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Ballarat vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 79-81
18-18 25-18 19-23 17-22
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Geelong 🏆
Australia
Position#11
Record-
FormWLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Ballarat v Geelong
07 Apr 2024
BALL79
GEEL81
23 Apr 2022
BALL96
GEEL98
03 Jul 2019
BALL97
GEEL69
07 Jul 2017
BALL107
GEEL84
02 Jul 2016
BALL78
GEEL91
08 Jul 2015
BALL77
GEEL93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
88-106
88
106
-18
A04/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H17/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
85-105
85
105
-20
H18/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
97-96
97
96
+1
A24/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
110-113 OT
110
113
-3
H30/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H02/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
107-104
107
104
+3
A08/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
105-87
105
87
+18
H09/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A15/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H03/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
26-27
27-23
21-28
27-28
29-26
19-20
27-7
26-24
19-30
16-28
24-23
25-26
23-22
25-25
24-23
19-17
25-24
23-28
29-27
25-13
20-21
17-16
20-18
32-28
26-16
25-30
24-30
31-24
29-29
19-18
26-16
23-27
19-27
25-24
26-21
20-20
22-18
22-22
33-26
191.1Avg total
96.6Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)97.086.0183.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)97.086.0183.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)96.694.5191.1+2.160%
Last 5 (5)96.888.8185.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.695.3179.9-10.822%
vs Similar (12)93.194.2187.3-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)96.190.0186.1+6.167%
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
104-106 OT
104
106
-2
A04/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H17/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A23/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H25/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H30/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
98-97 OT
98
97
+1
A01/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A07/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
104-107
104
107
-3
H08/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
116-85
116
85
+31
H15/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
93-72
93
72
+21
A16/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
22-25
22-21
25-26
17-18
23-20
24-17
25-18
19-28
30-23
23-20
18-29
18-19
23-25
26-23
29-14
22-23
17-21
20-12
12-16
24-24
24-18
22-23
17-22
13-12
23-20
16-19
16-24
28-32
16-26
30-25
30-24
28-27
40-17
25-19
23-22
26-25
18-15
23-18
26-14
179.7Avg total
92.9Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.986.8179.7+6.150%
Last 5 (5)95.887.2183.0+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.989.1171.0-7.238%
vs Similar (8)91.491.0182.4+0.450%
vs Weaker (14)90.485.9176.3+4.450%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
BallaratGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A04/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H18/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A24/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H30/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H02/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A08/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H09/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A15/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/04
NBL1 South
95.5Avg total
48.0Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.647.695.2+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.646.496.1+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)45.348.994.2-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)48.047.595.5+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)49.444.694.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)47.847.695.3+0.244%-
vs Similar (12)47.846.294.1+1.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)47.149.496.6-2.333%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A04/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H17/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A23/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H25/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H30/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A01/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A07/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H08/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
68-44
68
44
+24
H15/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A16/07
NBL1 South
89.6Avg total
45.6Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.644.590.1+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.646.593.1+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)44.742.887.5+1.962%-
Last 10 (10)45.644.089.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)48.043.291.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.244.684.9-4.450%-
vs Similar (8)47.247.895.0-0.550%-
vs Weaker (14)47.642.690.3+5.071%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ballarat wins
4
Geelong wins
DateGameScore
08/07/23Geelong v Ballarat104-107
04/06/22Geelong v Ballarat63-78
23/04/22Ballarat v Geelong96-98 OT
03/07/19Ballarat v Geelong97-69
15/06/19Geelong v Ballarat62-66
07/07/17Ballarat v Geelong107-84
31/03/17Geelong v Ballarat100-76
02/07/16Ballarat v Geelong78-91
08/07/15Ballarat v Geelong77-93
11/04/15Geelong v Ballarat87-89
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/24HBendigo Braves97-86
15/07/23ABendigo Braves93-99
09/07/23HDiamond Valley105-87
08/07/23AGeelong107-104
02/07/23HEltham82-68
30/06/23HRingwood110-113 OT
24/06/23AKilsyth97-96
18/06/23HMt Gambier85-105
17/06/23HNW Tasmania102-81
04/06/23AMelbourne Tigers88-106
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/07/23AWaverley93-72
15/07/23HKeilor Thunder116-85
08/07/23HBallarat104-107
07/07/23ARingwood68-75
01/07/23AFrankston98-97 OT
30/06/23HMelbourne Tigers71-72
25/06/23HEltham96-81
23/06/23AMt Gambier90-100
17/06/23HDandenong89-73
04/06/23AKeilor Thunder104-106 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total183.0183.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Geelong
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eltham110100%109.073.0+36.0
2 NW Tasmania110100%85.061.0+24.0
3 Knox220100%109.088.0+21.0
4 Mt Gambier110100%97.079.0+18.0
5 Dandenong220100%91.073.5+17.5
6 Frankston110100%115.098.0+17.0
7 Nunawading110100%102.088.0+14.0
8 Ballarat110100%97.086.0+11.0
9 Ringwood21150%91.083.5+7.5
10 Bendigo Braves21150%88.085.0+3.0
11 Melbourne Tigers1010%82.088.0-6.0
12 Keilor Thunder1010%98.0115.0-17.0
13 Sandringham Sabres2020%86.0103.0-17.0
14 Waverley1010%73.090.0-17.0
15 Hobart Chargers1010%61.085.0-24.0
16 Kilsyth2020%74.0101.5-27.5
17 Casey Cavaliers1010%65.094.0-29.0
18 Diamond Valley1010%73.0109.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat1825191779
Geelong1818232281
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