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Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 129-115
38-30 28-28 33-38 30-19
Position#9
Record36-19
FormWWWWW
Points / game121.5
Allowed / game115.9
vs
Position#28
Record14-39
FormWLLLW
Points / game106.1
Allowed / game111.5
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets
16 Jan 2027
DEN v CHA
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
DEN87
CHA110
20 Feb 2025
DEN129
CHA115
01 Jan 2024
DEN111
CHA93
18 Dec 2022
DEN119
CHA115
23 Dec 2021
DEN107
CHA115
17 Mar 2021
DEN129
CHA104
15 Jan 2020
DEN100
CHA86
05 Jan 2019
DEN123
CHA110
05 Feb 2018
DEN121
CHA104
04 Mar 2017
DEN102
CHA112
10 Jan 2016
DEN95
CHA92
31 Jan 2015
DEN86
CHA104
29 Jan 2014
DEN98
CHA101
22 Dec 2012
DEN110
CHA88
02 Mar 2011
DEN120
CHA80
25 Jan 2010
DEN104
CHA93
30 Jan 2009
DEN110
CHA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
121-129
121
129
-8
118avg 114
A28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
112-122
112
122
-10
107avg 114
A30/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
137-134
137
134
+3
146avg 114
A01/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
107-104
107
104
+3
103avg 114
A02/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
125-113
125
113
+12
120avg 114
H04/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
144-119
144
119
+25
150avg 114
H06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
112-90
112
90
+22
117avg 114
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
122-105
122
105
+17
123avg 114
A09/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
146-117
146
117
+29
155avg 114
H11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
132-121
132
121
+11
125avg 114
H13/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-32
33-29
28-34
25-34
27-31
27-29
32-33
26-29
38-36
35-33
30-31
34-34
27-20
27-26
36-35
17-23
33-23
35-27
25-35
32-28
36-36
32-32
45-27
31-24
25-26
34-24
33-17
20-23
37-32
26-23
35-26
24-24
38-27
32-28
42-37
34-25
40-27
35-29
32-35
25-30
241.2Avg total
125.8Scored
115.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)121.5115.9237.4+5.765%
Season at home (27)123.4115.4238.9+8.070%
Season away (28)119.7116.2235.9+3.461%
Last 10 (10)125.8115.4241.2+10.480%
Last 5 (5)131.2110.4241.6+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)120.5133.5254.0-13.00%
vs Similar (11)118.5112.1230.6+6.573%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)126.7114.7241.4+12.082%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
83-104
83
104
-21
72avg 97
H30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
104-112
104
112
-8
86avg 97
H01/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
104-107
104
107
-3
100avg 97
H02/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
114-124
114
124
-10
107avg 97
H04/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
102-112
102
112
-10
89avg 97
H06/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
117-116
117
116
+1
115avg 97
H08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
102-112
102
112
-10
95avg 97
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
89-97
89
97
-8
76avg 97
A11/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
86-102
86
102
-16
78avg 97
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
100-97
100
97
+3
87avg 97
A20/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
18-27
26-31
20-20
23-23
25-30
29-34
27-25
20-27
26-27
35-36
23-17
29-31
25-46
34-20
26-27
26-38
30-28
21-20
25-26
34-22
28-28
30-31
25-35
15-39
31-27
27-24
29-22
30-34
19-27
16-24
24-12
20-28
26-16
19-33
21-25
21-28
16-20
32-18
31-31
208.4Avg total
100.1Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)106.1111.5217.6-5.426%
Season at home (29)106.1109.7215.8-3.531%
Season away (24)106.1113.7219.8-7.621%
Last 10 (10)100.1108.3208.4-8.220%
Last 5 (5)98.8104.8203.6-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)105.3110.6215.9-5.229%
vs Similar (9)106.2110.4216.7-4.222%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
Denver NuggetsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A30/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A01/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A02/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H04/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
D
68-68
68
68
+0
H06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A09/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H13/02
NBA
122.2Avg total
65.2Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.259.2122.4+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)65.059.8124.8+5.269%-
Last 30 away (14)61.158.6119.7+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)65.257.0122.2+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)67.056.8123.8+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.068.5129.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (11)61.656.9118.5+4.764%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)64.459.6124.1+4.865%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H01/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H02/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
54-77
54
77
-23
H04/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H06/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A11/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/02
NBA
105.3Avg total
48.1Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.758.4110.1-6.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.555.8106.3-5.327%-
Last 30 away (15)52.960.9113.9-8.027%-
Last 10 (10)48.157.2105.3-9.120%-
Last 5 (5)48.053.8101.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)51.757.8109.5-6.033%-
vs Similar (9)51.759.8111.4-8.111%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 125.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers75.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.937.5
63.7%
54.3%75.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.4
35.7%
35.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws19.516.6
85.1%
77.8%16.6
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 100.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.625.4
46.5%
54.3%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.2
33.5%
35.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.415.7
80.9%
77.8%15.7
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWWWLL
Charlotte Hornets
WLLLWLLLLL
#9
League position
#28
+10.4
Net rating
-8.5
125.7
Offensive rating
103.2
115.3
Defensive rating
111.7
60.1%
Effective FG%
48.0%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
11.7%
Turnover %
13.0%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.7%
3-point %
33.5%
66.3%
Assist %
63.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence125.7 · 103.2Defence115.3 · 111.7Shooting60.1% · 48.0%3-point %35.7% · 33.5%Ball care11.7% · 13.0%Off. rebounds28.6% · 24.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers132-121
11/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers146-117
09/02/25APhoenix Suns122-105
07/02/25HOrlando Magic112-90
06/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans144-119
04/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans125-113
02/02/25ACharlotte Hornets107-104
01/02/25APhiladelphia 76ers137-134
30/01/25ANew York Knicks112-122
28/01/25AChicago Bulls121-129
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25ALos Angeles Lakers100-97
13/02/25AOrlando Magic86-102
11/02/25ABrooklyn Nets89-97
09/02/25ADetroit Pistons102-112
08/02/25HSan Antonio Spurs117-116
06/02/25HMilwaukee Bucks102-112
04/02/25HWashington Wizards114-124
02/02/25HDenver Nuggets104-107
01/02/25HLos Angeles Clippers104-112
30/01/25HBrooklyn Nets83-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayLLWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552728
Win %65%70%61%
Points / game121.5123.4119.7
Allowed / game115.9115.4116.2
Point differential+5.7+8.0+3.4
Avg total237.4238.9235.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%52%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)57% (7)67% (9)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW26%
HomeLLLLW31%
AwayLLLLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532924
Win %26%31%21%
Points / game106.1106.1106.1
Allowed / game111.5109.7113.7
Point differential-5.4-3.5-7.6
Avg total217.6215.8219.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (22)50% (12)50% (10)
Overtime %6%7%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers55451082%122.5111.7+10.8
2 Oklahoma City Thunder52421081%118.0105.1+12.9
3 Boston Celtics56401671%117.3108.1+9.3
4 New York Knicks54371769%118.7112.5+6.1
5 Memphis Grizzlies55361965%123.1116.0+7.1
6 Denver Nuggets55361965%121.5115.9+5.7
7 Houston Rockets53332062%113.5108.9+4.5
8 Los Angeles Lakers53322160%113.0112.2+0.7
9 Indiana Pacers54312357%116.2115.6+0.7
10 Los Angeles Clippers55312456%110.9108.2+2.8
11 Minnesota Timberwolves56312555%111.5108.1+3.4
12 Dallas Mavericks55302555%115.9113.4+2.5
13 Milwaukee Bucks52282454%114.4113.1+1.3
14 Detroit Pistons55292653%113.6113.1+0.5
15 Golden State Warriors54282652%112.3112.0+0.3
16 Sacramento Kings55282751%116.8116.0+0.8
17 Orlando Magic56282850%104.1105.3-1.2
18 Phoenix Suns54262848%113.2115.0-1.8
19 Miami Heat53252847%109.8110.7-0.9
20 Atlanta Hawks54252946%117.0119.6-2.6
21 San Antonio Spurs52232944%113.0114.4-1.5
22 Portland Trail Blazers55233242%109.2114.8-5.6
23 Chicago Bulls56223439%115.9120.6-4.6
24 Philadelphia 76ers55203536%109.0113.1-4.1
25 Brooklyn Nets55203536%104.9111.0-6.1
26 Toronto Raptors55173831%110.6116.5-5.9
27 Charlotte Hornets53143926%106.1111.5-5.4
28 Utah Jazz54134124%112.3119.4-7.1
29 New Orleans Pelicans55134224%110.6119.4-8.9
30 Washington Wizards5494517%108.6122.0-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets38283330129
Charlotte Hornets30283819115
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