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Brescia vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 90-83
29-14 22-27 24-24 15-18
Position#2
Record10-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game85.6
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#16
Record3-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game86.2
ItalyLega ARound 13· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Brescia v Pistoia
29 Dec 2024
BRE90
PIS83
14 May 2024
BRE97
PIS75
12 May 2024
BRE79
PIS70
28 Jan 2024
BRE109
PIS90
08 Dec 2019
BRE86
PIS74
31 Mar 2019
BRE87
PIS79
14 Jan 2018
BRE76
PIS72
08 Jan 2017
BRE97
PIS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
74-95
74
95
-21
69avg 83
H02/11
Lega A
Evansville
#319
L
49-96
49
96
-47
no box
A09/11
NCAA
Cremona
#13
W
100-89
100
89
+11
99avg 83
A10/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
76avg 83
A17/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
98-97
98
97
+1
88avg 83
H01/12
Lega A
Bellarmine
#362
L
66-94
66
94
-28
no box
A07/12
NCAA
Trieste
#6
W
69-65
69
65
+4
56avg 83
A08/12
Lega A
Cleveland State
#95
L
37-103
37
103
-66
no box
A14/12
NCAA
Basket Napoli
#14
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 83
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 83
A22/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-32
19-22
22-23
16-18
0-0
23-48
0-0
26-48
25-21
29-20
31-26
15-22
29-23
20-22
15-21
21-12
27-19
19-32
18-21
34-25
0-0
29-36
0-0
37-58
14-17
21-9
18-8
16-31
0-0
26-51
0-0
11-52
31-21
19-23
29-24
18-16
24-14
19-31
20-12
27-32
165.5Avg total
76.5Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)90.485.6176.0+4.883%
Season at home (5)96.291.4187.6+4.880%
Season away (7)86.381.4167.7+4.986%
Last 10 (10)76.589.0165.5-12.560%
Last 5 (5)71.887.0158.8-15.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)50.797.7148.3-47.00%
vs Similar (11)80.685.5166.1-4.836%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.683.2175.8+9.488%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Cremona
#13
W
66-65
66
65
+1
63avg 71
A13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 71
H20/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
95-102
95
102
-7
95avg 71
A27/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
66avg 71
H03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 71
A10/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
88-92
88
92
-4
78avg 71
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
88-91
88
91
-3
70avg 71
A30/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
79avg 71
H07/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
96avg 71
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 71
H22/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
21-11
16-20
17-20
18-20
14-14
17-24
15-19
18-26
32-21
14-31
31-24
16-24
15-16
23-14
19-16
21-15
16-14
18-32
20-16
21-22
27-23
24-27
16-20
25-18
17-18
18-21
28-34
22-21
13-29
25-19
28-25
22-22
23-16
24-28
14-17
26-28
19-23
25-23
19-19
169.6Avg total
82.8Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.086.2168.2-4.225%
Season at home (6)81.784.7166.3-3.033%
Season away (6)82.387.7170.0-5.317%
Last 10 (10)82.886.8169.6-4.020%
Last 5 (5)91.095.4186.4-4.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.884.9163.7-6.132%
vs Similar (10)89.190.0179.1-0.940%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -9.3-9.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -9.3-9.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
BresciaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H02/11
Lega A
Evansville
#319
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A09/11
NCAA
Cremona
#13
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A10/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A17/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H01/12
Lega A
Bellarmine
#362
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A07/12
NCAA
Trieste
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A08/12
Lega A
Cleveland State
#95
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A14/12
NCAA
Basket Napoli
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
Lega A
83.2Avg total
39.1Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.885.0-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.443.287.5+1.254%-
Last 30 away (17)40.642.583.1-1.929%-
Last 10 (10)39.144.183.2-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.477.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.045.071.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (11)40.244.384.5-4.118%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.741.488.1+5.362%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#13
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A27/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A10/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A30/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H07/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H22/12
Lega A
79.3Avg total
39.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.682.8-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.644.984.5-5.221%-
Last 30 away (16)38.942.481.3-3.644%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.579.3+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.087.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.643.180.7-5.437%-
vs Similar (10)42.845.388.1-2.530%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.3
53.9%
52.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.58.0
37.2%
35.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws26.119.4
74.3%
76.8%19.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.520.8
48.9%
52.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.0
34.2%
35.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.816.2
77.9%
76.8%16.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWLWLWWWLL
Pistoia
LLLLLLWLLW
#2
League position
#16
+4.0
Net rating
-5.0
116.0
Offensive rating
103.0
112.0
Defensive rating
108.0
54.6%
Effective FG%
49.8%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.2%
3-point %
34.2%
53.9%
Assist %
53.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 103.0Defence112.0 · 108.0Shooting54.6% · 49.8%3-point %37.2% · 34.2%Ball care16.9% · 17.0%Off. rebounds34.7% · 25.5%Free throws0.43 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Brescia   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Brescia wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
17/05/24Pistoia v Brescia77-98
14/05/24Brescia v Pistoia97-75
12/05/24Brescia v Pistoia79-70
28/01/24Brescia v Pistoia109-90
22/10/23Pistoia v Brescia72-84
08/12/19Brescia v Pistoia86-74
31/03/19Brescia v Pistoia87-79
09/12/18Pistoia v Brescia73-70
09/05/18Pistoia v Brescia90-85
14/01/18Brescia v Pistoia76-72
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24AVenezia90-89
15/12/24HBasket Napoli97-84
14/12/24ACleveland State37-103
08/12/24ATrieste69-65
07/12/24ABellarmine66-94
01/12/24HVirtus Bologna98-97
17/11/24ATortona85-78
10/11/24ACremona100-89
09/11/24AEvansville49-96
02/11/24HTrapani74-95
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HTortona89-93
14/12/24AScafati102-107 OT
07/12/24HTrapani88-94
30/11/24ATreviso88-91
17/11/24HTrento88-92
10/11/24ASassari75-77
03/11/24HReggiana73-70
27/10/24AVarese95-102
20/10/24HVenezia64-77
13/10/24ACremona66-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %83%80%86%
Points / game90.496.286.3
Allowed / game85.691.481.4
Point differential+4.8+4.8+4.9
Avg total176.0187.6167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game82.081.782.3
Allowed / game86.284.787.7
Point differential-4.2-3.0-5.3
Avg total168.2166.3170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento1311285%90.683.5+7.1
2 Brescia1210283%90.485.6+4.8
3 Trapani1310377%94.686.2+8.4
4 Virtus Bologna139469%86.782.1+4.6
5 Reggiana139469%80.577.2+3.4
6 Tortona138562%86.583.6+2.8
7 Olimpia Milano138562%86.384.5+1.8
8 Trieste137654%84.983.5+1.4
9 Sassari136746%83.384.2-0.8
10 Treviso136746%85.886.8-1.0
11 Venezia135838%76.576.9-0.5
12 Scafati134931%85.993.1-7.2
13 Varese134931%89.397.5-8.2
14 Pistoia123925%82.086.2-4.2
15 Cremona1321115%76.581.2-4.6
16 Basket Napoli131128%81.889.5-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2922241590
Pistoia1427241883
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