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Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 105-119
34-27 26-30 23-37 22-25
Position#27
Record15-42
FormLLLLL
Points / game111.9
Allowed / game118.7
vs
Position#2
Record38-18
FormWWLWL
Points / game117.1
Allowed / game113.0
USANBA· Spectrum Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Charlotte Hornets v Denver Nuggets
07 Jan 2027
CHA v DEN
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
CHA106
DEN115
01 Feb 2025
CHA104
DEN107
23 Dec 2023
CHA95
DEN102
11 Feb 2023
CHA105
DEN119
28 Mar 2022
CHA109
DEN113
11 May 2021
CHA112
DEN117
05 Mar 2020
CHA112
DEN114
07 Dec 2018
CHA113
DEN107
25 Oct 2017
CHA110
DEN93
31 Mar 2017
CHA122
DEN114
19 Mar 2016
CHA93
DEN101
22 Dec 2014
CHA110
DEN82
10 Mar 2014
CHA105
DEN98
23 Feb 2013
CHA99
DEN113
30 Mar 2012
CHA88
DEN99
07 Dec 2010
CHA100
DEN98
08 Dec 2009
CHA107
DEN95
11 Nov 2008
CHA80
DEN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#22
L
102-120
102
120
-18
90avg 105
A24/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
97-128
97
128
-31
76avg 105
A25/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
111-96
111
96
+15
109avg 105
H27/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
122-117
122
117
+5
121avg 105
H29/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
115-124
115
124
-9
102avg 105
A01/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
98-114
98
114
-16
84avg 105
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
112-118
112
118
-6
96avg 105
A04/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
113-119
113
119
-6
107avg 105
H05/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
104-118
104
118
-14
89avg 105
A09/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
116-127
116
127
-11
107avg 105
A11/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
21-37
34-31
23-31
15-36
32-22
30-40
20-30
32-36
15-19
30-24
34-17
26-28
32-34
33-24
31-31
27-34
37-30
26-33
25-27
29-31
20-22
21-32
28-29
30-29
38-40
26-23
18-26
37-28
21-34
27-28
28-29
31-32
30-29
15-27
28-30
24-32
29-39
28-26
35-30
227.1Avg total
109.0Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)111.9118.7230.7-6.826%
Season at home (24)110.4116.5226.9-6.129%
Season away (33)113.1120.4233.4-7.324%
Last 10 (10)109.0118.1227.1-9.120%
Last 5 (5)108.6119.2227.8-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)113.4120.7234.1-7.229%
vs Similar (6)117.5122.5240.0-5.017%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
99-101
99
101
-2
86avg 113
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
99-98
99
98
+1
93avg 113
A25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
99-107
99
107
-8
85avg 113
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
119-126
119
126
-7
116avg 113
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
122-113
122
113
+9
122avg 113
H01/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
134-117
134
117
+17
133avg 113
H03/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
128-108
128
108
+20
126avg 113
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
98-128
98
128
-30
91avg 113
A06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
146-112
146
112
+34
155avg 113
H08/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
104-115
104
115
-11
94avg 113
A10/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
29-25
27-29
25-20
28-24
35-23
20-27
16-24
27-26
26-32
20-23
26-26
38-29
35-29
26-38
20-30
31-35
26-25
36-24
29-29
34-35
36-34
35-22
29-26
35-30
35-22
27-34
31-22
21-32
22-31
28-31
27-34
49-19
30-29
31-27
36-37
26-29
29-36
29-24
20-26
227.3Avg total
114.8Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)117.1113.0230.1+4.168%
Season at home (30)121.4109.4230.8+12.087%
Season away (26)112.2117.2229.3-5.046%
Last 10 (10)114.8112.5227.3+2.350%
Last 5 (5)122.0116.0238.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)116.3110.8227.1+5.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)121.7113.9235.5+7.880%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
Charlotte HornetsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#22
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A24/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A25/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H27/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H29/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A01/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A04/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H05/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A09/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A11/02
NBA
116.3Avg total
55.0Scored
61.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.463.4119.8-6.913%-
Last 30 at home (11)55.564.7120.2-9.39%-
Last 30 away (19)57.062.6119.6-5.616%-
Last 10 (10)55.061.3116.3-6.30%-
Last 5 (5)57.863.2121.0-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)55.563.7119.2-8.212%-
vs Similar (6)60.062.0122.0-2.017%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H01/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H03/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
79-48
79
48
+31
H08/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A10/02
NBA
118.2Avg total
61.0Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.356.3117.5+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (20)62.754.9117.6+7.875%-
Last 30 away (10)58.459.0117.4-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)61.057.2118.2+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)63.459.4122.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)60.855.8116.6+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)61.756.7118.5+5.060%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.332.5
53.9%
54.5%65.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.88.6
27.9%
35.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.618.2
74.0%
78.1%18.2
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.730.8
57.4%
54.5%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.312.2
37.8%
35.8%36.6
🏀 Free throws22.416.6
74.1%
78.1%16.6
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Charlotte Hornets
LLLLLLWWLL
Denver Nuggets
LWLWWWLLWL
#27
League position
#2
-8.8
Net rating
+2.3
105.1
Offensive rating
113.4
113.8
Defensive rating
111.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
57.1%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
12.7%
Turnover %
14.0%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.9%
3-point %
37.8%
57.2%
Assist %
66.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 113.4Defence113.8 · 111.2Shooting49.8% · 57.1%3-point %27.9% · 37.8%Ball care12.7% · 14.0%Off. rebounds22.9% · 20.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Charlotte Hornets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23ABoston Celtics116-127
09/02/23AWashington Wizards104-118
05/02/23HOrlando Magic113-119
04/02/23ADetroit Pistons112-118
03/02/23AChicago Bulls98-114
01/02/23AMilwaukee Bucks115-124
29/01/23HMiami Heat122-117
27/01/23HChicago Bulls111-96
25/01/23APhoenix Suns97-128
24/01/23AUtah Jazz102-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/23AOrlando Magic104-115
08/02/23HMinnesota Timberwolves146-112
06/02/23AMinnesota Timberwolves98-128
05/02/23HAtlanta Hawks128-108
03/02/23HGolden State Warriors134-117
01/02/23HNew Orleans Pelicans122-113
28/01/23APhiladelphia 76ers119-126
26/01/23AMilwaukee Bucks99-107
25/01/23ANew Orleans Pelicans99-98
23/01/23HOklahoma City Thunder99-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeLLWWL29%
AwayLLLLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572433
Win %26%29%24%
Points / game111.9110.4113.1
Allowed / game118.7116.5120.4
Point differential-6.8-6.1-7.3
Avg total230.7226.9233.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%4%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)60% (5)33% (9)
Overtime %9%8%9%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeLWWWW87%
AwayWLLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games563026
Win %68%87%46%
Points / game117.1121.4112.2
Allowed / game113.0109.4117.2
Point differential+4.1+12.0-5.0
Avg total230.1230.8229.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won72% (18)64% (11)86% (7)
Overtime %4%3%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics56401671%117.6111.5+6.1
2 Milwaukee Bucks56391770%114.6111.6+3.0
3 Denver Nuggets56381868%117.1113.0+4.1
4 Philadelphia 76ers55361965%114.1110.5+3.6
5 Cleveland Cavaliers58362262%111.9106.2+5.7
6 Memphis Grizzlies55342162%116.2112.1+4.1
7 Brooklyn Nets56332359%114.1112.2+1.9
8 Sacramento Kings55312456%119.4116.9+2.5
9 Miami Heat56312555%108.4108.2+0.2
10 Dallas Mavericks57312654%112.7111.9+0.8
11 Phoenix Suns58312753%112.7111.3+1.4
12 New York Knicks57302753%114.1112.5+1.6
13 Los Angeles Clippers59312853%111.0111.0+0.0
14 Golden State Warriors55282751%118.5118.3+0.2
15 New Orleans Pelicans57292851%115.3113.6+1.7
16 Minnesota Timberwolves59302951%115.7115.7+0.0
17 Atlanta Hawks56282850%116.1116.4-0.2
18 Utah Jazz57282949%117.5117.1+0.5
19 Oklahoma City Thunder55272849%117.9116.9+1.1
20 Portland Trail Blazers56272948%114.9114.8+0.1
21 Chicago Bulls55262947%114.2113.9+0.3
22 Washington Wizards54252946%112.9113.3-0.4
23 Toronto Raptors57263146%113.1112.4+0.7
24 Los Angeles Lakers56253145%117.1118.6-1.4
25 Indiana Pacers57253244%114.4116.9-2.5
26 Orlando Magic56233341%111.2114.0-2.8
27 Charlotte Hornets57154226%111.9118.7-6.8
28 Detroit Pistons57154226%112.2119.8-7.5
29 San Antonio Spurs56144225%112.7122.7-10.1
30 Houston Rockets56134323%110.1117.8-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Charlotte Hornets34262322105
Denver Nuggets27303725119
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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