PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 106-115
34-34 24-23 23-30 25-28
Position#14
Record7-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game118.4
vs
Position#6
Record16-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game125.5
Allowed / game116.8
USANBA· Spectrum Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Charlotte Hornets v Denver Nuggets
07 Jan 2027
CHA v DEN
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
CHA106
DEN115
01 Feb 2025
CHA104
DEN107
23 Dec 2023
CHA95
DEN102
11 Feb 2023
CHA105
DEN119
28 Mar 2022
CHA109
DEN113
11 May 2021
CHA112
DEN117
05 Mar 2020
CHA112
DEN114
07 Dec 2018
CHA113
DEN107
25 Oct 2017
CHA110
DEN93
31 Mar 2017
CHA122
DEN114
19 Mar 2016
CHA93
DEN101
22 Dec 2014
CHA110
DEN82
10 Mar 2014
CHA105
DEN98
23 Feb 2013
CHA99
DEN113
30 Mar 2012
CHA88
DEN99
07 Dec 2010
CHA100
DEN98
08 Dec 2009
CHA107
DEN95
11 Nov 2008
CHA80
DEN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
108-110
108
110
-2
97avg 100
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
118-127
118
127
-9
103avg 100
A20/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
116-131
116
131
-15
108avg 100
H22/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
110-113
110
113
-3
104avg 100
A23/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
101-129
101
129
-28
81avg 100
H27/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
123-116
123
116
+7
114avg 100
H29/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
118-111 OT
118
111
+7
104avg 100
H29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
103-116
103
116
-13
97avg 100
A02/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
104-119
104
119
-15
90avg 100
A04/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
111-86
111
86
+25
112avg 100
A06/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
28-29
31-28
25-25
33-38
21-32
30-34
34-23
30-38
27-24
25-34
34-35
25-28
30-25
33-39
22-21
31-37
16-35
28-26
26-31
32-29
35-33
26-32
30-22
21-34
31-24
28-29
24-17
27-26
32-33
23-29
21-28
12-27
35-26
28-37
29-29
18-24
35-18
25-28
33-16
227.0Avg total
111.2Scored
115.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)114.6118.4233.0-3.930%
Season at home (11)113.6116.5230.2-2.945%
Season away (12)115.4120.2235.6-4.817%
Last 10 (10)111.2115.8227.0-4.630%
Last 5 (5)111.8109.6221.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)99.5119.6219.1-20.10%
vs Similar ◀ (12)109.7119.6229.2-9.917%
vs Weaker (10)122.3118.0240.3+4.350%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
127-130
127
130
-3
117avg 116
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
125-118
125
118
+7
128avg 116
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
112-109
112
109
+3
111avg 116
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
123-128
123
128
-5
114avg 116
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
125-115
125
115
+10
124avg 116
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
136-139
136
139
-3
130avg 116
H29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
130-112
130
112
+18
139avg 116
A30/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
121-131
121
131
-10
119avg 116
H02/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
135-120
135
120
+15
129avg 116
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
134-133
134
133
+1
129avg 116
A06/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
36-33
29-40
34-27
26-30
36-28
35-25
28-35
25-12
21-37
34-29
32-31
35-30
30-31
27-30
31-37
27-23
35-31
31-31
32-30
33-41
41-18
30-44
32-36
30-25
33-35
33-25
34-27
41-27
27-42
36-33
17-29
33-28
39-20
30-31
33-41
23-41
31-32
40-30
40-30
250.3Avg total
126.8Scored
123.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)125.5116.8242.3+8.773%
Season at home (10)126.0116.7242.7+9.360%
Season away (12)125.1116.9242.0+8.283%
Last 10 (10)126.8123.5250.3+3.360%
Last 5 (5)131.2127.0258.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar ◀ (10)126.7115.9242.6+10.890%
vs Weaker (13)124.2116.3240.5+7.862%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
Charlotte HornetsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A20/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H22/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A23/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
47-72
47
72
-25
H27/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H29/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A02/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A04/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A06/12
NBA
113.1Avg total
54.3Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.060.0116.0-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.661.4119.0-3.736%-
Last 30 away (16)54.558.8113.3-4.319%-
Last 10 (10)54.358.8113.1-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)55.654.8110.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)48.259.4107.6-11.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)55.860.9116.7-5.225%-
vs Weaker (10)62.459.4121.8+3.050%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A30/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H02/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
72-48
72
48
+24
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
54-73
54
73
-19
A06/12
NBA
122.4Avg total
63.0Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.658.1117.8+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.455.6117.0+5.971%-
Last 30 away (16)58.160.4118.4-2.350%-
Last 10 (10)63.059.4122.4+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)66.261.8128.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)60.959.5120.4+1.450%-
vs Weaker (13)63.656.1119.7+7.592%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.726.7
54.8%
54.8%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.212.4
30.8%
35.8%37.2
🏀 Free throws24.720.6
83.4%
78.1%20.6
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 126.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.230.3
58.0%
54.8%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.515.5
43.7%
35.8%46.5
🏀 Free throws24.119.7
81.7%
78.1%19.7
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Charlotte Hornets
WLLWWLLLLL
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLWLWWL
#14
League position
#6
-4.5
Net rating
+3.3
109.0
Offensive rating
125.8
113.5
Defensive rating
122.5
51.0%
Effective FG%
61.1%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
14.0%
Turnover %
12.9%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.8%
3-point %
43.7%
60.1%
Assist %
64.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 125.8Defence113.5 · 122.5Shooting51.0% · 61.1%3-point %30.8% · 43.7%Ball care14.0% · 12.9%Off. rebounds26.2% · 27.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Charlotte Hornets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25AToronto Raptors111-86
04/12/25ANew York Knicks104-119
02/12/25ABrooklyn Nets103-116
29/11/25HToronto Raptors118-111 OT
29/11/25HChicago Bulls123-116
27/11/25HNew York Knicks101-129
23/11/25AAtlanta Hawks110-113
22/11/25HLos Angeles Clippers116-131
20/11/25AIndiana Pacers118-127
18/11/25AToronto Raptors108-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25AAtlanta Hawks134-133
04/12/25AIndiana Pacers135-120
02/12/25HDallas Mavericks121-131
30/11/25APhoenix Suns130-112
29/11/25HSan Antonio Spurs136-139
25/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies125-115
23/11/25HSacramento Kings123-128
22/11/25AHouston Rockets112-109
20/11/25ANew Orleans Pelicans125-118
18/11/25HChicago Bulls127-130

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW30%
HomeLLLWW45%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %30%45%17%
Points / game114.6113.6115.4
Allowed / game118.4116.5120.2
Point differential-3.9-2.9-4.8
Avg total233.0230.2235.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%27%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)-0% (4)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW73%
HomeWLLLL60%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %73%60%83%
Points / game125.5126.0125.1
Allowed / game116.8116.7116.9
Point differential+8.7+9.3+8.2
Avg total242.3242.7242.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2322196%122.7107.1+15.6
2 Detroit Pistons2419579%118.7113.2+5.5
3 Denver Nuggets2216673%125.5116.8+8.7
4 Los Angeles Lakers2216673%118.6116.5+2.1
5 Houston Rockets2115671%120.9110.3+10.6
6 New York Knicks2316770%120.7112.4+8.3
7 San Antonio Spurs2215768%118.9114.5+4.4
8 Minnesota Timberwolves2315865%120.3115.0+5.2
9 Boston Celtics2415962%117.2110.6+6.7
10 Toronto Raptors25151060%116.4113.8+2.6
11 Philadelphia 76ers2213959%117.3116.3+1.0
12 Orlando Magic24141058%117.8113.6+4.2
13 Miami Heat24141058%122.3118.2+4.0
14 Phoenix Suns23131057%116.2113.8+2.4
15 Cleveland Cavaliers25141156%118.6115.4+3.2
16 Atlanta Hawks25141156%118.0116.5+1.6
17 Golden State Warriors24121250%113.1112.6+0.5
18 Memphis Grizzlies23101343%113.3116.1-2.8
19 Chicago Bulls2291341%118.5122.5-4.0
20 Milwaukee Bucks25101540%115.1118.0-2.9
21 Portland Trail Blazers2391439%118.3120.7-2.4
22 Utah Jazz2281436%118.4125.6-7.2
23 Dallas Mavericks2591636%111.8116.1-4.3
24 Charlotte Hornets2371630%114.6118.4-3.9
25 Brooklyn Nets2361726%109.4117.2-7.8
26 Sacramento Kings2361726%111.7122.3-10.6
27 Los Angeles Clippers2461825%111.6116.8-5.2
28 Indiana Pacers2351822%111.0119.4-8.4
29 Washington Wizards2231914%112.4128.3-15.9
30 New Orleans Pelicans2432112%112.2123.2-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Charlotte Hornets34242325106
Denver Nuggets34233028115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.