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Real Madrid vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 106-100
28-26 28-21 20-29 30-24
Position#1
Record27-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#8
Record18-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game87.8
SpainACBRound 34· WiZink Center
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Real Madrid v Baskonia
18 Mar 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
07 Feb 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
27 May 2026
MAD83
BAS88
11 Dec 2025
MAD94
BAS87
03 Jun 2025
MAD82
BAS76
16 Mar 2025
MAD83
BAS78
23 Jan 2025
MAD90
BAS89
12 May 2024
MAD106
BAS100
25 Apr 2024
MAD101
BAS90
23 Apr 2024
MAD90
BAS74
05 Apr 2024
MAD91
BAS95
19 Mar 2023
MAD88
BAS95
07 Mar 2023
MAD81
BAS85
04 Jun 2022
MAD83
BAS71
02 Jun 2022
MAD94
BAS84
06 Mar 2022
MAD72
BAS80
14 Jan 2022
MAD89
BAS74
05 Feb 2021
MAD64
BAS84
02 Dec 2020
MAD92
BAS83
10 Feb 2019
MAD82
BAS76
19 Oct 2018
MAD97
BAS79
22 Sep 2018
MAD80
BAS73
15 Jun 2018
MAD98
BAS91
13 Jun 2018
MAD90
BAS94
03 May 2018
MAD101
BAS89
17 Jan 2018
MAD75
BAS73
09 Apr 2017
MAD86
BAS82
25 Oct 2016
MAD87
BAS91
18 May 2016
MAD93
BAS88
05 Feb 2016
MAD68
BAS77
11 Jan 2015
MAD75
BAS74
20 Oct 2013
MAD105
BAS72
28 Oct 2012
MAD83
BAS81
02 Jun 2012
MAD76
BAS69
26 May 2012
MAD73
BAS64
24 May 2012
MAD71
BAS81
22 Jan 2012
MAD84
BAS73
23 Apr 2011
MAD76
BAS71
04 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS62
02 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS67
01 May 2010
MAD74
BAS80
04 Jun 2009
MAD102
BAS82
14 Feb 2009
MAD81
BAS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 85
A07/04
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
64avg 85
A11/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
95-92
95
92
+3
86avg 85
H14/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 85
A21/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
87avg 85
H23/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
101-90
101
90
+11
103avg 85
H25/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
79-69
79
69
+10
76avg 85
H28/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
102-98
102
98
+4
99avg 85
A01/05
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
94-80
94
80
+14
100avg 85
H05/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
93-99
93
99
-6
76avg 85
A10/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
22-18
25-19
21-21
16-9
15-16
13-17
20-20
22-20
15-25
31-20
27-27
20-17
17-9
26-19
16-25
26-17
22-20
22-16
20-21
23-21
23-19
28-23
27-27
28-20
10-17
23-19
18-13
22-22
30-34
20-17
30-25
22-19
29-23
26-15
17-23
27-28
22-19
23-28
21-24
169.5Avg total
87.6Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)87.779.0166.7+8.782%
Season at home (16)90.078.0168.0+12.088%
Season away (17)85.679.9165.5+5.676%
Last 10 (10)87.681.9169.5+5.780%
Last 5 (5)93.887.2181.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)89.787.7177.3+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)87.481.7169.1+5.777%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Breogan
#16
W
76-74
76
74
+2
63avg 80
H14/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
85-113
85
113
-28
81avg 80
A16/04
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
84avg 80
H19/04
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
92avg 80
A21/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
66avg 80
A23/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
90-101
90
101
-11
83avg 80
A25/04
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
101-94
101
94
+7
97avg 80
A27/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
98-102
98
102
-4
90avg 80
H01/05
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
L
92-96
92
96
-4
86avg 80
H05/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
94-79
94
79
+15
94avg 80
H10/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
20-12
18-19
25-16
15-28
21-27
25-31
24-27
21-22
20-19
31-16
17-20
35-27
19-21
17-18
20-29
17-26
20-22
16-22
21-20
21-23
19-23
23-28
27-27
27-32
21-25
28-15
25-22
22-22
34-30
17-20
25-30
26-37
22-17
18-19
26-23
30-24
16-24
23-11
25-20
181.1Avg total
89.0Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)88.187.8175.9+0.355%
Season at home (17)91.686.8178.5+4.871%
Season away (16)84.488.9173.2-4.538%
Last 10 (10)89.092.1181.1-3.140%
Last 5 (5)95.094.4189.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)92.498.0190.4-5.629%
vs Similar (16)88.691.5180.1-2.944%
vs Weaker (7)90.483.4173.9+7.071%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
Real MadridBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A07/04
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A11/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A21/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H23/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H25/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A01/05
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H05/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A10/05
ACB
82.2Avg total
42.2Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.181.6+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.141.384.4+1.859%-
Last 30 away (13)39.338.677.9+0.754%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.082.2+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.491.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)42.343.385.7-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.340.081.3+1.358%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H14/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A16/04
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/04
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A21/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A23/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/04
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A27/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H01/05
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H05/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H10/05
ACB
92.7Avg total
43.9Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.846.791.5-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.042.989.9+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.550.593.0-7.97%-
Last 10 (10)43.948.892.7-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)47.651.499.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)47.648.496.0-0.943%-
vs Similar (16)43.747.090.7-3.325%-
vs Weaker (7)44.444.388.7+0.143%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.9
55.3%
53.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.9
38.3%
34.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws17.113.1
76.6%
75.6%13.1
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.8
55.6%
53.0%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.814.1
40.5%
34.9%42.3
🏀 Free throws16.512.5
75.8%
75.6%12.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWWWWWWL
Baskonia
WLLWLLLWLW
#1
League position
#8
+7.8
Net rating
-4.3
117.8
Offensive rating
117.9
110.1
Defensive rating
122.2
56.3%
Effective FG%
58.4%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.3%
3-point %
40.5%
65.6%
Assist %
64.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 117.9Defence110.1 · 122.2Shooting56.3% · 58.4%3-point %38.3% · 40.5%Ball care15.3% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.4% · 27.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
5
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/24AValencia93-99
05/05/24HGranada94-80
01/05/24ABaskonia102-98
28/04/24HObradoiro CAB79-69
25/04/24HBaskonia101-90
23/04/24HBaskonia90-74
21/04/24ABasket Zaragoza79-70
14/04/24HJoventut Badalona95-92
11/04/24AZalgiris Kaunas64-62
07/04/24ABarcelona79-85
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/24HMurcia94-79
05/05/24HBasquet Girona92-96
01/05/24HReal Madrid98-102
27/04/24APalencia101-94
25/04/24AReal Madrid90-101
23/04/24AReal Madrid74-90
21/04/24AUnicaja91-95
19/04/24HVirtus Bologna89-77
16/04/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv85-113
14/04/24HBreogan76-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL82%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayWWLWL76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %82%88%76%
Points / game87.790.085.6
Allowed / game79.078.079.9
Point differential+8.7+12.0+5.6
Avg total166.7168.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %55%71%38%
Points / game88.191.684.4
Allowed / game87.886.888.9
Point differential+0.3+4.8-4.5
Avg total175.9178.5173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%35%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja3327682%88.677.5+11.1
2 Real Madrid3327682%87.779.0+8.7
3 Barcelona33221167%88.381.8+6.4
4 Valencia33211264%84.481.5+2.9
5 Gran Canaria33201361%84.681.7+2.9
6 Murcia33201361%83.781.0+2.6
7 Tenerife33201361%83.781.2+2.5
8 Manresa33191458%84.884.6+0.2
9 Baskonia33181555%88.187.8+0.3
10 Joventut Badalona33161748%82.086.1-4.2
11 Bilbao33132039%79.182.0-2.9
12 Basquet Girona33132039%81.185.6-4.5
13 MoraBanc Andorra33122136%84.485.5-1.2
14 Basket Zaragoza33122136%82.185.3-3.2
15 Breogan33112233%74.879.0-4.2
16 Obradoiro CAB33102330%80.784.8-4.1
17 Granada33102330%81.286.8-5.6
18 Palencia3362718%79.287.1-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid28282030106
Baskonia26212924100
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