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Varese vs Treviso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-85
24-23 17-23 26-19 20-20
Position#4
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game86.0
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#13
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game78.0
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Varese v Treviso
27 Dec 2026
VAR v TRV
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VAR91
TRV86
12 Jan 2025
VAR92
TRV89
28 Apr 2024
VAR95
TRV100
30 Oct 2022
VAR87
TRV85
10 Apr 2022
VAR80
TRV89
27 Dec 2020
VAR79
TRV80
26 Apr 2020
VAR v TRV
upcoming
03 Jan 2012
VAR96
TRV80
19 Feb 2011
VAR74
TRV68
21 Mar 2010
VAR90
TRV82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 74
H10/04
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
76-92
76
92
-16
62avg 74
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
99-104
99
104
-5
89avg 74
A16/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
99avg 74
H24/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
71-102
71
102
-31
60avg 74
A01/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
96-110
96
110
-14
87avg 74
H08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
74avg 74
A08/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
no box
H16/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
75avg 74
A22/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
29-21
22-18
13-24
19-18
20-26
15-23
22-25
21-22
24-32
23-24
31-26
24-25
21-20
31-24
27-23
24-27
25-20
14-25
8-30
19-20
24-29
29-38
24-23
23-17
18-21
29-17
17-26
26-23
18-17
24-20
15-28
27-22
24-24
17-18
17-21
22-18
21-16
24-22
20-25
180.6Avg total
87.3Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.086.0173.0+1.050%
Season at home (2)89.087.5176.5+1.550%
Season away (2)85.084.5169.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)87.393.3180.6-6.030%
Last 5 (5)88.890.8179.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)82.989.2172.1-6.340%
vs Similar (15)85.787.7173.5-2.047%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
80-94
80
94
-14
76avg 68
A13/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
96-90
96
90
+6
85avg 68
H16/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
68-78
68
78
-10
53avg 68
A24/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-113
76
113
-37
62avg 68
H29/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
80-74
80
74
+6
71avg 68
H04/05
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
A08/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
58-78
58
78
-20
46avg 68
H01/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
57-66
57
66
-9
46avg 68
A09/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
79-71
79
71
+8
74avg 68
H16/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
54avg 68
A23/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
15-25
26-27
21-21
24-28
26-22
26-26
20-14
19-21
20-21
13-18
16-18
14-32
20-20
19-34
23-27
18-19
11-13
24-20
27-22
23-10
18-24
19-20
23-30
7-19
15-19
15-22
21-18
15-17
11-16
17-14
14-19
20-17
21-20
12-15
26-19
11-24
22-20
21-29
17-24
159.3Avg total
74.8Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.278.0144.2-11.825%
Season at home (2)68.574.5143.0-6.050%
Season away (2)64.081.5145.5-17.50%
Last 10 (10)74.884.5159.3-9.730%
Last 5 (5)69.679.2148.8-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.687.9161.5-14.421%
vs Similar (14)79.985.0164.9-5.129%
vs Weaker (2)88.575.0163.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
VareseTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H10/04
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A16/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H24/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A01/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A08/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H16/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A22/10
Lega A
88.9Avg total
44.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.986.3-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.943.784.5-2.833%-
Last 30 away (15)43.944.188.0-0.160%-
Last 10 (10)44.544.488.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.485.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.944.886.7-2.953%-
vs Similar (15)42.942.985.9+0.040%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A13/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H16/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A24/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H29/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H04/05
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A08/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
22-38
22
38
-16
H01/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A09/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A23/10
Lega A
75.6Avg total
34.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.842.478.2-6.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.543.077.5-8.527%-
Last 30 away (15)37.241.778.9-4.540%-
Last 10 (10)34.840.875.6-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.637.269.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.244.776.9-12.57%-
vs Similar (14)38.641.279.9-2.650%-
vs Weaker (2)41.534.075.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.9
53.3%
51.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.911.8
33.8%
36.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.113.8
76.2%
76.1%13.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.2
46.7%
51.3%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.0
33.8%
36.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.7
73.4%
76.1%12.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLWLLWLLL
Treviso
LWLLLWLLWL
#4
League position
#13
-6.9
Net rating
-13.2
111.0
Offensive rating
102.6
117.9
Defensive rating
115.8
52.0%
Effective FG%
48.4%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.1%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.8%
3-point %
33.8%
62.6%
Assist %
57.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 102.6Defence117.9 · 115.8Shooting52.0% · 48.4%3-point %33.8% · 33.8%Ball care14.6% · 15.1%Off. rebounds28.1% · 24.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Varese wins
3
Treviso wins
DateGameScore
10/04/22Varese v Treviso80-89
31/10/21Treviso v Varese96-78
18/04/21Treviso v Varese94-103
27/12/20Varese v Treviso79-80
05/01/20Treviso v Varese79-84
25/04/12Treviso v Varese55-71
03/01/12Varese v Treviso96-80
19/02/11Varese v Treviso74-68
06/11/10Treviso v Varese67-72
21/03/10Varese v Treviso90-82
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/22AReggiana87-81
16/10/22HTrento91-94 OT
08/10/22ABrescia83-88
02/10/22HSassari87-81
08/05/22HSassari96-110
01/05/22ABrescia71-102
24/04/22HFortitudo Bologna103-92
16/04/22ATortona99-104
13/04/22HTrieste76-92
10/04/22HTreviso80-89
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/22AVirtus Bologna71-97
16/10/22HSassari79-71
09/10/22ATrento57-66
01/10/22HReggiana58-78
08/05/22ATrieste83-84
04/05/22HOlimpia Milano80-74
29/04/22HVirtus Bologna76-113
24/04/22AVenezia68-78
16/04/22HBrindisi96-90
13/04/22ASassari80-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.089.085.0
Allowed / game86.087.584.5
Point differential+1.0+1.5+0.5
Avg total173.0176.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
Treviso
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game66.268.564.0
Allowed / game78.074.581.5
Point differential-11.8-6.0-17.5
Avg total144.2143.0145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%86.071.4+14.6
2 Tortona440100%77.065.5+11.5
3 Venezia43175%85.276.5+8.8
4 Olimpia Milano43175%76.275.5+0.8
5 Pesaro53260%91.688.0+3.6
6 Trento53260%76.274.6+1.6
7 Brindisi42250%84.583.5+1.0
8 Varese42250%87.086.0+1.0
9 Basket Napoli42250%79.882.5-2.8
10 Sassari52340%80.679.0+1.6
11 Brescia52340%85.084.4+0.6
12 Reggiana41325%71.270.2+1.0
13 Treviso41325%66.278.0-11.8
14 Verona41325%81.593.8-12.2
15 Scafati51420%75.279.8-4.6
16 Trieste4040%73.092.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2417262087
Treviso2323192085
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