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Brescia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-87
19-23 18-23 18-25 24-16
Position#4
Record15-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#1
Record15-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game73.6
ItalyLega ARound 19· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Brescia v Virtus Bologna
09 Feb 2026
BRE79
VIR87
17 Jun 2025
BRE74
VIR96
01 Dec 2024
BRE98
VIR97
25 Mar 2024
BRE73
VIR87
18 Dec 2022
BRE77
VIR89
14 Nov 2021
BRE74
VIR103
04 Oct 2020
BRE80
VIR81
26 Oct 2019
BRE80
VIR82
24 Apr 2019
BRE77
VIR75
18 Mar 2018
BRE66
VIR70
16 Feb 2018
BRE97
VIR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
89avg 81
A06/12
Lega A
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
53-92
53
92
-39
no box
A10/12
NCAA
Varese
#8
W
102-94
102
94
+8
103avg 81
H14/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
64avg 81
A22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
104-93
104
93
+11
106avg 81
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
79avg 81
A04/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
88avg 81
H11/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
A18/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 81
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
84avg 81
A01/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
26-17
20-20
22-21
0-0
21-50
0-0
32-42
29-18
21-29
25-18
27-29
21-18
17-23
15-25
23-20
25-18
29-24
21-31
29-20
19-22
26-21
16-18
20-20
24-23
18-23
24-17
26-23
20-21
16-20
17-15
23-15
15-21
28-23
20-24
20-12
20-25
23-25
23-14
24-17
171.8Avg total
85.5Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.982.7171.6+6.283%
Season at home (9)92.983.2176.1+9.7100%
Season away (9)84.982.1167.0+2.867%
Last 10 (10)85.586.3171.8-0.870%
Last 5 (5)85.482.2167.6+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.486.0159.4-12.640%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.383.3167.6+1.064%
vs Weaker (10)90.082.3172.3+7.790%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
72avg 79
A11/01
Lega A
Dubai
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
H18/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 79
H21/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
93-102
93
102
-9
85avg 79
H23/01
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
84-74
84
74
+10
83avg 79
A26/01
Lega A
Monaco
#10
W
84-82
84
82
+2
84avg 79
A30/01
Euroleague
Trento
#9
L
85-87
85
87
-2
87avg 79
H01/02
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
70-80
70
80
-10
64avg 79
H04/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-109
77
109
-32
66avg 79
A06/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
16-26
24-19
26-7
23-23
18-14
19-16
20-19
21-10
27-19
24-25
16-23
25-22
22-18
13-25
20-20
26-31
26-26
16-25
25-20
22-19
24-14
20-17
18-24
22-30
22-21
18-14
22-17
23-20
21-22
28-21
13-24
17-21
16-22
21-12
16-25
23-24
11-37
16-28
27-20
166.5Avg total
82.2Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.973.6155.5+8.383%
Season at home (9)79.471.1150.6+8.378%
Season away (9)84.376.1160.4+8.289%
Last 10 (10)82.284.3166.5-2.150%
Last 5 (5)80.086.4166.4-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.785.5166.2-4.831%
vs Similar ◀ (7)85.780.1165.9+5.671%
vs Weaker (10)79.469.0148.4+10.490%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
BresciaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A06/12
Lega A
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
21-50
21
50
-29
A10/12
NCAA
Varese
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H14/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H11/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A18/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A01/02
Lega A
87.3Avg total
42.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.285.3-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.842.988.8+2.958%-
Last 30 away (18)39.643.483.0-3.944%-
Last 10 (10)42.345.087.3-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.886.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.446.282.6-9.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.043.185.1-1.150%-
vs Weaker (10)46.041.787.7+4.370%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A11/01
Lega A
Dubai
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A15/01
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H18/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H21/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H23/01
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A26/01
Lega A
Monaco
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A30/01
Euroleague
Trento
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H01/02
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H04/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A06/02
Euroleague
86.2Avg total
42.0Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.441.383.7+1.162%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.341.185.4+3.167%-
Last 30 away (14)40.441.581.9-1.157%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.286.2-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.246.086.2-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.243.885.0-2.546%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.941.484.3+1.457%-
vs Weaker (9)43.837.781.4+6.189%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.9
53.8%
54.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.0
38.0%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.420.3
86.8%
76.1%20.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.4
57.0%
54.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.9
33.3%
34.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.713.3
79.6%
76.1%13.3
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWWWLWLWLW
Virtus Bologna
LLLWWLLWWW
#4
League position
#1
+7.9
Net rating
-5.7
115.1
Offensive rating
98.2
107.2
Defensive rating
103.9
55.1%
Effective FG%
54.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.9%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
41.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.0%
3-point %
33.3%
62.9%
Assist %
65.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 98.2Defence107.2 · 103.9Shooting55.1% · 54.0%3-point %38.0% · 33.3%Ball care14.8% · 15.9%Off. rebounds28.9% · 41.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Brescia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brescia wins
8
Virtus Bologna wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26AOlimpia Milano90-81
25/01/26HUdine83-80
18/01/26ACantu76-71
11/01/26HTortona92-86
04/01/26ASassari86-93 OT
28/12/25HVenezia104-93
22/12/25AVirtus Bologna76-86
14/12/25HVarese102-94
10/12/25ANorthern Kentucky53-92
06/12/25AReggiana93-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26AOlympiacos77-109
04/02/26HLyon-Villeurbanne70-80
01/02/26HTrento85-87
30/01/26AMonaco84-82
26/01/26ACremona84-74
23/01/26HCrvena zvezda93-102
21/01/26HFenerbahce80-85
18/01/26HTreviso88-77
15/01/26ADubai80-72
11/01/26AVenezia81-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game88.992.984.9
Allowed / game82.783.282.1
Point differential+6.2+9.7+2.8
Avg total171.6176.1167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %11%0%22%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayWLWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%78%89%
Points / game81.979.484.3
Allowed / game73.671.176.1
Point differential+8.3+8.3+8.2
Avg total155.5150.6160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1815383%81.973.6+8.3
2 Brescia1815383%88.982.7+6.2
3 Venezia1813572%91.885.3+6.6
4 Olimpia Milano1812667%85.278.4+6.7
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona1912763%88.087.0+1.0
7 Trento1910953%81.978.9+3.0
8 Trieste189950%84.487.4-3.1
9 Udine1981142%81.481.3+0.1
10 Cremona1981142%82.985.1-2.2
11 Basket Napoli1871139%83.785.1-1.4
12 Sassari1971237%84.987.6-2.6
13 Varese1971237%81.786.1-4.4
14 Reggiana1861233%79.981.4-1.4
15 Cantu1941521%82.189.3-7.2
16 Treviso1831517%81.190.7-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1918182479
Virtus Bologna2323251687
← all games of the day
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