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Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 100-109
23-23 39-24 23-41 15-21
Position#13
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game95.0
vs
Position#21
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Sprint Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves
21 Oct 2026
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15 Oct 2016
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16 Jul 2013
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MIN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Blue
#9
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H05/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Detroit Pistons
#2
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H07/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A08/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#19
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Washington Wizards
#8
W
106-95
106
95
+11
A04/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
24-16
19-14
17-12
8-17
12-20
21-22
17-12
18-15
19-23
18-27
17-21
15-19
18-17
18-21
13-26
19-19
20-25
27-21
26-16
15-16
23-17
24-13
18-25
20-19
23-17
14-25
24-16
23-23
14-23
16-14
21-17
20-21
17-22
16-20
13-11
35-22
26-22
25-26
20-25
156.0Avg total
77.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)106.095.0201.0+11.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)106.095.0201.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.778.3156.0-0.650%
Last 5 (5)81.478.8160.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.077.5156.5+1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (24)92.791.4184.1+1.246%
vs Weaker (4)82.566.0148.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#18
L
105-129
105
129
-24
H12/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
144-109
144
109
+35
H14/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Cleveland Cavaliers
#11
L
68-99
68
99
-31
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
San Antonio Spurs
#8
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H17/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
H19/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-38
26-30
27-35
31-26
40-23
32-27
34-29
38-30
26-15
20-24
24-28
12-21
13-19
22-14
30-24
15-25
14-20
20-24
9-29
25-26
28-19
19-17
24-21
9-14
22-19
20-18
17-19
30-29
20-15
14-27
23-23
24-14
19-23
24-25
24-18
26-17
13-18
29-14
16-27
19-18
181.3Avg total
90.4Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.490.9181.3-0.550%
Last 5 (5)85.080.4165.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)90.698.1188.6-7.529%
vs Similar ◀ (15)108.7106.3215.1+2.460%
vs Weaker (1)89.085.0174.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
Miami HeatMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Blue
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H05/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Detroit Pistons
#2
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H07/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A08/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#19
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Washington Wizards
#8
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A04/10
NBA
79.2Avg total
39.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.544.090.5+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.244.091.2+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)45.944.089.9+1.941%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.979.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.483.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.043.581.5-5.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)47.645.893.4+1.846%-
vs Weaker (4)44.233.577.8+10.8100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#18
L
47-68
47
68
-21
H12/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H14/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Cleveland Cavaliers
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
San Antonio Spurs
#8
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H17/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
87.1Avg total
44.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.649.398.9+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.250.499.6-1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)50.048.398.3+1.756%-
Last 10 (10)44.242.987.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.080.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)43.646.289.9-2.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)55.752.9108.7+2.853%-
vs Weaker (1)42.037.079.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.030.9
49.8%
50.2%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.86.6
35.1%
35.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.015.5
77.5%
77.0%15.5
They take 80.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 103.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.730.8
49.9%
50.2%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.47.4
36.3%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws25.219.3
76.6%
77.0%19.3
They take 82.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLLWWWLLLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWLLLWL
#13
League position
#21
+3.5
Net rating
-2.0
102.7
Offensive rating
105.1
99.2
Defensive rating
107.2
50.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.7%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.1%
3-point %
36.3%
42.7%
Assist %
65.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 105.1Defence99.2 · 107.2Shooting50.5% · 51.0%3-point %35.1% · 36.3%Ball care13.6% · 14.7%Off. rebounds22.1% · 23.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/16AWashington Wizards106-95
16/07/16HPhiladelphia 76ers66-74
14/07/16APhoenix Suns74-77
13/07/16HNew Orleans Pelicans81-77
12/07/16APhoenix Suns80-71
12/07/16ADenver Nuggets92-81
10/07/16HDallas Mavericks64-83
08/07/16AOklahoma City Thunder72-86
07/07/16HDetroit Pistons58-71
05/07/16HOrlando Blue84-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/16HChicago Bulls82-84 OT
17/07/16HPhoenix Suns93-83
16/07/16AToronto Raptors81-79
14/07/16AMemphis Grizzlies89-85
13/07/16ASan Antonio Spurs80-71
12/07/16HCleveland Cavaliers68-99
10/07/16AToronto Raptors80-82
09/07/16ADenver Nuggets82-88
14/04/16HNew Orleans Pelicans144-109
12/04/16HHouston Rockets105-129

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game106.0-106.0
Allowed / game95.0-95.0
Point differential+11.0-+11.0
Avg total201.0-201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets110100%130.0103.0+27.0
2 Atlanta Hawks110100%104.083.0+21.0
3 Miami Heat110100%106.095.0+11.0
4 Cleveland Cavaliers220100%112.5103.5+9.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers220100%106.599.5+7.0
6 Denver Nuggets220100%104.5101.5+3.0
7 Milwaukee Bucks110100%93.091.0+2.0
8 Golden State Warriors32167%106.089.3+16.7
9 Boston Celtics32167%100.090.0+10.0
10 Indiana Pacers32167%111.0108.3+2.7
11 Los Angeles Lakers21150%100.092.5+7.5
12 New Orleans Pelicans21150%106.0107.5-1.5
13 Utah Jazz21150%96.598.5-2.0
14 Washington Wizards21150%110.0112.5-2.5
15 Dallas Mavericks21150%98.5102.0-3.5
16 New York Knicks21150%109.5114.0-4.5
17 Brooklyn Nets21150%99.5105.0-5.5
18 Memphis Grizzlies21150%92.5100.5-8.0
19 Los Angeles Clippers21150%89.5109.0-19.5
20 Chicago Bulls31233%106.7104.3+2.3
21 Toronto Raptors31233%100.3101.7-1.3
22 Phoenix Suns31233%100.0101.7-1.7
23 Philadelphia 76ers31233%105.3107.3-2.0
24 San Antonio Spurs1010%86.091.0-5.0
25 Detroit Pistons1010%94.0101.0-7.0
26 Orlando Magic2020%99.5109.5-10.0
27 Charlotte Hornets3030%88.7102.0-13.3
28 Sacramento Kings2020%90.0104.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat23392315100
Minnesota Timberwolves23244121109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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