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Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#22
Record4-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game109.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.4/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game112.8
USANBA· Spectrum Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Charlotte Hornets v Denver Nuggets
07 Jan 2027
CHA v DEN
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
CHA106
DEN115
01 Feb 2025
CHA104
DEN107
23 Dec 2023
CHA95
DEN102
11 Feb 2023
CHA105
DEN119
28 Mar 2022
CHA109
DEN113
11 May 2021
CHA112
DEN117
05 Mar 2020
CHA112
DEN114
07 Dec 2018
CHA113
DEN107
25 Oct 2017
CHA110
DEN93
31 Mar 2017
CHA122
DEN114
19 Mar 2016
CHA93
DEN101
22 Dec 2014
CHA110
DEN82
10 Mar 2014
CHA105
DEN98
23 Feb 2013
CHA99
DEN113
30 Mar 2012
CHA88
DEN99
07 Dec 2010
CHA100
DEN98
08 Dec 2009
CHA107
DEN95
11 Nov 2008
CHA80
DEN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charlotte Hornets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#15
W
115-110
115
110
+5
107avg 103
H24/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
110-103
110
103
+7
93avg 103
H26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
89-97
89
97
-8
83avg 103
A28/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
79-95
79
95
-16
59avg 103
A30/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
104-109
104
109
-5
91avg 103
H31/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
91-124
91
124
-33
68avg 103
H03/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
104-114
104
114
-10
95avg 103
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
80-119
80
119
-39
52avg 103
H07/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
124-112
124
112
+12
118avg 103
H10/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
96-101
96
101
-5
94avg 103
A13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
35-27
30-17
19-35
19-21
35-23
26-24
30-35
22-21
29-23
19-32
19-21
26-22
20-29
13-28
20-16
37-27
17-30
29-20
21-32
24-27
30-38
21-33
16-26
24-21
33-29
23-30
24-34
20-40
19-30
18-26
23-23
29-28
40-25
38-27
17-32
22-28
28-27
26-17
20-29
207.6Avg total
99.2Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)98.6109.6208.2-11.033%
Season at home (7)100.7115.0215.7-14.343%
Season away (5)95.6102.0197.6-6.420%
Last 10 (10)99.2108.4207.6-9.230%
Last 5 (5)99.0114.0213.0-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)98.6109.6208.2-11.033%
vs Similar (12)113.2111.5224.8+1.858%
vs Weaker (6)122.5102.0224.5+20.583%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 111
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 111
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 111
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 111
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 111
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 111
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 111
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 111
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
123-118
123
118
+5
114avg 111
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
117avg 111
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
29-23
27-28
30-31
30-26
232.2Avg total
117.7Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.6112.8227.5+1.864%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (7)109.7106.4216.1+3.371%
Last 10 (10)117.7114.5232.2+3.270%
Last 5 (5)116.2109.4225.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.0113.2228.2+1.850%
vs Similar (13)113.9115.5229.4-1.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)126.5116.8243.2+9.792%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -7.4-7.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -7.4-7.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
Charlotte HornetsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#15
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H24/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A28/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A30/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H31/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H03/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
39-70
39
70
-31
H07/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H10/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A13/11
NBA
108.7Avg total
54.0Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.955.8112.7+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)59.857.4117.2+2.461%-
Last 30 away (12)52.653.4106.0-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)54.054.7108.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)53.858.6112.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)53.155.2108.3-2.250%-
vs Similar (12)57.058.0115.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (6)64.352.5116.8+11.883%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A15/11
NBA
116.4Avg total
59.6Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.2118.1+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.762.4124.1-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)57.853.5111.3+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)59.656.8116.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)57.853.0110.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.553.8111.2+3.875%-
vs Similar (13)58.258.0116.2+0.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)62.359.8122.2+2.554%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 106.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.7
52.7%
54.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.514.7
32.3%
35.1%44.1
🏀 Free throws20.016.9
84.5%
77.3%16.9
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
54.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.3%19.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Charlotte Hornets
LWLLLLLLWW
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLWWLW
#22
League position
#10
-4.1
Net rating
-1.6
106.3
Offensive rating
110.1
110.4
Defensive rating
111.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
53.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.0%
Turnover %
11.1%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
16.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.3%
3-point %
32.2%
58.0%
Assist %
65.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 110.1Defence110.4 · 111.6Shooting50.5% · 53.6%3-point %32.3% · 32.2%Ball care15.0% · 11.1%Off. rebounds29.0% · 16.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Charlotte Hornets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26APhoenix Suns96-101
10/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers124-112
07/11/26HBoston Celtics80-119
05/11/26ABrooklyn Nets104-114
03/11/26HDetroit Pistons91-124
31/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers104-109
30/10/26AWashington Wizards79-95
28/10/26ADetroit Pistons89-97
26/10/26HWashington Wizards110-103
24/10/26HMiami Heat115-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans116-108
12/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-118
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLLLW43%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%43%20%
Points / game98.6100.795.6
Allowed / game109.6115.0102.0
Point differential-11.0-14.3-6.4
Avg total208.2215.7197.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game114.6123.2109.7
Allowed / game112.8124.0106.4
Point differential+1.8-0.8+3.3
Avg total227.5247.2216.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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