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Cairns Taipans vs Adelaide Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 07:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record8-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game95.9
Cairns Taipans
Australia
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Adelaide
Australia
Position#5
Record7-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game92.5
AustraliaNBLRound 12· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Adelaide
12 Feb 2027
CAIR v ADEL
upcoming
09 Dec 2026
CAIR v ADEL
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
CAIR86
ADEL91
02 Oct 2025
CAIR79
ADEL110
19 Jan 2025
CAIR75
ADEL99
28 Sep 2024
CAIR101
ADEL97
13 Jan 2024
CAIR111
ADEL101
30 Jan 2023
CAIR96
ADEL99
31 Dec 2022
CAIR86
ADEL83
18 Dec 2021
CAIR93
ADEL67
09 Feb 2017
CAIR89
ADEL85
12 Dec 2016
CAIR83
ADEL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#3
W
107-95
107
95
+12
99avg 78
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
97-91
97
91
+6
93avg 78
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
110-100
110
100
+10
109avg 78
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
83-115
83
115
-32
72avg 78
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 78
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
107-85
107
85
+22
98avg 78
A29/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
97-113
97
113
-16
91avg 78
H31/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
95-107
95
107
-12
no box
H05/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
100-92
100
92
+8
no box
A08/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H13/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
29-32
25-35
35-14
23-17
24-33
27-22
23-19
28-27
29-23
29-27
24-23
35-27
19-35
9-27
20-26
16-25
23-21
21-16
26-22
23-21
34-21
21-19
29-24
33-26
21-25
19-34
24-28
35-32
27-29
20-26
13-20
31-27
22-21
24-17
23-27
12-29
20-24
31-14
21-15
193.0Avg total
96.6Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.495.9188.3-3.657%
Season at home (6)92.094.0186.0-2.067%
Season away (8)92.697.4190.0-4.850%
Last 10 (10)96.696.4193.0+0.270%
Last 5 (5)96.695.8192.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)87.2100.3187.4-13.130%
vs Similar (10)92.292.7184.9-0.570%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
92-114
92
114
-22
87avg 87
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
72-88
72
88
-16
61avg 87
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
79avg 87
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 87
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 87
A16/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
94-108
94
108
-14
86avg 87
A24/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
108-101
108
101
+7
106avg 87
A30/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 87
H01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
106-78
106
78
+28
no box
H07/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
101-93
101
93
+8
no box
H12/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-35
14-30
32-27
25-22
19-23
23-25
15-12
15-28
21-31
17-25
21-20
32-20
18-18
23-26
20-12
23-22
14-22
26-17
31-23
23-26
25-42
18-30
29-14
22-22
28-24
28-20
18-28
34-29
17-30
26-20
23-26
23-20
22-21
27-16
36-23
21-18
27-10
32-25
21-27
21-31
187.1Avg total
93.1Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)92.992.5185.4+0.554%
Season at home (6)90.386.7177.0+3.750%
Season away (7)95.197.4192.6-2.357%
Last 10 (10)93.194.0187.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)99.695.2194.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)92.997.9190.7-5.050%
vs Similar (10)93.795.5189.2-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)96.088.5184.5+7.550%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
Cairns TaipansAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A29/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H31/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H05/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A08/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H13/11
NBL
101.1Avg total
50.2Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.348.695.9-1.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.546.995.5+1.669%-
Last 30 away (17)46.349.996.2-3.641%-
Last 10 (10)50.250.9101.1-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)51.651.0102.6+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)46.249.395.5-3.150%-
vs Similar (10)49.447.296.6+2.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
35-65
35
65
-30
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
43-72
43
72
-29
A24/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A30/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H07/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H12/11
NBL
93.6Avg total
44.6Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.148.595.6-1.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.046.494.4+1.654%-
Last 30 away (17)46.450.196.5-3.853%-
Last 10 (10)44.649.093.6-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)50.047.697.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)48.949.998.9-1.050%-
vs Similar (10)44.547.992.4-3.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.046.293.2+0.867%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.2
57.8%
56.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.412.8
35.2%
34.2%38.4
🏀 Free throws13.210.3
78.0%
74.0%10.3
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.9
56.3%
56.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.4
30.3%
34.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.116.4
71.0%
74.0%16.4
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
WWLLWWLWWW
Adelaide
WWLWLWWLLL
#4
League position
#5
-3.9
Net rating
-3.3
96.3
Offensive rating
99.1
100.2
Defensive rating
102.4
55.3%
Effective FG%
51.6%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
13.8%
Turnover %
11.2%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.2%
3-point %
30.3%
65.3%
Assist %
67.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 99.1Defence100.2 · 102.4Shooting55.3% · 51.6%3-point %35.2% · 30.3%Ball care13.8% · 11.2%Free throws0.18 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cairns Taipans wins
8
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
27/09/26Adelaide v Cairns Taipans83-69
24/12/25Adelaide v Cairns Taipans93-73
16/11/25Adelaide v Cairns Taipans105-101 OT
18/10/25Cairns Taipans v Adelaide86-91
02/10/25Cairns Taipans v Adelaide79-110
19/01/25Cairns Taipans v Adelaide75-99
25/10/24Adelaide v Cairns Taipans99-93 OT
28/09/24Cairns Taipans v Adelaide101-97
27/01/24Adelaide v Cairns Taipans88-71
13/01/24Cairns Taipans v Adelaide111-101 OT
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSydney84-82
08/11/26APerth100-92
05/11/26HIllawarra Hawks95-107
31/10/26HMelbourne United97-113
29/10/26ABrisbane Bullets107-85
25/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers86-84
17/10/26ASouth East Melbourne83-115
11/10/26AIllawarra Hawks110-100
08/10/26HBrisbane Bullets97-91
03/10/26AMelbourne United107-95
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HMelbourne United101-93
07/11/26HIllawarra Hawks106-78
01/11/26HBrisbane Bullets89-96
30/10/26ANew Zealand Breakers108-101
24/10/26ASouth East Melbourne94-108
16/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers94-88
11/10/26ASydney84-78
07/10/26HMelbourne United91-96
04/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers72-88
02/10/26AIllawarra Hawks92-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game92.492.092.6
Allowed / game95.994.097.4
Point differential-3.6-2.0-4.8
Avg total188.3186.0190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW54%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%50%57%
Points / game92.990.395.1
Allowed / game92.586.797.4
Point differential+0.5+3.7-2.3
Avg total185.4177.0192.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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