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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 107-77
27-19 29-27 20-16 31-15
Position#13
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#26
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
18 Oct 2016
MIA107
ORL77
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
88-90
88
90
-2
80avg 92
H28/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
86avg 92
A30/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
106-73
106
73
+33
105avg 92
H01/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
87avg 92
A04/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
83avg 92
A06/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
91-95
91
95
-4
76avg 92
H07/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
81avg 92
H10/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
91-99
91
99
-8
78avg 92
A12/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
103-91
103
91
+12
90avg 92
H14/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
89-116
89
116
-27
76avg 92
A15/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
22-21
24-16
17-25
27-24
32-26
16-20
22-20
29-18
25-24
29-11
23-20
18-18
23-25
27-20
22-27
19-29
22-19
24-15
21-23
19-23
21-26
28-19
23-27
25-21
19-14
16-27
23-21
18-28
27-27
17-20
29-24
21-20
32-24
29-28
21-19
24-25
23-28
31-33
11-30
188.6Avg total
95.3Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)95.393.3188.6+2.050%
Last 5 (5)93.697.6191.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.0106.5211.5-1.550%
vs Similar (23)99.696.3195.8+3.352%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)111.8105.0216.8+6.880%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
111-89
111
89
+22
114avg 93
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
139-105
139
105
+34
141avg 93
H29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
114-94
114
94
+20
108avg 93
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
110-113
110
113
-3
110avg 93
A02/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
119-107
119
107
+12
111avg 93
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
104-108
104
108
-4
98avg 93
H06/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
112-109
112
109
+3
104avg 93
H08/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
96-118
96
118
-22
81avg 93
A10/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
107-98
107
98
+9
98avg 93
H11/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
103-117
103
117
-14
88avg 93
A14/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-22
32-28
21-21
22-18
32-23
41-22
30-28
36-32
33-28
24-23
32-28
25-15
22-31
35-27
28-26
25-29
29-30
38-26
30-29
22-22
21-25
30-19
26-29
27-35
19-27
34-28
26-25
33-29
28-31
21-25
20-33
27-29
32-22
26-22
27-29
22-25
22-38
28-28
29-20
24-31
217.3Avg total
111.5Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)111.5105.8217.3+5.760%
Last 5 (5)104.4110.0214.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)105.2114.0219.2-8.80%
vs Similar (20)104.9107.2212.1-2.345%
vs Weaker (5)115.0109.0224.0+6.060%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H28/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A30/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H01/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A04/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A06/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H07/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A12/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H14/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A15/05
NBA
93.9Avg total
47.1Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.148.7100.8+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.648.6103.2+6.067%-
Last 30 away (15)49.748.798.4+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)47.146.893.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.847.293.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.050.0106.0+6.050%-
vs Similar (23)50.348.698.9+1.843%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)58.848.6107.4+10.2100%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
73-45
73
45
+28
H29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A02/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H06/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H08/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A10/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H11/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A14/04
NBA
110.8Avg total
58.3Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.855.0110.7+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.951.4111.2+8.571%-
Last 30 away (16)52.258.1110.3-5.938%-
Last 10 (10)58.352.5110.8+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)52.253.0105.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)53.458.0111.4-4.640%-
vs Similar (20)54.454.9109.3-0.550%-
vs Weaker (5)63.652.2115.8+11.480%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.830.6
48.7%
50.2%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.36.0
32.8%
35.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.416.1
78.9%
77.0%16.1
They take 81.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers74.4 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.037.2
55.5%
50.2%74.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.5
36.4%
35.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.214.6
72.3%
77.0%14.6
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLWLLWWWL
Orlando Magic
LWLWLWLWWW
#13
League position
#26
+2.1
Net rating
+5.7
100.7
Offensive rating
111.8
98.6
Defensive rating
106.1
48.8%
Effective FG%
55.3%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
13.4%
Turnover %
12.6%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.8%
3-point %
36.4%
41.0%
Assist %
61.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 111.8Defence98.6 · 106.1Shooting48.8% · 55.3%3-point %32.8% · 36.4%Ball care13.4% · 12.6%Off. rebounds22.0% · 21.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Miami Heat wins
2
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/16AToronto Raptors89-116
14/05/16HToronto Raptors103-91
12/05/16AToronto Raptors91-99
10/05/16HToronto Raptors94-87 OT
07/05/16HToronto Raptors91-95
06/05/16AToronto Raptors92-96 OT
04/05/16AToronto Raptors102-96 OT
01/05/16HCharlotte Hornets106-73
30/04/16ACharlotte Hornets97-90
28/04/16HCharlotte Hornets88-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/16ACharlotte Hornets103-117
11/04/16HMilwaukee Bucks107-98
10/04/16AMiami Heat96-118
08/04/16HMiami Heat112-109
06/04/16HDetroit Pistons104-108
03/04/16HMemphis Grizzlies119-107
02/04/16AMilwaukee Bucks110-113
31/03/16AIndiana Pacers114-94
29/03/16HBrooklyn Nets139-105
26/03/16HChicago Bulls111-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Orlando Magic
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat27292031107
Orlando Magic1927161577
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