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Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 119-115
20-25 35-27 39-28 25-35
Position#2
Record17-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game114.8
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
vs
Charlotte Hornets
USA
Position#27
Record7-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game110.1
Allowed / game117.3
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets
16 Jan 2027
DEN v CHA
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
DEN87
CHA110
20 Feb 2025
DEN129
CHA115
01 Jan 2024
DEN111
CHA93
18 Dec 2022
DEN119
CHA115
23 Dec 2021
DEN107
CHA115
17 Mar 2021
DEN129
CHA104
15 Jan 2020
DEN100
CHA86
05 Jan 2019
DEN123
CHA110
05 Feb 2018
DEN121
CHA104
04 Mar 2017
DEN102
CHA112
10 Jan 2016
DEN95
CHA92
31 Jan 2015
DEN86
CHA104
29 Jan 2014
DEN98
CHA101
22 Dec 2012
DEN110
CHA88
02 Mar 2011
DEN120
CHA80
25 Jan 2010
DEN104
CHA93
30 Jan 2009
DEN110
CHA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
114-104
114
104
+10
104avg 112
A26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
129-113
129
113
+16
129avg 112
H29/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
120-100
120
100
+20
120avg 112
H01/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
109-117
109
117
-8
103avg 112
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
106-121
106
121
-15
101avg 112
A04/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
115-116
115
116
-1
113avg 112
H07/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
121-120
121
120
+1
117avg 112
A09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
115-110
115
110
+5
112avg 112
H11/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
141-128
141
128
+13
146avg 112
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
108-126
108
126
-18
101avg 112
A17/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
33-26
23-25
27-27
42-39
28-29
36-23
23-22
44-24
30-23
22-25
24-28
25-28
21-32
35-30
28-27
31-27
29-32
21-28
25-34
29-36
29-28
28-27
29-25
30-36
33-28
26-35
32-21
28-26
33-26
31-38
23-20
38-31
34-36
30-28
39-33
32-33
33-31
23-29
20-33
233.3Avg total
117.8Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)115.7114.8230.4+0.961%
Season at home (11)118.7109.2227.9+9.573%
Season away (17)113.7118.4232.1-4.653%
Last 10 (10)117.8115.5233.3+2.360%
Last 5 (5)120.0120.0240.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)115.5115.8231.4-0.354%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)115.4113.5228.9+1.865%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
110-108
110
108
+2
104avg 104
H25/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
105-140
105
140
-35
98avg 104
A29/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
117-116
117
116
+1
104avg 104
H03/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
80avg 104
H03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
117-119
117
119
-2
110avg 104
H06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
116-122
116
122
-6
106avg 104
A08/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
102-121
102
121
-19
89avg 104
H10/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
113-131
113
131
-18
99avg 104
A11/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
134-141 OT
134
141
-7
111avg 104
H15/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
106-125
106
125
-19
90avg 104
H17/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-34
23-28
39-21
19-25
19-45
36-33
27-43
23-19
36-31
38-28
33-29
10-28
24-30
21-26
28-28
23-21
26-28
28-35
36-21
27-35
28-38
27-35
32-23
29-26
20-22
29-33
22-34
31-32
21-20
33-41
33-35
26-35
33-35
36-38
28-34
30-20
24-38
35-37
33-23
14-27
234.4Avg total
111.6Scored
122.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)110.1117.3227.5-7.224%
Season at home (15)108.7114.9223.7-6.227%
Season away (14)111.6119.9231.6-8.321%
Last 10 (10)111.6122.8234.4-11.220%
Last 5 (5)114.2128.0242.2-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)109.5117.9227.4-8.422%
vs Similar (7)111.3117.6228.9-6.329%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.6-3.6
Denver NuggetsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H29/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H01/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A04/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H07/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H11/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A17/12
NBA
123.0Avg total
63.3Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.758.4119.1+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (12)62.656.1118.7+6.558%-
Last 30 away (18)59.559.9119.4-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)63.359.7123.0+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)63.862.2126.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)59.955.9115.8+4.054%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)61.460.2121.6+1.153%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H25/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A29/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H03/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A08/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H10/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A11/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H15/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
59-75
59
75
-16
H17/12
NBA
122.1Avg total
56.6Scored
65.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.859.3114.1-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.258.4114.6-2.233%-
Last 30 away (15)53.560.2113.7-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)56.665.5122.1-8.910%-
Last 5 (5)57.267.4124.6-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)54.460.2114.7-5.826%-
vs Similar (7)56.156.3112.4-0.143%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.934.6
61.9%
54.5%69.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.5
36.7%
35.8%31.5
🏀 Free throws22.917.1
74.7%
78.1%17.1
They take 84.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 111.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.730.4
49.3%
54.5%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.7
34.0%
35.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws25.018.7
74.8%
78.1%18.7
They take 93.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWWLLLWWW
Charlotte Hornets
LLLLLLLWLW
#2
League position
#27
+2.3
Net rating
-10.9
118.5
Offensive rating
109.0
116.2
Defensive rating
120.0
59.6%
Effective FG%
49.8%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
14.4%
Turnover %
11.7%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.7%
3-point %
34.0%
63.2%
Assist %
56.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence118.5 · 109.0Defence116.2 · 120.0Shooting59.6% · 49.8%3-point %36.7% · 34.0%Ball care14.4% · 11.7%Off. rebounds24.9% · 28.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Charlotte Hornets wins
DateGameScore
28/03/22Charlotte Hornets v Denver Nuggets109-113
24/12/21Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets107-115
11/05/21Charlotte Hornets v Denver Nuggets112-117
18/03/21Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets129-104
06/03/20Charlotte Hornets v Denver Nuggets112-114
16/01/20Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets100-86
05/01/19Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets123-110
08/12/18Charlotte Hornets v Denver Nuggets113-107
06/02/18Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets121-104
25/10/17Charlotte Hornets v Denver Nuggets110-93
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22ALos Angeles Lakers108-126
15/12/22HWashington Wizards141-128
11/12/22HUtah Jazz115-110
09/12/22APortland Trail Blazers121-120
07/12/22HDallas Mavericks115-116
04/12/22ANew Orleans Pelicans106-121
03/12/22AAtlanta Hawks109-117
01/12/22HHouston Rockets120-100
29/11/22HHouston Rockets129-113
26/11/22ALos Angeles Clippers114-104
Charlotte Hornetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22HAtlanta Hawks106-125
15/12/22HDetroit Pistons134-141 OT
11/12/22APhiladelphia 76ers113-131
10/12/22HNew York Knicks102-121
08/12/22ABrooklyn Nets116-122
06/12/22HLos Angeles Clippers117-119
03/12/22HMilwaukee Bucks96-105
03/12/22HWashington Wizards117-116
29/11/22ABoston Celtics105-140
25/11/22HMinnesota Timberwolves110-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL61%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281117
Win %61%73%53%
Points / game115.7118.7113.7
Allowed / game114.8109.2118.4
Point differential+0.9+9.5-4.6
Avg total230.4227.9232.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%55%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)40% (5)100% (5)
Overtime %4%0%6%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %24%27%21%
Points / game110.1108.7111.6
Allowed / game117.3114.9119.9
Point differential-7.2-6.2-8.3
Avg total227.5223.7231.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %17%13%21%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks2921872%112.6108.4+4.2
2 Boston Celtics3122971%118.2112.2+6.0
3 Memphis Grizzlies29191066%116.2111.4+4.8
4 Cleveland Cavaliers31201165%110.5104.6+5.9
5 New Orleans Pelicans29181162%117.3112.0+5.3
6 Brooklyn Nets31191261%113.1111.4+1.6
7 Denver Nuggets28171161%115.7114.8+0.9
8 Phoenix Suns30181260%115.4110.8+4.5
9 Philadelphia 76ers28161257%111.4108.1+3.3
10 Sacramento Kings28161257%117.8115.5+2.3
11 New York Knicks30171357%114.1112.2+1.9
12 Portland Trail Blazers30171357%112.3111.7+0.6
13 Los Angeles Clippers32181456%107.0107.6-0.6
14 Utah Jazz32171553%117.2116.0+1.2
15 Miami Heat31161552%108.1109.0-0.8
16 Dallas Mavericks30151550%111.3109.6+1.7
17 Minnesota Timberwolves30151550%115.4116.2-0.8
18 Atlanta Hawks30151550%113.9115.0-1.1
19 Golden State Warriors31151648%117.3116.6+0.7
20 Indiana Pacers31151648%114.6115.6-1.0
21 Toronto Raptors30131743%111.4111.3+0.1
22 Los Angeles Lakers28121643%115.4116.2-0.9
23 Oklahoma City Thunder30121840%115.3117.0-1.7
24 Chicago Bulls29111838%113.2115.1-1.9
25 Washington Wizards30111937%110.4113.5-3.1
26 Orlando Magic31112035%108.9112.8-3.9
27 Houston Rockets2992031%109.7115.1-5.4
28 San Antonio Spurs2992031%109.9120.0-10.2
29 Detroit Pistons3282425%111.3117.9-6.6
30 Charlotte Hornets2972224%110.1117.3-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets20353925119
Charlotte Hornets25272835115
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