
05/04/21AOlimpia Milano83-81
28/03/21HTrento88-70
14/03/21HPesaro81-68
06/03/21HSassari89-74
27/02/21AVirtus Bologna76-85
14/02/21HFortitudo Bologna67-79
10/02/21ABrescia83-98
07/02/21HCremona110-105 OT
04/02/21HBrindisi76-74
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/21HBrescia94-87
03/04/21ATrento84-90 OT
28/03/21HOlimpia Milano69-63
21/03/21ATrieste87-69
06/03/21AVirtus Bologna72-77
27/02/21ASassari88-96
13/02/21AOlimpia Milano65-96
11/02/21AVirtus Bologna89-82
07/02/21HCantu80-75
31/01/21APesaro78-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL40%
HomeWLWWW54%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %40%54%25%
Points / game81.483.279.4
Allowed / game86.583.689.7
Point differential-5.2-0.5-10.2
Avg total167.9166.8169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %8%15%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %64%75%54%
Points / game81.081.580.5
Allowed / game77.478.276.7
Point differential+3.6+3.3+3.8
Avg total158.4159.7157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%17%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi2520580%86.077.5+8.5
2 Olimpia Milano2519676%85.574.6+10.8
3 Virtus Bologna2518772%85.376.6+8.7
4 Sassari2315865%90.086.4+3.6
5 Venezia2516964%81.077.4+3.6
6 Treviso25141156%85.287.4-2.3
7 Trieste24111346%79.880.2-0.4
8 Pesaro26111542%80.883.0-2.2
9 Trento24101442%77.579.5-2.0
10 Varese25101540%81.486.5-5.2
11 Cremona2491538%85.686.9-1.3
12 Brescia2591636%81.384.7-3.4
13 Fortitudo Bologna2591636%77.981.7-3.8
14 Reggiana2591636%76.181.2-5.1
15 Cantu2581732%78.483.2-4.8
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1821171975
Venezia1619271577
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.