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Venezia vs Varese Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 31 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
6.4/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game87.1
ItalyLega ARound 18· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Venezia v Varese
31 Jan 2027
VEN v VAR
upcoming
02 Nov 2025
VEN86
VAR75
11 May 2025
VEN83
VAR64
29 Oct 2023
VEN102
VAR88
23 Apr 2023
VEN92
VAR81
13 Feb 2022
VEN82
VAR93
20 Dec 2020
VEN86
VAR77
15 Mar 2020
VEN v VAR
upcoming
09 Dec 2018
VEN61
VAR66
21 Jan 2018
VEN63
VAR75
23 Apr 2017
VEN87
VAR81
20 Dec 2015
VEN84
VAR58
02 Nov 2014
VEN98
VAR95
02 Feb 2014
VEN77
VAR93
16 May 2013
VEN84
VAR72
14 May 2013
VEN79
VAR93
05 May 2013
VEN76
VAR71
18 Mar 2012
VEN71
VAR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Varese win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
76avg 79
H11/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#16
W
75-65
75
65
+10
66avg 79
H14/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
W
104-98
104
98
+6
98avg 79
A17/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#11
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 79
A21/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#3
L
89-97 OT
89
97
-8
77avg 79
H25/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
75avg 79
A28/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
68avg 79
A01/11
Lega A
Siauliai
#19
W
98-77
98
77
+21
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
A07/11
Lega A
London Lions
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
22-25
21-24
14-24
20-16
19-13
18-22
18-14
24-29
22-26
24-13
34-30
18-23
27-22
12-19
22-26
21-31
22-13
17-21
20-15
25-24
16-24
25-17
14-17
16-19
22-25
20-30
23-25
25-21
27-18
22-20
24-18
18-26
21-20
20-18
24-14
19-19
16-19
20-21
21-21
171.0Avg total
85.1Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.988.6176.4-0.757%
Season at home (3)86.787.7174.3-1.033%
Season away (4)88.889.2178.0-0.575%
Last 10 (10)85.185.9171.0-0.840%
Last 5 (5)83.683.2166.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)85.290.0175.2-4.838%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.084.7167.7-1.745%
vs Weaker (6)94.278.8173.0+15.383%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
58-85
58
85
-27
44avg 77
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 77
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 77
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 77
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
106avg 77
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
95-61
95
61
+34
92avg 77
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
90avg 77
A31/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
A11/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
99-84
99
84
+15
no box
A14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-16
14-23
20-27
16-19
19-15
21-23
21-20
24-26
27-26
25-11
12-27
18-21
17-23
24-26
21-23
23-15
32-28
17-17
17-22
29-28
22-10
24-16
29-17
20-18
25-23
25-21
23-27
26-17
26-14
23-26
14-27
18-17
20-28
27-30
17-21
32-22
34-18
21-22
25-18
19-26
175.2Avg total
89.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.187.1176.2+2.062%
Season at home (4)86.290.2176.5-4.050%
Season away (4)92.084.0176.0+8.075%
Last 10 (10)89.086.2175.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)94.083.6177.6+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.590.2173.7-6.636%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.486.9174.2+0.557%
vs Weaker (5)92.679.4172.0+13.280%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
VeneziaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H11/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H14/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A17/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A28/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
Lega A
Siauliai
#19
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H04/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A07/11
Lega A
London Lions
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A10/11
Eurocup
86.2Avg total
42.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.444.586.9-2.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.841.385.1+2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)41.147.788.8-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.386.2-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.084.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.449.090.4-7.68%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.642.983.5-2.318%-
vs Weaker (6)48.037.785.7+10.3100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A31/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H08/11
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A11/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A14/11
Lega A
86.7Avg total
45.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.885.1-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.442.286.6+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.643.283.9-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.686.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)49.441.691.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.546.087.5-4.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.641.483.1+0.257%-
vs Weaker (5)46.439.485.8+7.080%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.3
53.9%
54.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.7
35.4%
34.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.116.0
79.6%
74.6%16.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.0
50.7%
54.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
34.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.1
69.2%
74.6%17.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
LWWLLLLWWL
Varese
WLLWWWLLWL
#9
League position
#6
+0.1
Net rating
-1.2
100.0
Offensive rating
91.5
99.9
Defensive rating
92.7
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.4%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.0%
Turnover %
18.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.4%
3-point %
36.3%
54.5%
Assist %
66.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 91.5Defence99.9 · 92.7Shooting53.6% · 52.4%3-point %35.4% · 36.3%Ball care14.0% · 18.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Venezia   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Venezia wins
3
Varese wins
DateGameScore
18/01/26Varese v Venezia94-106
02/11/25Venezia v Varese86-75
11/05/25Venezia v Varese83-64
01/12/24Varese v Venezia77-86
14/01/24Varese v Venezia92-103
29/10/23Venezia v Varese102-88
23/04/23Venezia v Varese92-81
19/11/22Varese v Venezia93-90
13/02/22Venezia v Varese82-93
15/01/22Varese v Venezia76-68
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ALondon Lions76-80
07/11/26AReggiana83-78
04/11/26HSiauliai98-77
01/11/26ABasket Napoli81-99
28/10/26ATenerife80-82
25/10/26HTreviso89-97 OT
21/10/26AMaxima Roma79-90
17/10/26ABC Roma104-98
14/10/26HTurk Telekom75-65
11/10/26HVirtus Bologna86-93
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AReggiana99-84
11/11/26APeristeri96-101
08/11/26HUdine81-84
31/10/26AVerona99-88
27/10/26ABamberg95-61
24/10/26HBC Roma110-103 OT
18/10/26ATrento85-87
13/10/26HPeristeri82-85
10/10/26HTrieste85-84
07/10/26AMurcia58-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW57%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game87.986.788.8
Allowed / game88.687.789.2
Point differential-0.7-1.0-0.5
Avg total176.4174.3178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Varese
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game89.186.292.0
Allowed / game87.190.284.0
Point differential+2.0-4.0+8.0
Avg total176.2176.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
4 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
5 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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