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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Real Madrid Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record6-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
6.3/10
Above normal
Position#8
Record6-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game90.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Real Madrid
12 Feb 2027
ZAL v MAD
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
ZAL87
MAD85
10 Jan 2025
ZAL64
MAD83
11 Apr 2024
ZAL62
MAD64
15 Dec 2022
ZAL81
MAD72
24 Feb 2022
ZAL68
MAD47
06 Nov 2020
ZAL90
MAD93
02 Nov 2018
ZAL79
MAD90
26 Oct 2017
ZAL66
MAD87
20 Jan 2017
ZAL59
MAD74
11 Mar 2016
ZAL75
MAD90
12 Feb 2015
ZAL71
MAD88
21 Nov 2014
ZAL66
MAD68
11 Apr 2014
ZAL87
MAD80
18 Oct 2013
ZAL63
MAD83
07 Mar 2013
ZAL104
MAD105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
80-99
80
99
-19
73avg 89
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 89
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 89
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 89
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
86-63
86
63
+23
93avg 89
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 89
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 89
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#14
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
29-23
13-28
24-21
12-21
24-21
20-25
14-18
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
25-21
17-28
28-20
24-20
20-17
25-14
17-13
21-23
21-17
27-25
12-20
34-23
168.9Avg total
88.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.682.3167.9+3.360%
Season at home (4)88.285.8174.0+2.550%
Season away (6)83.880.0163.8+3.867%
Last 10 (10)88.680.3168.9+8.380%
Last 5 (5)89.879.0168.8+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.077.0160.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (4)86.588.2174.8-1.850%
vs Weaker (25)93.778.5172.2+15.292%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
98-89
98
89
+9
95avg 92
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
111-92
111
92
+19
109avg 92
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#8
W
119-84
119
84
+35
120avg 92
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
W
113-99
113
99
+14
108avg 92
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
122-86
122
86
+36
131avg 92
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
104-86
104
86
+18
102avg 92
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
90avg 92
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
90-79
90
79
+11
82avg 92
H01/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
112-115 OT
112
115
-3
no box
H04/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
32-15
31-27
14-22
27-25
34-23
16-23
34-21
36-13
26-22
27-22
30-27
23-30
28-22
30-21
32-26
31-21
23-19
27-23
41-23
30-19
26-27
26-23
22-17
22-24
25-18
23-13
25-21
14-17
25-14
25-22
26-26
18-24
30-27
25-23
28-27
22-20
25-19
16-16
27-16
193.1Avg total
105.4Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)97.890.7188.5+7.160%
Season at home (4)101.089.8190.8+11.275%
Season away (6)95.791.3187.0+4.350%
Last 10 (10)105.487.7193.1+17.790%
Last 5 (5)98.285.4183.6+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)94.292.1186.3+2.140%
vs Weaker (20)99.889.7189.5+10.265%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +5.3+5.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +5.3+5.3
Zalgiris KaunasReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#14
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/11
LKL
82.0Avg total
42.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.339.584.9+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.739.586.3+7.280%-
Last 30 away (15)43.939.583.5+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.182.0+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.482.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.045.088.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.543.886.2-1.225%-
vs Weaker (25)45.938.684.5+7.280%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#8
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H01/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H04/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H08/11
ACB
94.2Avg total
51.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.044.693.6+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.543.492.9+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)48.545.994.3+2.667%-
Last 10 (10)51.842.494.2+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)47.441.889.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.647.193.7-0.560%-
vs Weaker (20)50.143.493.5+6.875%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
77.1%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.6
57.5%
55.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.815.0
41.9%
35.7%45.0
🏀 Free throws23.519.8
84.3%
77.1%19.8
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWLL
Real Madrid
WLWWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#8
+11.2
Net rating
+23.0
106.4
Offensive rating
114.6
95.2
Defensive rating
91.6
59.8%
Effective FG%
60.2%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
16.4%
Turnover %
12.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
43.4%
3-point %
41.9%
69.0%
Assist %
62.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 114.6Defence95.2 · 91.6Shooting59.8% · 60.2%3-point %43.4% · 41.9%Ball care16.4% · 12.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
6
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AJuventus94-85
06/11/26ABesiktas83-67
02/11/26ARytas94-89
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
16/10/26HAnadolu Efes70-85
13/10/26AFenerbahce80-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HMurcia90-71
04/11/26HPanathinaikos112-115 OT
01/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos90-79
29/10/26HFenerbahce95-76
27/10/26ABaskonia104-86
25/10/26AForca Lleida122-86
22/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv113-99
18/10/26HBilbao119-84
15/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne111-92
13/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game85.688.283.8
Allowed / game82.385.880.0
Point differential+3.3+2.5+3.8
Avg total167.9174.0163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game97.8101.095.7
Allowed / game90.789.891.3
Point differential+7.1+11.2+4.3
Avg total188.5190.8187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %10%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos108280%87.678.7+8.9
2 Crvena zvezda107370%83.275.0+8.2
3 Valencia107370%95.889.1+6.7
4 Olympiacos107370%87.281.6+5.6
5 Dubai107370%88.084.1+3.9
6 Barcelona107370%91.088.7+2.3
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Real Madrid106460%97.890.7+7.1
9 Hapoel Tel-Aviv106460%92.187.9+4.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas106460%85.682.3+3.3
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
13 Anadolu Efes104640%84.287.1-2.9
14 Besiktas104640%87.790.9-3.2
15 Virtus Bologna104640%85.689.5-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%88.393.0-4.7
17 Bayern103730%86.894.5-7.7
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv102820%84.794.0-9.3
19 Olimpia Milano101910%81.189.6-8.5
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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