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Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 109-113
30-32 27-24 27-37 25-20
Position#15
Record39-36
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.8
Allowed / game114.4
vs
Position#11
Record44-31
FormLLWLW
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game109.4
USANBA· Spectrum Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Charlotte Hornets v Denver Nuggets
07 Jan 2027
CHA v DEN
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
CHA106
DEN115
01 Feb 2025
CHA104
DEN107
23 Dec 2023
CHA95
DEN102
11 Feb 2023
CHA105
DEN119
28 Mar 2022
CHA109
DEN113
11 May 2021
CHA112
DEN117
05 Mar 2020
CHA112
DEN114
07 Dec 2018
CHA113
DEN107
25 Oct 2017
CHA110
DEN93
31 Mar 2017
CHA122
DEN114
19 Mar 2016
CHA93
DEN101
22 Dec 2014
CHA110
DEN82
10 Mar 2014
CHA105
DEN98
23 Feb 2013
CHA99
DEN113
30 Mar 2012
CHA88
DEN99
07 Dec 2010
CHA100
DEN98
08 Dec 2009
CHA107
DEN95
11 Nov 2008
CHA80
DEN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
121-132
121
132
-11
112avg 104
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
101-115
101
115
-14
89avg 104
H10/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
142-120
142
120
+22
148avg 104
A12/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
134-116
134
116
+18
130avg 104
A15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
116-106
116
106
+10
113avg 104
H16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
129-108
129
108
+21
129avg 104
H19/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
106-103
106
103
+3
107avg 104
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
106-121
106
121
-15
98avg 104
H23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
107-101
107
101
+6
100avg 104
H25/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
119-110
119
110
+9
110avg 104
A27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-34
23-35
41-31
37-32
22-29
26-23
30-35
23-28
25-24
36-31
42-27
39-38
29-41
36-23
37-27
32-25
29-33
33-34
23-18
31-21
35-24
26-28
41-28
27-28
19-22
24-27
35-35
28-19
24-40
32-29
31-30
19-22
23-24
31-27
23-27
30-23
26-32
30-28
37-29
26-21
231.3Avg total
118.1Scored
113.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)114.8114.4229.2+0.452%
Season at home (38)112.9112.4225.3+0.553%
Season away (37)116.7116.4233.1+0.351%
Last 10 (10)118.1113.2231.3+4.970%
Last 5 (5)113.4108.6222.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.3111.5215.8-7.217%
vs Similar ◀ (20)115.6114.8230.4+0.850%
vs Weaker (4)130.5115.0245.5+15.575%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
106-100
106
100
+6
108avg 107
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
102-113
102
113
-11
92avg 107
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
115-127
115
127
-12
117avg 107
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
114-110
114
110
+4
113avg 107
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
127-109
127
109
+18
124avg 107
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
116-119 OT
116
119
-3
118avg 107
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
104-124
104
124
-20
91avg 107
H21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
127-115
127
115
+12
128avg 107
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
130-140
130
140
-10
127avg 107
H25/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
113-107
113
107
+6
116avg 107
H27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-29
31-22
17-26
26-23
29-30
31-21
24-37
18-25
25-28
38-37
36-28
16-34
22-37
31-21
28-30
33-22
34-28
39-24
31-29
23-28
29-31
34-21
24-26
20-29
27-33
16-35
32-30
29-26
37-27
35-34
27-27
28-27
31-31
37-35
38-38
24-36
32-25
26-24
29-27
26-31
231.8Avg total
115.4Scored
116.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)111.8109.4221.2+2.559%
Season at home (37)113.9110.8224.8+3.159%
Season away (38)109.7107.9217.7+1.858%
Last 10 (10)115.4116.4231.8-1.050%
Last 5 (5)118.0121.0239.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)112.0124.0236.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)119.2115.1234.2+4.165%
vs Weaker (10)116.7106.4223.1+10.390%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -3.8-3.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -3.8-3.8
Charlotte HornetsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
43-69
43
69
-26
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H10/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A12/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H19/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H25/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A27/03
NBA
113.7Avg total
54.9Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.057.5113.5-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (20)52.955.7108.6-2.840%-
Last 30 away (10)62.161.1123.2+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)54.958.8113.7-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)54.056.2110.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)50.554.0104.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)55.558.6114.1-3.140%-
vs Weaker (4)66.857.2124.0+9.575%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
43-68
43
68
-25
H21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H25/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H27/03
NBA
118.9Avg total
61.6Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.957.3118.3+3.673%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.958.1120.0+3.780%-
Last 30 away (15)60.056.5116.5+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)61.657.3118.9+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)60.859.2120.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.061.7118.7-4.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)61.559.9121.4+1.665%-
vs Weaker (10)61.151.7112.8+9.490%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 118.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.228.4
56.6%
53.1%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.215.0
39.3%
35.3%45.0
🏀 Free throws21.316.3
76.5%
77.4%16.3
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.430.5
59.3%
53.1%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.8
35.8%
35.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws23.319.0
81.5%
77.4%19.0
They take 84.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Charlotte Hornets
WWLWWWWWLL
Denver Nuggets
WLWLLWWLLW
#15
League position
#11
+5.0
Net rating
-1.0
120.2
Offensive rating
116.7
115.2
Defensive rating
117.7
57.6%
Effective FG%
57.1%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
11.7%
Turnover %
14.2%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.3%
3-point %
35.8%
67.5%
Assist %
67.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence120.2 · 116.7Defence115.2 · 117.7Shooting57.6% · 57.1%3-point %39.3% · 35.8%Ball care11.7% · 14.2%Off. rebounds25.9% · 24.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Charlotte Hornets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22ABrooklyn Nets119-110
25/03/22HUtah Jazz107-101
23/03/22HNew York Knicks106-121
21/03/22HNew Orleans Pelicans106-103
19/03/22HDallas Mavericks129-108
16/03/22HAtlanta Hawks116-106
15/03/22AOklahoma City Thunder134-116
12/03/22ANew Orleans Pelicans142-120
10/03/22HBoston Celtics101-115
09/03/22HBrooklyn Nets121-132
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder113-107
25/03/22HPhoenix Suns130-140
23/03/22HLos Angeles Clippers127-115
21/03/22HBoston Celtics104-124
18/03/22ACleveland Cavaliers116-119 OT
16/03/22AWashington Wizards127-109
14/03/22APhiladelphia 76ers114-110
13/03/22HToronto Raptors115-127
11/03/22HGolden State Warriors102-113
10/03/22ASacramento Kings106-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW52%
HomeWWWLW53%
AwayLWWWW51%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753837
Win %52%53%51%
Points / game114.8112.9116.7
Allowed / game114.4112.4116.4
Point differential+0.4+0.5+0.3
Avg total229.2225.3233.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%24%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (18)54% (13)20% (5)
Overtime %9%11%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW59%
HomeLLWLW59%
AwayWWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753738
Win %59%59%58%
Points / game111.8113.9109.7
Allowed / game109.4110.8107.9
Point differential+2.5+3.1+1.8
Avg total221.2224.8217.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%30%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (18)80% (5)62% (13)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns75611481%115.3106.9+8.5
2 Memphis Grizzlies75522369%115.3109.3+6.0
3 Golden State Warriors75482764%111.0105.4+5.6
4 Boston Celtics75472863%110.7103.9+6.9
5 Miami Heat75472863%109.1105.2+3.9
6 Milwaukee Bucks74462862%114.9111.2+3.7
7 Philadelphia 76ers74462862%108.8106.6+2.2
8 Dallas Mavericks75462961%106.7104.1+2.6
9 Utah Jazz75453060%113.3107.6+5.7
10 Denver Nuggets75443159%111.8109.4+2.5
11 Chicago Bulls74433158%111.6111.2+0.4
12 Toronto Raptors74423257%109.1107.1+2.0
13 Minnesota Timberwolves76433357%115.4112.2+3.2
14 Cleveland Cavaliers74413355%107.2104.7+2.5
15 Charlotte Hornets75393652%114.8114.4+0.4
16 Brooklyn Nets75393652%112.2111.9+0.3
17 Atlanta Hawks74373750%112.9112.2+0.7
18 Los Angeles Clippers75363948%106.7108.3-1.7
19 New York Knicks75334244%106.3106.8-0.5
20 Washington Wizards74324243%108.3111.5-3.2
21 New Orleans Pelicans75324343%108.8109.8-1.0
22 Los Angeles Lakers74314342%111.6114.3-2.7
23 San Antonio Spurs74304441%112.9113.2-0.4
24 Portland Trail Blazers74274736%107.1114.6-7.5
25 Sacramento Kings75274836%110.5115.7-5.2
26 Indiana Pacers75255033%110.5113.6-3.1
27 Oklahoma City Thunder74215328%103.4110.9-7.6
28 Orlando Magic75205527%104.2111.9-7.8
29 Detroit Pistons75205527%104.3112.1-7.8
30 Houston Rockets75205527%109.0117.6-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Charlotte Hornets30272725109
Denver Nuggets32243720113
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