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Real Madrid vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 81-85
22-17 21-23 22-22 16-23
Position#2
Record18-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#8
Record14-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27
European cup2022
Meetings · Real Madrid v Baskonia
18 Mar 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
07 Feb 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
27 May 2026
MAD83
BAS88
11 Dec 2025
MAD94
BAS87
03 Jun 2025
MAD82
BAS76
16 Mar 2025
MAD83
BAS78
23 Jan 2025
MAD90
BAS89
12 May 2024
MAD106
BAS100
25 Apr 2024
MAD101
BAS90
23 Apr 2024
MAD90
BAS74
05 Apr 2024
MAD91
BAS95
19 Mar 2023
MAD88
BAS95
07 Mar 2023
MAD81
BAS85
04 Jun 2022
MAD83
BAS71
02 Jun 2022
MAD94
BAS84
06 Mar 2022
MAD72
BAS80
14 Jan 2022
MAD89
BAS74
05 Feb 2021
MAD64
BAS84
02 Dec 2020
MAD92
BAS83
10 Feb 2019
MAD82
BAS76
19 Oct 2018
MAD97
BAS79
22 Sep 2018
MAD80
BAS73
15 Jun 2018
MAD98
BAS91
13 Jun 2018
MAD90
BAS94
03 May 2018
MAD101
BAS89
17 Jan 2018
MAD75
BAS73
09 Apr 2017
MAD86
BAS82
25 Oct 2016
MAD87
BAS91
18 May 2016
MAD93
BAS88
05 Feb 2016
MAD68
BAS77
11 Jan 2015
MAD75
BAS74
20 Oct 2013
MAD105
BAS72
28 Oct 2012
MAD83
BAS81
02 Jun 2012
MAD76
BAS69
26 May 2012
MAD73
BAS64
24 May 2012
MAD71
BAS81
22 Jan 2012
MAD84
BAS73
23 Apr 2011
MAD76
BAS71
04 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS62
02 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS67
01 May 2010
MAD74
BAS80
04 Jun 2009
MAD102
BAS82
14 Feb 2009
MAD81
BAS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Manresa
#14
W
94-69
94
69
+25
96avg 80
A29/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
83-68
83
68
+15
78avg 80
H01/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
95-91
95
91
+4
95avg 80
A03/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 80
H05/02
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
88-80
88
80
+8
80avg 80
A12/02
ACB
Valencia
#5
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
96-69
96
69
+27
100avg 80
H23/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
75-71
75
71
+4
70avg 80
A03/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 80
A05/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
25-14
19-13
18-20
26-14
22-16
20-27
15-11
24-20
26-26
20-25
25-20
28-20
22-16
20-23
18-18
20-20
20-12
31-23
17-25
21-13
20-21
22-24
23-27
19-17
20-22
20-27
23-27
22-24
31-14
23-14
20-17
20-10
27-22
16-22
12-17
24-14
20-16
22-27
18-21
165.2Avg total
87.1Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.276.9161.0+7.372%
Season at home (12)91.179.2170.2+11.975%
Season away (13)77.874.8152.5+3.069%
Last 10 (10)87.178.1165.2+9.090%
Last 5 (5)84.679.2163.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.277.2160.5+6.062%
vs Weaker (20)86.174.0160.1+12.090%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
W
87-80
87
80
+7
78avg 80
A29/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
no box
A31/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
H03/02
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
H05/02
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
75-79
75
79
-4
67avg 80
A10/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
no box
A12/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#3
L
81-94
81
94
-13
no box
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 80
A24/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
114-75
114
75
+39
120avg 80
H03/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
105-81
105
81
+24
112avg 80
H05/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
18-17
22-20
24-24
17-18
17-22
26-22
23-27
21-23
31-15
24-27
19-25
16-23
23-9
30-22
22-25
18-20
24-18
18-23
15-18
15-16
15-23
21-19
27-20
19-14
23-21
15-33
24-26
19-16
22-28
21-24
21-20
27-24
30-24
24-16
33-11
22-19
34-20
23-24
26-18
173.9Avg total
90.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)86.483.2169.6+3.254%
Season at home (13)95.082.2177.2+12.885%
Season away (13)77.884.2162.0-6.523%
Last 10 (10)90.383.6173.9+6.760%
Last 5 (5)94.483.8178.2+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)85.384.9170.1+0.471%
vs Weaker (22)89.779.2168.9+10.573%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
Real MadridBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#14
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A29/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H01/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A03/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H05/02
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A12/02
ACB
Valencia
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H23/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A03/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A05/03
ACB
82.2Avg total
46.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.136.079.0+7.180%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.636.180.8+8.586%-
Last 30 away (16)41.735.877.5+5.975%-
Last 10 (10)46.935.382.2+11.690%-
Last 5 (5)44.834.679.4+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.538.980.4+2.662%-
vs Weaker (20)44.034.878.8+9.290%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A29/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A31/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H03/02
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H05/02
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A10/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A12/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A24/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H03/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H05/03
ACB
82.3Avg total
43.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.738.782.3+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.437.884.2+8.680%-
Last 30 away (15)40.939.580.5+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)43.438.982.3+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.086.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.043.786.7-0.729%-
vs Weaker (22)44.037.281.2+6.773%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.722.6
58.4%
53.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.8
35.1%
36.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.615.8
76.7%
78.5%15.8
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.422.0
58.8%
53.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.0
34.2%
36.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.414.9
81.0%
78.5%14.9
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWWW
Baskonia
WWLLWLWWLW
#2
League position
#8
+13.7
Net rating
+8.3
114.7
Offensive rating
119.7
101.0
Defensive rating
111.3
56.3%
Effective FG%
55.6%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.6%
Turnover %
14.4%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.1%
3-point %
34.2%
55.3%
Assist %
58.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 119.7Defence101.0 · 111.3Shooting56.3% · 55.6%3-point %35.1% · 34.2%Ball care17.6% · 14.4%Off. rebounds30.7% · 31.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23AObradoiro CAB84-78
03/03/23ALyon-Villeurbanne75-71
23/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas96-69
18/02/23HUnicaja82-93
16/02/23HValencia86-85
12/02/23AMurcia88-80
05/02/23HTenerife88-77
03/02/23AMonaco95-91
01/02/23HPanathinaikos83-68
29/01/23AManresa94-69
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23HGranada105-81
03/03/23HValencia114-75
24/02/23AVirtus Bologna83-88
17/02/23AJoventut Badalona81-94
12/02/23AUnicaja89-81 OT
10/02/23AZalgiris Kaunas75-79
05/02/23HBasket Zaragoza91-79
03/02/23HPanathinaikos95-90
31/01/23AOlimpia Milano83-89
29/01/23AMurcia87-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %72%75%69%
Points / game84.291.177.8
Allowed / game76.979.274.8
Point differential+7.3+11.9+3.0
Avg total161.0170.2152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)25% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW54%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%85%23%
Points / game86.495.077.8
Allowed / game83.282.284.2
Point differential+3.2+12.8-6.5
Avg total169.6177.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%54%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2518772%84.276.9+7.3
2 Olympiacos2719870%84.475.9+8.5
3 Barcelona2718967%80.977.1+3.7
4 Fenerbahce2516964%85.281.0+4.2
5 Monaco26161062%83.382.1+1.2
6 Partizan27151256%84.982.7+2.2
7 Baskonia26141254%86.483.2+3.2
8 Anadolu Efes25131252%82.879.7+3.0
9 Zalgiris Kaunas27141352%75.278.0-2.9
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv26131350%82.283.0-0.9
11 Valencia27131448%82.785.4-2.7
12 Virtus Bologna27121544%78.081.6-3.6
13 Crvena zvezda26111542%75.778.8-3.1
14 Olimpia Milano26111542%72.976.8-3.9
15 Bayern26101638%77.079.2-2.2
16 Panathinaikos2681831%79.583.3-3.8
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2681831%75.180.4-5.3
18 Alba Berlin2772026%80.084.6-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2221221681
Baskonia1723222385
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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