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Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 111-93
24-18 25-31 40-17 22-27
Position#3
Record23-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game115.3
Allowed / game110.3
vs
Position#28
Record7-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game121.4
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets
16 Jan 2027
DEN v CHA
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
DEN87
CHA110
20 Feb 2025
DEN129
CHA115
01 Jan 2024
DEN111
CHA93
18 Dec 2022
DEN119
CHA115
23 Dec 2021
DEN107
CHA115
17 Mar 2021
DEN129
CHA104
15 Jan 2020
DEN100
CHA86
05 Jan 2019
DEN123
CHA110
05 Feb 2018
DEN121
CHA104
04 Mar 2017
DEN102
CHA112
10 Jan 2016
DEN95
CHA92
31 Jan 2015
DEN86
CHA104
29 Jan 2014
DEN98
CHA101
22 Dec 2012
DEN110
CHA88
02 Mar 2011
DEN120
CHA80
25 Jan 2010
DEN104
CHA93
30 Jan 2009
DEN110
CHA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
114-106
114
106
+8
110avg 110
A13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
124-101
124
101
+23
118avg 110
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
117-118
117
118
-1
111avg 110
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
130-104
130
104
+26
130avg 110
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
113-104
113
104
+9
106avg 110
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
122-117
122
117
+5
118avg 110
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
102-95
102
95
+7
95avg 110
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
120-114
120
114
+6
115avg 110
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
142-105
142
105
+37
153avg 110
H29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
93-119
93
119
-26
85avg 110
H30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-25
25-25
35-30
22-26
29-22
23-17
38-28
34-34
31-27
25-27
31-31
30-33
28-20
40-39
30-21
32-24
29-20
32-24
29-31
23-29
28-28
30-32
30-26
34-31
25-27
29-33
30-9
18-26
29-26
24-28
39-35
28-25
33-27
32-21
41-35
36-22
27-33
21-21
20-34
25-31
226.0Avg total
117.7Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)115.3110.3225.5+5.068%
Season at home (16)120.5110.8231.2+9.881%
Season away (18)110.6109.8220.4+0.856%
Last 10 (10)117.7108.3226.0+9.480%
Last 5 (5)115.8110.0225.8+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)112.3113.3225.6-1.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)120.8107.4228.2+13.4100%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#18
L
114-116
114
116
-2
106avg 102
H12/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
104-115
104
115
-11
100avg 102
A14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
107-112
107
112
-5
89avg 102
H16/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
82-135
82
135
-53
59avg 102
H17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
99-114
99
114
-15
83avg 102
A19/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
113-144
113
144
-31
98avg 102
A21/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
95-102
95
102
-7
85avg 102
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
104-113
104
113
-9
97avg 102
A27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
112-133
112
133
-21
106avg 102
A29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
119-133
119
133
-14
108avg 102
A30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
26-30
27-30
37-27
23-22
22-34
25-35
34-24
20-21
19-29
37-26
31-36
17-33
27-40
15-27
23-35
27-19
25-29
29-31
18-35
29-31
31-40
26-36
27-37
27-25
33-29
9-30
26-18
27-26
23-29
30-27
24-31
31-28
26-30
23-41
32-34
30-36
28-32
31-35
30-30
226.6Avg total
104.9Scored
121.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)110.6121.4232.0-10.923%
Season at home (15)109.1119.0228.1-9.927%
Season away (15)112.1123.9235.9-11.820%
Last 10 (10)104.9121.7226.6-16.80%
Last 5 (5)108.6125.0233.6-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)110.1122.5232.6-12.317%
vs Similar (6)112.3117.3229.7-5.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
Denver NuggetsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H30/12
NBA
109.4Avg total
57.2Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.656.4114.0+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.454.1113.4+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)56.058.4114.4-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)57.252.2109.4+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)55.655.2110.8+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)56.858.0114.8-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)59.153.1112.2+6.070%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#18
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H12/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H16/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
44-73
44
73
-29
H17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A19/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A21/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A30/12
NBA
110.7Avg total
51.5Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.358.7112.0-5.320%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.759.1110.8-7.513%-
Last 30 away (15)55.058.2113.2-3.227%-
Last 10 (10)51.559.2110.7-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)57.061.2118.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)53.559.2112.6-5.717%-
vs Similar (6)52.856.7109.5-3.833%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.631.0
53.8%
54.4%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.513.1
40.3%
36.3%39.3
🏀 Free throws20.616.4
79.6%
78.2%16.4
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 104.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.928.7
52.3%
54.4%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.3
33.5%
36.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.213.6
79.1%
78.2%13.6
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWWWLWW
Charlotte Hornets
LLLLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#28
+9.5
Net rating
-16.9
119.5
Offensive rating
105.8
110.0
Defensive rating
122.7
56.2%
Effective FG%
51.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
60.3%
10.6%
Turnover %
12.5%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
20.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.19
40.3%
3-point %
33.5%
67.8%
Assist %
61.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence119.5 · 105.8Defence110.0 · 122.7Shooting56.2% · 51.5%3-point %40.3% · 33.5%Ball care10.6% · 12.5%Off. rebounds26.7% · 20.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)80% · 0%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder93-119
29/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies142-105
25/12/23HGolden State Warriors120-114
24/12/23ACharlotte Hornets102-95
23/12/23ABrooklyn Nets122-117
21/12/23AToronto Raptors113-104
19/12/23HDallas Mavericks130-104
17/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder117-118
15/12/23HBrooklyn Nets124-101
13/12/23AChicago Bulls114-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23APhoenix Suns119-133
29/12/23ALos Angeles Lakers112-133
27/12/23ALos Angeles Clippers104-113
24/12/23HDenver Nuggets95-102
21/12/23AIndiana Pacers113-144
19/12/23AToronto Raptors99-114
17/12/23HPhiladelphia 76ers82-135
16/12/23HNew Orleans Pelicans107-112
14/12/23AMiami Heat104-115
12/12/23HMiami Heat114-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL68%
HomeLWWWL81%
AwayWWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %68%81%56%
Points / game115.3120.5110.6
Allowed / game110.3110.8109.8
Point differential+5.0+9.8+0.8
Avg total225.5231.2220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%56%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWLLLL27%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %23%27%20%
Points / game110.6109.1112.1
Allowed / game121.4119.0123.9
Point differential-10.9-9.9-11.8
Avg total232.0228.1235.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3126584%121.0109.9+11.2
2 Minnesota Timberwolves3224875%113.0107.5+5.5
3 Milwaukee Bucks3123874%124.1118.6+5.5
4 Oklahoma City Thunder3122971%121.3112.7+8.5
5 Philadelphia 76ers32221069%121.0110.9+10.1
6 Denver Nuggets34231168%115.3110.3+5.0
7 Sacramento Kings30191163%117.6116.4+1.1
8 Los Angeles Clippers31191261%116.6112.2+4.4
9 Orlando Magic32191359%112.8110.7+2.2
10 Miami Heat32191359%113.3111.7+1.6
11 New Orleans Pelicans31181358%116.5112.2+4.3
12 Dallas Mavericks33191458%119.2117.8+1.4
13 New York Knicks32181456%115.0112.7+2.4
14 Phoenix Suns31171455%115.8114.6+1.2
15 Cleveland Cavaliers33181555%112.3112.4-0.1
16 Indiana Pacers30161453%126.5125.0+1.5
17 Houston Rockets31161552%113.1109.8+3.2
18 Golden State Warriors32151747%116.8116.3+0.5
19 Los Angeles Lakers32151747%113.9115.9-2.0
20 Brooklyn Nets33151845%115.6116.4-0.8
21 Chicago Bulls34151944%109.9112.0-2.1
22 Utah Jazz33141942%113.4118.8-5.4
23 Atlanta Hawks32131941%122.2122.7-0.5
24 Toronto Raptors33132039%114.0115.2-1.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies32102231%106.8113.8-7.1
26 Portland Trail Blazers3192229%109.4115.2-5.8
27 Charlotte Hornets3072323%110.6121.4-10.9
28 Washington Wizards3262619%116.7126.2-9.5
29 San Antonio Spurs3252716%111.3123.3-12.0
30 Detroit Pistons333309%110.4121.7-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets24254022111
Charlotte Hornets1831172793
← all games of the day
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