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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 95-106
22-35 22-26 26-25 25-20
Position#8
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#13
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Verizon Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
05 Oct 2018
WAS121
MIA114
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
10 Jul 2017
WAS87
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
04 Oct 2016
WAS95
MIA106
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
17 Jul 2014
WAS78
MIA67
15 Jul 2014
WAS85
MIA83
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
15 Oct 2013
WAS100
MIA82
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
121-103
121
103
+18
H06/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
99-112
99
112
-13
A08/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
113-98
113
98
+15
H10/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
120-111
120
111
+9
A11/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
109-98
109
98
+11
H14/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#15
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#3
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#3
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
85-88
85
88
-3
H17/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
24-29
34-23
33-28
25-39
30-23
29-24
15-26
28-27
27-21
31-26
27-24
34-28
36-41
30-29
20-13
33-33
24-26
27-17
25-22
19-19
21-16
29-14
19-24
18-29
23-20
24-17
15-22
21-20
18-24
21-22
27-19
15-14
10-23
20-11
26-12
23-25
15-18
24-28
23-17
188.9Avg total
97.3Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)97.391.6188.9+5.770%
Last 5 (5)82.278.8161.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)96.7103.0199.7-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (20)102.8101.5204.2+1.345%
vs Weaker (7)107.396.6203.9+10.7100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#8
W
74-48
74
48
+26
A03/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Orlando Blue
#9
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H05/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Detroit Pistons
#2
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H07/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A08/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#19
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-9
21-12
23-9
13-18
24-26
24-16
19-14
17-12
8-17
12-20
21-22
17-12
18-15
19-23
18-27
17-21
15-19
18-17
18-21
13-26
19-19
20-25
27-21
26-16
15-16
23-17
24-13
18-25
20-19
23-17
14-25
24-16
23-23
14-23
16-14
21-17
20-21
17-22
16-20
13-11
148.1Avg total
74.5Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.573.6148.1+0.950%
Last 5 (5)78.676.0154.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.077.5156.5+1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (24)92.791.5184.2+1.146%
vs Weaker (4)82.566.0148.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H06/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A08/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H10/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A11/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H14/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#15
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Brooklyn Nets
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#3
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H17/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
97.2Avg total
47.4Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.351.7104.0+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.950.3103.2+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)51.853.0104.8-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)47.449.897.2-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.678.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)50.354.0104.3-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)51.852.5104.3-0.840%-
vs Weaker (7)54.648.4103.0+6.186%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#8
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A03/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Orlando Blue
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H05/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Detroit Pistons
#2
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H07/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A08/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#19
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
74.6Avg total
37.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.844.189.9+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.744.190.9+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)45.044.089.0+1.038%-
Last 10 (10)37.037.674.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.479.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.043.581.5-5.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)46.745.992.6+0.842%-
vs Weaker (4)44.233.577.8+10.8100%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 108.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.133.2
53.5%
50.2%66.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.3
34.0%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.717.0
68.8%
77.0%17.0
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.830.6
48.7%
50.2%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.36.0
32.8%
35.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.416.1
78.9%
77.0%16.1
They take 81.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LWWLWWWWLW
Miami Heat
LLWWWLLLWW
#8
League position
#13
+3.7
Net rating
+2.1
105.7
Offensive rating
100.7
102.0
Defensive rating
98.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
48.8%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
14.6%
Turnover %
13.4%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.0%
3-point %
32.8%
64.1%
Assist %
41.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 100.7Defence102.0 · 98.6Shooting52.8% · 48.8%3-point %34.0% · 32.8%Ball care14.6% · 13.4%Off. rebounds22.0% · 22.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Washington Wizards wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/07/16HChicago Bulls85-88
14/07/16HAtlanta Hawks71-60
12/07/16ABrooklyn Nets87-85
10/07/16HAtlanta Hawks80-88
09/07/16AUtah Jazz88-73
14/04/16HAtlanta Hawks109-98
11/04/16ABrooklyn Nets120-111
10/04/16HCharlotte Hornets113-98
08/04/16ADetroit Pistons99-112
06/04/16HBrooklyn Nets121-103
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/07/16HPhiladelphia 76ers66-74
14/07/16APhoenix Suns74-77
13/07/16HNew Orleans Pelicans81-77
12/07/16APhoenix Suns80-71
12/07/16ADenver Nuggets92-81
10/07/16HDallas Mavericks64-83
08/07/16AOklahoma City Thunder72-86
07/07/16HDetroit Pistons58-71
05/07/16HOrlando Blue84-68
03/07/16ANew York Knicks74-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Orleans Pelicans110100%116.0102.0+14.0
2 Portland Trail Blazers110100%98.089.0+9.0
3 Memphis Grizzlies110100%102.097.0+5.0
4 Phoenix Suns110100%91.086.0+5.0
5 Denver Nuggets110100%108.0106.0+2.0
6 Milwaukee Bucks110100%93.091.0+2.0
7 Toronto Raptors21150%101.5100.5+1.0
8 Dallas Mavericks21150%98.5102.0-3.5
9 Chicago Bulls1010%91.093.0-2.0
10 Golden State Warriors1010%93.097.0-4.0
11 Orlando Magic1010%97.0102.0-5.0
12 San Antonio Spurs1010%86.091.0-5.0
13 Charlotte Hornets1010%88.095.0-7.0
14 Utah Jazz1010%89.098.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards2222262595
Miami Heat35262520106
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