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Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 95-102
27-25 33-29 9-30 26-18
Position#28
Record7-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game111.0
Allowed / game121.6
vs
Position#3
Record20-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game110.5
USANBA· Spectrum Center
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Charlotte Hornets v Denver Nuggets
07 Jan 2027
CHA v DEN
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
CHA106
DEN115
01 Feb 2025
CHA104
DEN107
23 Dec 2023
CHA95
DEN102
11 Feb 2023
CHA105
DEN119
28 Mar 2022
CHA109
DEN113
11 May 2021
CHA112
DEN117
05 Mar 2020
CHA112
DEN114
07 Dec 2018
CHA113
DEN107
25 Oct 2017
CHA110
DEN93
31 Mar 2017
CHA122
DEN114
19 Mar 2016
CHA93
DEN101
22 Dec 2014
CHA110
DEN82
10 Mar 2014
CHA105
DEN98
23 Feb 2013
CHA99
DEN113
30 Mar 2012
CHA88
DEN99
07 Dec 2010
CHA100
DEN98
08 Dec 2009
CHA107
DEN95
11 Nov 2008
CHA80
DEN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
129-128
129
128
+1
125avg 102
A01/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
117-123
117
123
-6
108avg 102
H02/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
100-111
100
111
-11
91avg 102
A07/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
119-116
119
116
+3
117avg 102
H09/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
114-116
114
116
-2
106avg 102
H12/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
104-115
104
115
-11
100avg 102
A14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
107-112
107
112
-5
89avg 102
H16/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
82-135
82
135
-53
59avg 102
H17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
99-114
99
114
-15
83avg 102
A19/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
113-144
113
144
-31
98avg 102
A21/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-37
42-34
29-35
27-22
23-30
36-32
28-26
30-35
24-27
20-21
20-35
36-28
35-22
31-32
24-23
29-39
24-29
26-30
27-30
37-27
23-22
22-34
25-35
34-24
20-21
19-29
37-26
31-36
17-33
27-40
15-27
23-35
27-19
25-29
29-31
18-35
29-31
31-40
26-36
27-37
229.8Avg total
108.4Scored
121.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)111.0121.6232.7-10.627%
Season at home (14)110.1120.2230.3-10.129%
Season away (12)112.2123.2235.4-11.125%
Last 10 (10)108.4121.4229.8-13.020%
Last 5 (5)101.0124.0225.0-23.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)107.8119.5227.3-11.722%
vs Similar (7)111.9116.6228.4-4.743%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
117-123
117
123
-6
112avg 111
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
102-111
102
111
-9
93avg 111
A07/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
106-114
106
114
-8
94avg 111
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
129-122
129
122
+7
129avg 111
A12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
114-106
114
106
+8
110avg 111
A13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
124-101
124
101
+23
118avg 111
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
117-118
117
118
-1
111avg 111
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
130-104
130
104
+26
130avg 111
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
113-104
113
104
+9
106avg 111
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
122-117
122
117
+5
118avg 111
A23/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
20-39
28-24
39-35
36-21
21-40
25-18
20-32
22-27
26-25
26-40
32-22
28-36
37-26
38-24
26-36
32-25
25-25
35-30
22-26
29-22
23-17
38-28
34-34
31-27
25-27
31-31
30-33
28-20
40-39
30-21
32-24
29-20
32-24
29-31
23-29
28-28
30-32
30-26
34-31
229.4Avg total
117.4Scored
112.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)115.4110.5225.9+4.967%
Season at home (13)121.0110.3231.3+10.785%
Season away (17)111.1110.7221.8+0.453%
Last 10 (10)117.4112.0229.4+5.460%
Last 5 (5)121.2108.8230.0+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)113.7112.1225.8+1.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)118.3107.9226.2+10.4100%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
Charlotte HornetsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A01/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H02/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A07/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H09/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H12/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H16/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
44-73
44
73
-29
H17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A19/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A21/12
NBA
112.4Avg total
53.2Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.558.0109.5-6.517%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.258.5107.6-9.36%-
Last 30 away (13)54.557.4111.9-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)53.259.2112.4-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)48.059.6107.6-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)51.358.5109.7-7.213%-
vs Similar (7)52.356.4108.7-4.129%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A07/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A23/12
NBA
111.7Avg total
57.2Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.656.1114.7+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.553.8114.3+6.677%-
Last 30 away (17)57.257.8114.9-0.659%-
Last 10 (10)57.254.5111.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)59.051.2110.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)58.158.1116.2+0.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)59.552.5112.0+6.982%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 108.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.529.5
53.2%
54.4%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.7
36.1%
36.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws16.414.3
87.2%
78.2%14.3
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.733.1
52.8%
54.4%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.5
38.9%
36.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws21.616.7
77.3%
78.2%16.7
They take 92.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Charlotte Hornets
LLLLLLWLLW
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWWLLL
#28
League position
#3
-13.3
Net rating
+5.5
110.5
Offensive rating
118.6
123.8
Defensive rating
113.1
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.6%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
12.3%
Turnover %
9.7%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.1%
3-point %
38.9%
59.7%
Assist %
65.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 118.6Defence123.8 · 113.1Shooting53.5% · 54.6%3-point %36.1% · 38.9%Ball care12.3% · 9.7%Off. rebounds22.0% · 27.9%Free throws0.19 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Charlotte Hornets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23AIndiana Pacers113-144
19/12/23AToronto Raptors99-114
17/12/23HPhiladelphia 76ers82-135
16/12/23HNew Orleans Pelicans107-112
14/12/23AMiami Heat104-115
12/12/23HMiami Heat114-116
09/12/23HToronto Raptors119-116
07/12/23AChicago Bulls100-111
02/12/23HMinnesota Timberwolves117-123
01/12/23ABrooklyn Nets129-128
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23ABrooklyn Nets122-117
21/12/23AToronto Raptors113-104
19/12/23HDallas Mavericks130-104
17/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder117-118
15/12/23HBrooklyn Nets124-101
13/12/23AChicago Bulls114-106
12/12/23AAtlanta Hawks129-122
09/12/23HHouston Rockets106-114
07/12/23ALos Angeles Clippers102-111
03/12/23ASacramento Kings117-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %27%29%25%
Points / game111.0110.1112.2
Allowed / game121.6120.2123.2
Point differential-10.6-10.1-11.1
Avg total232.7230.3235.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWLW85%
AwayLWWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301317
Win %67%85%53%
Points / game115.4121.0111.1
Allowed / game110.5110.3110.7
Point differential+4.9+10.7+0.4
Avg total225.9231.3221.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%62%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2722581%120.1109.3+10.9
2 Minnesota Timberwolves2721678%113.7106.9+6.8
3 Milwaukee Bucks2721678%124.0118.3+5.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers2820871%122.3111.0+11.3
5 Oklahoma City Thunder2618869%120.7113.0+7.7
6 Denver Nuggets30201067%115.4110.5+4.9
7 Sacramento Kings2617965%118.3117.3+1.0
8 New Orleans Pelicans27161159%116.7112.7+4.0
9 New York Knicks27161159%114.3110.8+3.5
10 Orlando Magic27161159%113.0110.4+2.6
11 Los Angeles Clippers29171259%116.7112.7+4.0
12 Miami Heat29171259%113.2111.8+1.4
13 Dallas Mavericks28161257%118.1117.9+0.3
14 Cleveland Cavaliers29161355%112.1112.4-0.3
15 Houston Rockets26141254%111.8107.9+3.9
16 Phoenix Suns27141352%114.9114.3+0.6
17 Golden State Warriors28141450%116.9116.1+0.8
18 Los Angeles Lakers27131448%113.1115.3-2.3
19 Indiana Pacers25121348%127.2127.0+0.3
20 Brooklyn Nets28131546%115.6115.5+0.1
21 Chicago Bulls30131743%110.5112.5-2.0
22 Atlanta Hawks28121643%122.8122.9-0.1
23 Toronto Raptors28111739%112.2114.4-2.2
24 Utah Jazz29111838%112.6119.4-6.8
25 Memphis Grizzlies2781930%106.4112.1-5.7
26 Charlotte Hornets2671927%111.0121.6-10.6
27 Portland Trail Blazers2772026%108.0114.3-6.3
28 Washington Wizards2852318%117.0126.6-9.5
29 San Antonio Spurs2742315%110.3122.2-11.9
30 Detroit Pistons282267%109.0120.7-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Charlotte Hornets273392695
Denver Nuggets25293018102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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