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Real Madrid vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 88-95
27-15 18-24 24-31 19-25
Position#3
Record19-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#2
Record18-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game81.7
SpainACBRound 23
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Real Madrid v Baskonia
18 Mar 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
07 Feb 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
27 May 2026
MAD83
BAS88
11 Dec 2025
MAD94
BAS87
03 Jun 2025
MAD82
BAS76
16 Mar 2025
MAD83
BAS78
23 Jan 2025
MAD90
BAS89
12 May 2024
MAD106
BAS100
25 Apr 2024
MAD101
BAS90
23 Apr 2024
MAD90
BAS74
05 Apr 2024
MAD91
BAS95
19 Mar 2023
MAD88
BAS95
07 Mar 2023
MAD81
BAS85
04 Jun 2022
MAD83
BAS71
02 Jun 2022
MAD94
BAS84
06 Mar 2022
MAD72
BAS80
14 Jan 2022
MAD89
BAS74
05 Feb 2021
MAD64
BAS84
02 Dec 2020
MAD92
BAS83
10 Feb 2019
MAD82
BAS76
19 Oct 2018
MAD97
BAS79
22 Sep 2018
MAD80
BAS73
15 Jun 2018
MAD98
BAS91
13 Jun 2018
MAD90
BAS94
03 May 2018
MAD101
BAS89
17 Jan 2018
MAD75
BAS73
09 Apr 2017
MAD86
BAS82
25 Oct 2016
MAD87
BAS91
18 May 2016
MAD93
BAS88
05 Feb 2016
MAD68
BAS77
11 Jan 2015
MAD75
BAS74
20 Oct 2013
MAD105
BAS72
28 Oct 2012
MAD83
BAS81
02 Jun 2012
MAD76
BAS69
26 May 2012
MAD73
BAS64
24 May 2012
MAD71
BAS81
22 Jan 2012
MAD84
BAS73
23 Apr 2011
MAD76
BAS71
04 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS62
02 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS67
01 May 2010
MAD74
BAS80
04 Jun 2009
MAD102
BAS82
14 Feb 2009
MAD81
BAS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Valencia
#5
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
96-69
96
69
+27
100avg 81
H23/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
75-71
75
71
+4
70avg 81
A03/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 81
A05/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
81-85
81
85
-4
82avg 81
H07/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
95-91
95
91
+4
98avg 81
H09/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
86-65
86
65
+21
82avg 81
H12/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
90avg 81
A14/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
91-87
91
87
+4
83avg 81
H16/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
20-21
22-24
23-27
19-17
20-22
20-27
23-27
22-24
31-14
23-14
20-17
20-10
27-22
16-22
12-17
24-14
20-16
22-27
18-21
22-17
21-23
22-22
16-23
24-20
25-20
22-25
24-26
11-15
27-13
26-13
22-24
24-18
15-24
21-35
29-13
24-23
18-17
25-26
24-21
167.9Avg total
86.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)87.775.2162.9+12.586%
Season at home (11)91.274.7165.9+16.591%
Season away (11)84.375.6159.9+8.682%
Last 10 (10)86.581.4167.9+5.170%
Last 5 (5)88.483.6172.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.480.2163.7+3.244%
vs Weaker (19)86.674.9161.5+11.795%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
75-79
75
79
-4
67avg 81
A10/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
no box
A12/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#3
L
81-94
81
94
-13
no box
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 81
A24/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
114-75
114
75
+39
120avg 81
H03/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
105-81
105
81
+24
112avg 81
H05/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
72avg 81
A07/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
93-102
93
102
-9
94avg 81
H10/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
83-71
83
71
+12
85avg 81
A12/03
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
79-93
79
93
-14
69avg 81
A16/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
24-18
18-23
15-18
15-16
15-23
21-19
27-20
19-14
23-21
15-33
24-26
19-16
22-28
21-24
21-20
27-24
30-24
24-16
33-11
22-19
34-20
23-24
26-18
17-22
23-21
22-22
23-16
28-23
19-29
26-22
20-28
23-26
26-14
14-18
20-13
23-29
22-20
20-23
14-21
173.2Avg total
88.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)90.781.7172.4+9.082%
Season at home (11)94.682.7177.4+11.991%
Season away (11)86.780.6167.4+6.173%
Last 10 (10)88.784.5173.2+4.250%
Last 5 (5)89.085.6174.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.487.0172.4-1.660%
vs Weaker (19)89.682.0171.6+7.668%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
Real MadridBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H23/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A03/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A05/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H07/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H09/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H12/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A14/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/03
Euroleague
79.8Avg total
43.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.136.779.8+6.377%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.736.581.2+8.387%-
Last 30 away (15)41.437.078.4+4.467%-
Last 10 (10)43.536.379.8+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.080.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.939.980.8+1.056%-
vs Weaker (19)44.435.379.7+9.289%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A10/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A12/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A24/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H03/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H05/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A07/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H10/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A12/03
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A16/03
Euroleague
87.6Avg total
44.9Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.184.6+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.442.488.8+4.067%-
Last 30 away (18)41.640.381.8+1.344%-
Last 10 (10)44.942.787.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.692.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.345.088.3-1.720%-
vs Weaker (19)43.739.483.1+4.368%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.522.7
60.5%
52.1%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.2
36.3%
34.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.216.9
79.7%
73.9%16.9
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.620.0
57.8%
52.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.7
37.7%
34.5%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.414.2
81.6%
73.9%14.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWLWWWLW
Baskonia
LWLWWWLLWL
#3
League position
#2
+11.9
Net rating
+8.5
120.4
Offensive rating
121.8
108.5
Defensive rating
113.4
58.2%
Effective FG%
57.2%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.5%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.3%
3-point %
37.7%
56.0%
Assist %
63.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence120.4 · 121.8Defence108.5 · 113.4Shooting58.2% · 57.2%3-point %36.3% · 37.7%Ball care16.8% · 14.5%Off. rebounds31.8% · 30.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Real Madrid wins
4
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/23HOlimpia Milano91-87
14/03/23AAnadolu Efes89-90
12/03/23HBilbao86-65
09/03/23HValencia95-91
07/03/23HBaskonia81-85
05/03/23AObradoiro CAB84-78
03/03/23ALyon-Villeurbanne75-71
23/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas96-69
18/02/23HUnicaja82-93
16/02/23HValencia86-85
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv79-93
12/03/23AReal Betis83-71
10/03/23HMonaco93-102
07/03/23AReal Madrid85-81
05/03/23HGranada105-81
03/03/23HValencia114-75
24/02/23AVirtus Bologna83-88
17/02/23AJoventut Badalona81-94
12/02/23AUnicaja89-81 OT
10/02/23AZalgiris Kaunas75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWWWW91%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %86%91%82%
Points / game87.791.284.3
Allowed / game75.274.775.6
Point differential+12.5+16.5+8.6
Avg total162.9165.9159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%91%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %82%91%73%
Points / game90.794.686.7
Allowed / game81.782.780.6
Point differential+9.0+11.9+6.1
Avg total172.4177.4167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%55%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2219386%87.775.2+12.5
2 Barcelona2319483%84.373.3+11.0
3 Baskonia2218482%90.781.7+9.0
4 Tenerife2216673%82.272.1+10.1
5 Joventut Badalona2315865%82.177.4+4.7
6 Unicaja2314961%86.278.0+8.2
7 Gran Canaria2314961%83.978.7+5.2
8 Valencia23131057%84.683.1+1.4
9 Breogan23111248%78.979.8-0.9
10 Obradoiro CAB23111248%78.381.6-3.3
11 Bilbao23101343%76.579.7-3.2
12 Murcia2391439%79.684.7-5.1
13 Basket Zaragoza2381535%78.480.7-2.3
14 Basquet Girona2381535%76.180.5-4.4
15 Granada2371630%77.287.3-10.1
16 Manresa2251723%82.090.9-9.0
17 Real Betis2351822%77.385.7-8.5
18 Fuenlabrada2332013%77.191.5-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2718241988
Baskonia1524312595
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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