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Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 96-101
21-27 37-24 18-32 20-18
Position#13
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game108.8
Allowed / game101.0
vs
Position#21
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game95.3
USANBA· KFC Yum! Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves
21 Oct 2026
MIA106
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10 Oct 2026
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03 Jan 2026
MIA115
MIN125
07 Mar 2025
MIA104
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18 Dec 2023
MIA108
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26 Dec 2022
MIA113
MIN110
04 Oct 2022
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12 Mar 2022
MIA104
MIN113
07 May 2021
MIA121
MIN112
26 Feb 2020
MIA126
MIN129
30 Dec 2018
MIA104
MIN113
30 Oct 2017
MIA122
MIN125
17 Mar 2017
MIA123
MIN105
15 Oct 2016
MIA96
MIN101
08 Oct 2016
MIA100
MIN109
17 Nov 2015
MIA91
MIN103
08 Nov 2014
MIA102
MIN92
04 Apr 2014
MIA121
MIN122
16 Jul 2013
MIA71
MIN80
18 Dec 2012
MIA103
MIN92
02 Nov 2010
MIA129
MIN97
23 Feb 2010
MIA88
MIN91
18 Feb 2009
MIA104
MIN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#19
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Washington Wizards
#8
W
106-95
106
95
+11
A04/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
100-109
100
109
-9
H09/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
121-100
121
100
+21
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
108-100
108
100
+8
A15/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
18-17
18-21
13-26
19-19
20-25
27-21
26-16
15-16
23-17
24-13
18-25
20-19
23-17
14-25
24-16
23-23
14-23
16-14
21-17
20-21
17-22
16-20
13-11
35-22
26-22
25-26
20-25
23-23
39-24
23-41
15-21
27-26
28-33
38-17
28-24
30-24
25-24
33-20
20-32
175.9Avg total
89.2Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)108.8101.0209.8+7.875%
Season at home (2)110.5104.5215.0+6.050%
Season away (2)107.097.5204.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.286.7175.9+2.560%
Last 5 (5)100.295.6195.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.785.0173.7+3.767%
vs Similar ◀ (22)90.891.0181.8-0.241%
vs Weaker (5)90.272.8163.0+17.4100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Cleveland Cavaliers
#11
L
68-99
68
99
-31
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
San Antonio Spurs
#8
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H17/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
H19/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Miami Heat
#13
W
109-100
109
100
+9
A09/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
86-98
86
98
-12
A10/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
105-88
105
88
+17
H13/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
22-14
30-24
15-25
14-20
20-24
9-29
25-26
28-19
19-17
24-21
9-14
22-19
20-18
17-19
30-29
20-15
14-27
23-23
24-14
19-23
24-25
24-18
26-17
13-18
29-14
16-27
19-18
23-23
24-39
41-23
21-15
25-15
29-32
18-32
14-19
26-26
26-22
29-16
24-24
174.2Avg total
87.3Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)100.095.3195.3+4.767%
Season at home (1)105.088.0193.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)97.599.0196.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)87.386.9174.2+0.460%
Last 5 (5)95.090.6185.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)90.698.1188.6-7.529%
vs Similar ◀ (15)106.7102.9209.5+3.867%
vs Weaker (1)89.085.0174.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
Miami HeatMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#19
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Washington Wizards
#8
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A04/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H09/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A15/10
NBA
89.6Avg total
46.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.944.190.9+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.244.993.1+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)45.743.389.0+2.444%-
Last 10 (10)46.043.689.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)54.048.2102.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.745.088.7-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)47.445.292.6+2.245%-
vs Weaker (5)46.438.685.0+7.880%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Cleveland Cavaliers
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
San Antonio Spurs
#8
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H17/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Miami Heat
#13
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A09/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A10/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H13/10
NBA
85.9Avg total
43.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.848.797.5+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.649.497.0-1.838%-
Last 30 away (17)49.748.297.9+1.559%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.985.9+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.647.495.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)43.646.289.9-2.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.151.9105.9+2.260%-
vs Weaker (1)42.037.079.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 99.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.630.7
52.4%
50.2%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.2
32.7%
35.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.416.5
73.7%
77.0%16.5
They take 80.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 104.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.330.0
48.2%
50.2%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.28.1
38.2%
35.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws27.020.4
75.6%
77.0%20.4
They take 83.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLWLLWWWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWLWWWWLL
#13
League position
#21
+0.7
Net rating
+1.8
102.9
Offensive rating
104.9
102.2
Defensive rating
103.1
51.5%
Effective FG%
50.5%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.3%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.7%
3-point %
38.2%
47.2%
Assist %
64.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 104.9Defence102.2 · 103.1Shooting51.5% · 50.5%3-point %32.7% · 38.2%Ball care14.2% · 14.3%Off. rebounds20.5% · 23.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/16ASan Antonio Spurs108-100
11/10/16HBrooklyn Nets121-100
09/10/16HMinnesota Timberwolves100-109
04/10/16AWashington Wizards106-95
16/07/16HPhiladelphia 76ers66-74
14/07/16APhoenix Suns74-77
13/07/16HNew Orleans Pelicans81-77
12/07/16APhoenix Suns80-71
12/07/16ADenver Nuggets92-81
10/07/16HDallas Mavericks64-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/16HDenver Nuggets105-88
10/10/16ACharlotte Hornets86-98
09/10/16AMiami Heat109-100
19/07/16HChicago Bulls82-84 OT
17/07/16HPhoenix Suns93-83
16/07/16AToronto Raptors81-79
14/07/16AMemphis Grizzlies89-85
13/07/16ASan Antonio Spurs80-71
12/07/16HCleveland Cavaliers68-99
10/07/16AToronto Raptors80-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game108.8110.5107.0
Allowed / game101.0104.597.5
Point differential+7.8+6.0+9.5
Avg total209.8215.0204.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game100.0105.097.5
Allowed / game95.388.099.0
Point differential+4.7+17.0-1.5
Avg total195.3193.0196.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets330100%123.0108.0+15.0
2 Golden State Warriors43175%111.899.0+12.8
3 Boston Celtics43175%100.091.8+8.2
4 Miami Heat43175%108.8101.0+7.8
5 Memphis Grizzlies43175%104.096.5+7.5
6 Portland Trail Blazers43175%107.5103.5+4.0
7 Minnesota Timberwolves32167%100.095.3+4.7
8 Milwaukee Bucks32167%88.088.7-0.7
9 New York Knicks32167%103.0105.3-2.3
10 Indiana Pacers53260%108.0104.4+3.6
11 San Antonio Spurs53260%93.892.0+1.8
12 Phoenix Suns53260%104.6104.4+0.2
13 Toronto Raptors42250%105.099.8+5.2
14 Chicago Bulls42250%109.5105.2+4.2
15 Detroit Pistons42250%92.889.2+3.5
16 Atlanta Hawks42250%97.094.2+2.8
17 Utah Jazz42250%99.8100.5-0.8
18 Sacramento Kings42250%105.0107.8-2.8
19 Los Angeles Clippers42250%95.5105.5-10.0
20 Los Angeles Lakers52340%106.8105.0+1.8
21 Washington Wizards52340%105.4103.6+1.8
22 Dallas Mavericks52340%98.4102.6-4.2
23 Denver Nuggets52340%108.0112.2-4.2
24 Cleveland Cavaliers52340%104.0108.6-4.6
25 Orlando Magic41325%100.5105.0-4.5
26 New Orleans Pelicans41325%108.2113.5-5.2
27 Charlotte Hornets41325%91.098.0-7.0
28 Brooklyn Nets41325%99.0107.8-8.8
29 Philadelphia 76ers61517%93.7106.7-13.0
30 Oklahoma City Thunder2020%101.5112.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2137182096
Minnesota Timberwolves27243218101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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