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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-85
25-29 28-26 15-17 19-13
Position#5
Record17-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Position#2
Record20-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game82.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Real Madrid
12 Feb 2027
ZAL v MAD
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
ZAL87
MAD85
10 Jan 2025
ZAL64
MAD83
11 Apr 2024
ZAL62
MAD64
15 Dec 2022
ZAL81
MAD72
24 Feb 2022
ZAL68
MAD47
06 Nov 2020
ZAL90
MAD93
02 Nov 2018
ZAL79
MAD90
26 Oct 2017
ZAL66
MAD87
20 Jan 2017
ZAL59
MAD74
11 Mar 2016
ZAL75
MAD90
12 Feb 2015
ZAL71
MAD88
21 Nov 2014
ZAL66
MAD68
11 Apr 2014
ZAL87
MAD80
18 Oct 2013
ZAL63
MAD83
07 Mar 2013
ZAL104
MAD105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
88avg 86
H13/02
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
69-63
69
63
+6
60avg 86
A15/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
91-67
91
67
+24
88avg 86
A18/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
119-81
119
81
+38
128avg 86
H21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
101-85
101
85
+16
106avg 86
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
92avg 86
H25/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
87-91
87
91
-4
88avg 86
A05/03
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
96avg 86
H08/03
LKL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
88-92
88
92
-4
83avg 86
A12/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
98-81
98
81
+17
100avg 86
H15/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
20-23
19-19
30-20
14-12
19-14
18-19
18-18
18-16
24-13
26-21
23-17
31-22
25-22
35-20
28-17
25-21
37-16
22-27
17-21
18-18
19-21
14-21
22-13
13-25
26-25
25-21
23-20
24-17
24-22
25-24
24-27
27-24
13-20
19-21
29-27
35-9
23-24
25-24
15-24
176.8Avg total
94.2Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)88.984.1173.0+4.855%
Season at home (14)87.978.4166.3+9.471%
Season away (17)89.888.8178.6+1.141%
Last 10 (10)94.282.6176.8+11.680%
Last 5 (5)93.889.6183.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.094.0193.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (7)92.784.4177.1+8.357%
vs Weaker (22)92.880.1173.0+12.777%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
L
81-82
81
82
-1
79avg 84
A03/02
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
85-93
85
93
-8
76avg 84
A05/02
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
94-79
94
79
+15
93avg 84
H08/02
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
77-73
77
73
+4
75avg 84
A13/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
96-92
96
92
+4
94avg 84
A15/02
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
93-70
93
70
+23
100avg 84
H26/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
92-84
92
84
+8
87avg 84
H05/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 84
A08/03
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
96-79
96
79
+17
97avg 84
H12/03
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
95-78
95
78
+17
96avg 84
H15/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
18-20
17-24
20-22
19-11
25-26
24-32
17-24
24-19
16-17
30-18
24-25
20-19
23-14
19-28
15-12
20-25
19-31
34-25
23-11
19-12
34-21
25-14
15-23
22-23
24-17
18-21
28-23
20-25
26-13
16-18
20-24
20-19
31-24
24-22
21-14
16-17
31-9
28-27
20-25
170.1Avg total
89.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)87.882.7170.5+5.165%
Season at home (16)92.480.2172.7+12.294%
Season away (15)82.985.3168.2-2.533%
Last 10 (10)89.181.0170.1+8.180%
Last 5 (5)91.678.2169.8+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)92.287.3179.5+4.850%
vs Weaker (23)92.782.0174.7+10.787%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
Zalgiris KaunasReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H13/02
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A15/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A18/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H25/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A05/03
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H08/03
LKL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A12/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H15/03
LKL
84.3Avg total
45.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.538.585.0+8.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.936.986.8+13.181%-
Last 30 away (14)42.640.482.9+2.243%-
Last 10 (10)45.938.484.3+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.085.4+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.040.485.4+4.657%-
vs Weaker (22)47.437.985.3+9.568%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A03/02
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A05/02
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/02
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A13/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A15/02
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H26/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/03
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H12/03
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H15/03
ACB
83.1Avg total
45.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.141.786.9+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.541.589.0+6.171%-
Last 30 away (13)42.042.184.1-0.146%-
Last 10 (10)45.337.883.1+7.590%-
Last 5 (5)48.636.084.6+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)46.239.585.7+6.767%-
vs Weaker (23)45.042.387.2+2.761%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.921.5
61.6%
60.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.8
40.7%
35.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.213.6
79.1%
78.2%13.6
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.617.4
65.4%
60.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.0
37.3%
35.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.513.1
74.9%
78.2%13.1
They take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWLWWWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWLL
#5
League position
#2
+14.1
Net rating
+5.3
95.1
Offensive rating
90.4
81.0
Defensive rating
85.1
61.4%
Effective FG%
60.4%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
14.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.7%
3-point %
37.3%
72.2%
Assist %
71.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 90.4Defence81.0 · 85.1Shooting61.4% · 60.4%3-point %40.7% · 37.3%Ball care14.0% · 16.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
7
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HRytas98-81
12/03/26APanathinaikos88-92
08/03/26HJonava97-90
05/03/26AValencia87-91
25/02/26HOlympiacos99-94 OT
22/02/26HRytas101-85
21/02/26HNeptunas119-81
18/02/26ANevezis91-67
15/02/26AGargzdai69-63
13/02/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HForca Lleida95-78
12/03/26HValencia96-79
08/03/26AGran Canaria82-80
05/03/26HVirtus Bologna92-84
26/02/26HBayern93-70
15/02/26AUnicaja96-92
13/02/26APartizan77-73
08/02/26HGranada94-79
05/02/26ADubai85-93
03/02/26APanathinaikos81-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL55%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWLLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %55%71%41%
Points / game88.987.989.8
Allowed / game84.178.488.8
Point differential+4.8+9.4+1.1
Avg total173.0166.3178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)100% (2)38% (8)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%94%33%
Points / game87.892.482.9
Allowed / game82.780.285.3
Point differential+5.1+12.2-2.5
Avg total170.5172.7168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%62%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce3223972%82.479.5+2.9
2 Olympiacos33221167%90.584.1+6.5
3 Real Madrid31201165%87.882.7+5.1
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv31201165%87.383.3+3.9
5 Valencia32201262%89.885.6+4.1
6 Crvena zvezda31181358%86.985.1+1.8
7 Monaco32181456%90.186.3+3.7
8 Barcelona32181456%85.084.1+0.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas31171455%88.984.1+4.8
10 Panathinaikos31171455%85.784.5+1.2
11 Dubai32171553%87.987.4+0.5
12 Olimpia Milano32161650%85.486.0-0.6
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv30141647%89.591.9-2.4
14 Bayern32131941%80.483.9-3.5
15 Virtus Bologna32131941%81.885.4-3.6
16 Partizan32122038%80.887.0-6.2
17 Paris33122136%89.291.6-2.4
18 Anadolu Efes32102231%80.884.5-3.7
19 Baskonia3292328%86.892.6-5.8
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3182326%78.986.4-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2528151987
Real Madrid2926171385
← all games of the day
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