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Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 104-107
20-27 26-27 35-36 23-17
Position#28
Record12-33
FormLWLLL
Points / game106.9
Allowed / game112.0
vs
Position#9
Record29-19
FormWLLLW
Points / game120.8
Allowed / game116.7
USANBA· Spectrum Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Charlotte Hornets v Denver Nuggets
07 Jan 2027
CHA v DEN
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
CHA106
DEN115
01 Feb 2025
CHA104
DEN107
23 Dec 2023
CHA95
DEN102
11 Feb 2023
CHA105
DEN119
28 Mar 2022
CHA109
DEN113
11 May 2021
CHA112
DEN117
05 Mar 2020
CHA112
DEN114
07 Dec 2018
CHA113
DEN107
25 Oct 2017
CHA110
DEN93
31 Mar 2017
CHA122
DEN114
19 Mar 2016
CHA93
DEN101
22 Dec 2014
CHA110
DEN82
10 Mar 2014
CHA105
DEN98
23 Feb 2013
CHA99
DEN113
30 Mar 2012
CHA88
DEN99
07 Dec 2010
CHA100
DEN98
08 Dec 2009
CHA107
DEN95
11 Nov 2008
CHA80
DEN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
113-120
113
120
-7
110avg 97
A13/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
117-112
117
112
+5
114avg 97
A16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
125-123
125
123
+2
116avg 97
A18/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
110-105
110
105
+5
100avg 97
H20/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
120-132
120
132
-12
110avg 97
A23/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
97-102
97
102
-5
86avg 97
H25/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
123-92
123
92
+31
122avg 97
H26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
107-112
107
112
-5
96avg 97
H28/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
83-104
83
104
-21
72avg 97
H30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
104-112
104
112
-8
86avg 97
H01/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-28
28-34
36-31
15-27
26-33
29-29
25-25
37-25
36-29
37-42
25-32
27-20
24-27
31-28
27-28
28-22
25-38
23-40
36-28
36-26
30-22
24-28
21-23
22-29
31-23
32-22
30-23
30-24
19-39
32-20
26-27
30-26
19-26
18-27
26-31
20-20
23-23
25-30
29-34
27-25
221.3Avg total
109.9Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)106.9112.0219.0-5.127%
Season at home (25)105.6108.8214.5-3.232%
Season away (20)108.5116.0224.6-7.520%
Last 10 (10)109.9111.4221.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)102.8104.4207.2-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)104.7111.0215.6-6.318%
vs Similar (8)107.1110.4217.5-3.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
118-99
118
99
+19
121avg 112
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
108-128
108
128
-20
102avg 112
H16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
133-113
133
113
+20
133avg 112
A18/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
113-100
113
100
+13
118avg 112
A19/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
144-109
144
109
+35
158avg 112
H22/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
132-123
132
123
+9
126avg 112
H24/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
104-133
104
133
-29
98avg 112
A25/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
121-129
121
129
-8
118avg 112
A28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
112-122
112
122
-10
107avg 112
A30/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
137-134
137
134
+3
146avg 112
A01/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-21
35-24
20-22
27-32
23-28
25-41
33-33
27-26
30-24
37-31
31-31
35-27
28-29
26-23
39-25
20-23
35-27
42-40
40-27
27-15
40-31
34-21
36-33
22-38
31-40
29-31
31-38
13-24
35-32
33-29
28-34
25-34
27-31
27-29
32-33
26-29
38-36
35-33
30-31
34-34
241.2Avg total
122.2Scored
119.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)120.8116.7237.5+4.060%
Season at home (22)121.5116.2237.8+5.364%
Season away (26)120.1117.2237.2+2.958%
Last 10 (10)122.2119.0241.2+3.260%
Last 5 (5)121.2128.2249.4-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)118.3131.0249.3-12.70%
vs Similar (13)120.1114.2234.3+5.877%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)125.4116.4241.9+9.064%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
Charlotte HornetsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#22
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A13/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A18/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H20/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
48-78
48
78
-30
A23/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H25/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H28/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H01/02
NBA
113.4Avg total
54.6Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.657.3108.9-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.253.0101.2-4.829%-
Last 30 away (13)56.163.0119.1-6.923%-
Last 10 (10)54.658.8113.4-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)50.652.0102.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)51.957.5109.4-5.632%-
vs Similar (8)50.856.9107.6-6.112%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
71-45
71
45
+26
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A18/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A19/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H22/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H24/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A25/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A30/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A01/02
NBA
124.7Avg total
64.6Scored
60.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.560.6123.1+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)61.960.1122.0+1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)62.961.0123.9+1.941%-
Last 10 (10)64.660.1124.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)65.862.6128.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.367.7129.0-6.30%-
vs Similar (13)61.557.5119.0+3.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)63.661.9125.6+1.750%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.726.9
51.0%
54.3%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.512.9
35.3%
35.9%38.7
🏀 Free throws22.217.4
78.4%
77.8%17.4
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 122.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.434.6
60.3%
54.3%69.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.411.8
40.1%
35.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws21.417.6
82.2%
77.8%17.6
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Charlotte Hornets
LLLWLLWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLLLWWWWLW
#28
League position
#9
-1.5
Net rating
+3.2
110.2
Offensive rating
121.6
111.7
Defensive rating
118.4
51.8%
Effective FG%
60.3%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.0%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.3%
3-point %
40.1%
62.3%
Assist %
66.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 121.6Defence111.7 · 118.4Shooting51.8% · 60.3%3-point %35.3% · 40.1%Ball care14.5% · 15.0%Off. rebounds29.4% · 30.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Charlotte Hornets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HLos Angeles Clippers104-112
30/01/25HBrooklyn Nets83-104
28/01/25HLos Angeles Lakers107-112
26/01/25HNew Orleans Pelicans123-92
25/01/25HPortland Trail Blazers97-102
23/01/25AMemphis Grizzlies120-132
20/01/25HDallas Mavericks110-105
18/01/25AChicago Bulls125-123
16/01/25AUtah Jazz117-112
13/01/25APhoenix Suns113-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25APhiladelphia 76ers137-134
30/01/25ANew York Knicks112-122
28/01/25AChicago Bulls121-129
25/01/25AMinnesota Timberwolves104-133
24/01/25HSacramento Kings132-123
22/01/25HPhiladelphia 76ers144-109
19/01/25AOrlando Magic113-100
18/01/25AMiami Heat133-113
16/01/25HHouston Rockets108-128
15/01/25ADallas Mavericks118-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeLWLLL32%
AwayLLWWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452520
Win %27%32%20%
Points / game106.9105.6108.5
Allowed / game112.0108.8116.0
Point differential-5.1-3.2-7.5
Avg total219.0214.5224.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)50% (10)44% (9)
Overtime %7%8%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW60%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayWLLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482226
Win %60%64%58%
Points / game120.8121.5120.1
Allowed / game116.7116.2117.2
Point differential+4.0+5.3+2.9
Avg total237.5237.8237.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%41%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)57% (7)62% (8)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers4839981%122.2112.0+10.2
2 Oklahoma City Thunder4435980%116.5104.8+11.7
3 Boston Celtics49341569%117.3108.4+8.8
4 Houston Rockets45311469%114.9108.8+6.1
5 New York Knicks47321568%118.2110.9+7.4
6 Memphis Grizzlies48321667%123.2115.7+7.5
7 Denver Nuggets48291960%120.8116.7+4.0
8 Los Angeles Lakers46271959%111.8112.3-0.5
9 Los Angeles Clippers48282058%110.4107.0+3.3
10 Indiana Pacers47272057%116.2115.1+1.1
11 Minnesota Timberwolves48272156%111.2107.9+3.2
12 Milwaukee Bucks44242055%114.7112.4+2.3
13 Dallas Mavericks48262254%115.8112.5+3.3
14 Phoenix Suns47252253%113.1113.5-0.4
15 Sacramento Kings47242351%116.6114.6+2.0
16 Golden State Warriors47242351%111.8112.1-0.3
17 Miami Heat46232350%110.9110.7+0.2
18 Detroit Pistons48242450%112.0113.2-1.2
19 Orlando Magic49242549%103.6105.2-1.6
20 San Antonio Spurs45212447%112.8113.9-1.2
21 Atlanta Hawks47212645%116.0119.4-3.4
22 Chicago Bulls49212843%116.5119.8-3.3
23 Philadelphia 76ers47192840%109.0112.6-3.5
24 Portland Trail Blazers48192940%108.4114.7-6.3
25 Toronto Raptors48153331%111.1116.5-5.4
26 Brooklyn Nets48153331%105.4112.7-7.2
27 Charlotte Hornets45123327%106.9112.0-5.1
28 New Orleans Pelicans49123724%109.8118.1-8.3
29 Utah Jazz47113623%111.2118.5-7.3
30 Washington Wizards4764113%107.0122.2-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Charlotte Hornets20263523104
Denver Nuggets27273617107
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