PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Virtus Bologna vs Bayern Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 11 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#13
Record4-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Position#18
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game94.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28· PalaDozza
European cup2026
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Bayern
11 Feb 2027
VIR v BAY
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
VIR80
BAY85
29 Oct 2024
VIR84
BAY87
03 Jan 2024
VIR85
BAY83
13 Oct 2022
VIR66
BAY63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#18
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A11/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
W
96-94
96
94
+2
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
101-103
101
103
-2
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
12-26
28-26
33-21
35-21
17-22
23-25
19-19
20-29
25-22
24-21
24-14
26-26
20-12
18-27
32-29
24-12
22-22
22-19
18-25
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
182.4Avg total
92.9Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.889.1175.9-2.344%
Season at home (4)89.291.5180.8-2.250%
Season away (5)84.887.2172.0-2.440%
Last 10 (10)92.989.5182.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)92.492.2184.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.888.2168.0-8.525%
vs Similar (4)89.591.0180.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.483.9175.2+7.573%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H02/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#12
W
113-60
113
60
+53
H04/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H08/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#17
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
101-93
101
93
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
91-107
91
107
-16
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
96-77
96
77
+19
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#9
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
73-103
73
103
-30
A29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
20-24
18-11
19-29
17-18
40-13
32-18
24-11
21-35
22-17
25-23
19-19
21-25
24-25
22-12
20-21
26-22
28-24
21-22
26-25
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
178.9Avg total
90.3Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.494.4179.9-9.022%
Season at home (4)86.593.8180.2-7.20%
Season away (5)84.695.0179.6-10.440%
Last 10 (10)90.388.6178.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)86.294.0180.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)85.494.4179.9-9.022%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (21)89.574.2163.7+15.386%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
Virtus BolognaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#18
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
86.6Avg total
45.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.341.586.8+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.742.190.7+6.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.040.982.9+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)45.041.686.6+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.686.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.540.583.0+2.025%-
vs Similar (4)44.841.286.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.041.787.6+4.368%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H02/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#12
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H04/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#17
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
90.3Avg total
43.2Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.884.2+4.677%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.238.383.5+6.984%-
Last 30 away (11)43.042.385.3+0.764%-
Last 10 (10)43.247.190.3-3.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.249.286.4-12.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.348.789.0-8.344%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (21)46.136.082.1+10.290%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.9
55.0%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.7
79.4%
77.1%19.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
55.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.9
37.8%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.816.2
81.8%
77.1%16.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LLWLWWWWWW
Bayern
LLWLLWWLWL
#13
League position
#18
+3.7
Net rating
+2.0
102.2
Offensive rating
103.8
98.4
Defensive rating
101.8
54.8%
Effective FG%
57.5%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
14.0%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.3%
3-point %
37.8%
57.7%
Assist %
65.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 103.8Defence98.4 · 101.8Shooting54.8% · 57.5%3-point %36.3% · 37.8%Ball care14.0% · 16.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Virtus Bologna wins
5
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HBesiktas101-103
28/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas74-91
25/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-94 OT
21/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-90
18/10/26HScafati108-83
16/10/26HBaskonia86-78
14/10/26AParis96-94
11/10/26AVenezia93-86
08/10/26ABayern94-87
04/10/26HMaxima Roma98-89
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95
14/10/26AAnadolu Efes101-93
10/10/26AChemnitz87-83
08/10/26HVirtus Bologna87-94
04/10/26HOldenburg113-60
02/10/26HPartizan84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL44%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game86.889.284.8
Allowed / game89.191.587.2
Point differential-2.3-2.2-2.4
Avg total175.9180.8172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%0%40%
Points / game85.486.584.6
Allowed / game94.493.895.0
Point differential-9.0-7.2-10.4
Avg total179.9180.2179.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.