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Virtus Bologna vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 81-94
20-22 23-22 20-27 18-23
Position#17
Record13-21
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#3
Record21-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game86.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 35· Segafredo Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Valencia
06 Apr 2027
VIR v VAL
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
VIR81
VAL94
29 Feb 2024
VIR87
VAL74
17 Nov 2022
VIR89
VAL59
10 Nov 2021
VIR96
VAL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Virtus Bologna
4.7out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.4
86.8▲ 3.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.3
98.6▲ 17.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 60%
61%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.8
19.4▼ 0.4
🔥 Form · Valencia
4.7out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 91.9
87.4▼ 4.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.6
85.0▲ 0.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
58%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.0
22.0▲ 2.0
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H15/02
Lega A
Barcelona
#8
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H25/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A05/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
90-71
90
71
+19
A07/03
Lega A
Partizan
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H11/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
104-94
104
94
+10
H15/03
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
91-109
91
109
-18
A19/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A22/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A26/03
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
82-103
82
103
-21
H31/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
23-34
17-16
19-21
20-28
27-15
21-14
17-23
23-22
17-24
21-18
23-28
16-21
23-19
24-10
27-21
25-29
23-23
15-13
19-23
30-22
24-23
20-28
30-21
19-34
21-31
22-21
29-23
25-20
12-25
14-24
19-15
19-32
30-25
17-22
21-24
20-19
27-34
16-23
19-27
177.5Avg total
86.5Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)82.086.4168.4-4.438%
Season at home (16)85.084.4169.4+0.656%
Season away (18)79.388.3167.6-8.922%
Last 10 (10)86.591.0177.5-4.540%
Last 5 (5)86.898.6185.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)84.290.1174.3-5.833%
vs Similar (9)83.988.8172.7-4.944%
vs Weaker (9)75.868.9144.7+6.978%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
W
108-79
108
79
+29
A26/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H05/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
W
110-84
110
84
+26
H08/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
A12/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A14/03
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H19/03
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
107-91
107
91
+16
H22/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H24/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
A27/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A29/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-16
33-19
25-23
15-21
25-13
25-26
21-25
20-23
30-19
25-20
35-23
20-22
19-20
24-31
22-24
14-21
20-25
8-23
20-16
23-25
15-18
18-17
19-18
10-13
23-16
32-23
19-21
33-31
25-23
17-27
25-19
18-15
27-17
14-24
25-18
18-25
15-22
23-16
30-16
11-20
175.6Avg total
89.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)90.086.3176.3+3.762%
Season at home (17)88.280.7168.9+7.582%
Season away (17)91.891.9183.7-0.141%
Last 10 (10)89.686.0175.6+3.660%
Last 5 (5)87.485.0172.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)87.288.0175.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)94.182.5176.5+11.668%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.4-3.4
Virtus BolognaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H15/02
Lega A
Barcelona
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A05/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A07/03
Lega A
Partizan
#15
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H11/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H15/03
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
40-65
40
65
-25
A19/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A26/03
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H31/03
Euroleague
95.0Avg total
45.5Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.145.188.3-2.045%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.144.490.6+1.757%-
Last 30 away (15)40.345.886.1-5.533%-
Last 10 (10)45.549.595.0-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)45.453.098.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.347.389.7-5.042%-
vs Similar (9)44.446.190.6-1.733%-
vs Weaker (8)42.940.883.6+2.162%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
W
68-35
68
35
+33
A26/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H05/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H08/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A12/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A14/03
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H19/03
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H22/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H24/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A29/03
ACB
86.8Avg total
45.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.487.3+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.841.387.1+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)43.943.587.4+0.533%-
Last 10 (10)45.341.586.8+3.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.682.4+1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)41.844.986.6-3.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.041.587.5+4.555%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.318.6
73.5%
60.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.2
31.8%
35.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws10.58.3
79.0%
78.2%8.3
They take 51.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.3 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers23.416.8
71.8%
60.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.4
35.5%
35.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws9.06.3
70.0%
78.2%6.3
They take 52.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LLLLWLWLWW
Valencia
WLWWLLLWWW
#17
League position
#3
+1.9
Net rating
+4.5
65.0
Offensive rating
64.6
63.0
Defensive rating
60.0
60.5%
Effective FG%
61.5%
66.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
19.5%
Turnover %
18.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.17
31.8%
3-point %
35.5%
73.5%
Assist %
77.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence65.0 · 64.6Defence63.0 · 60.0Shooting60.5% · 61.5%3-point %31.8% · 35.5%Ball care19.5% · 18.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virtus Bologna wins
5
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/26HParis82-103
26/03/26AOlimpia Milano87-103
22/03/26AReggiana70-84
19/03/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv91-109
15/03/26HOlimpia Milano104-94
11/03/26HPartizan82-88
07/03/26ABasket Napoli90-71
05/03/26AReal Madrid84-92
25/02/26HBarcelona85-80
15/02/26HUdine90-86
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-74
27/03/26APartizan104-110 OT
24/03/26HOlympiacos85-84
22/03/26HGranada107-91
19/03/26HBarcelona62-66
14/03/26ATenerife71-89
12/03/26AReal Madrid79-96
08/03/26HMurcia110-84
05/03/26HZalgiris Kaunas91-87
26/02/26ABaskonia108-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeLLWLL56%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %38%56%22%
Points / game82.085.079.3
Allowed / game86.484.488.3
Point differential-4.4+0.6-8.9
Avg total168.4169.4167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%25%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)57% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL62%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %62%82%41%
Points / game90.088.291.8
Allowed / game86.380.791.9
Point differential+3.7+7.5-0.1
Avg total176.3168.9183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%53%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)80% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos35231266%90.183.8+6.3
2 Fenerbahce35231266%82.480.5+1.9
3 Real Madrid34221265%87.782.5+5.2
4 Valencia34211362%90.086.3+3.7
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv34211362%87.984.7+3.2
6 Zalgiris Kaunas35211460%88.583.3+5.2
7 Panathinaikos35201557%86.985.3+1.6
8 Barcelona35201557%84.683.8+0.8
9 Monaco35191654%90.387.3+3.0
10 Crvena zvezda35191654%87.085.7+1.3
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv34181653%90.491.7-1.3
12 Dubai35181751%89.188.5+0.5
13 Olimpia Milano35171849%86.186.7-0.5
14 Bayern35152043%80.683.5-2.8
15 Partizan35152043%81.887.1-5.3
16 Paris35142140%90.091.3-1.4
17 Virtus Bologna34132138%82.086.4-4.4
18 Baskonia34102429%88.193.5-5.4
19 Anadolu Efes35102529%80.584.8-4.3
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3582723%79.186.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2023201881
Valencia2222272394
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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