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Chemnitz vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 109-85
35-16 27-25 18-29 29-15
Position#2
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#7
Record5-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game88.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1· Messe Chemnitz
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
69avg 80
H28/10
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
77-66
77
66
+11
68avg 80
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#4
W
70-68
70
68
+2
64avg 80
A04/11
BBL
Peja
#34
W
99-63
99
63
+36
102avg 80
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
106-68
106
68
+38
104avg 80
A12/11
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
97-75
97
75
+22
96avg 80
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#15
W
85-75
85
75
+10
76avg 80
H17/11
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
88-61
88
61
+27
94avg 80
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 80
H24/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
79-58
79
58
+21
73avg 80
A03/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-12
19-21
23-15
20-17
17-24
17-10
21-16
22-16
16-20
16-19
12-12
26-17
23-12
28-13
30-22
18-16
23-19
30-17
26-19
27-13
19-19
22-17
34-14
22-25
22-22
20-12
25-21
18-20
20-11
31-18
16-17
21-15
26-18
19-22
27-21
24-26
20-14
18-12
19-19
22-13
155.7Avg total
87.1Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.567.2157.7+23.3100%
Season at home (3)94.369.3163.7+25.0100%
Season away (3)86.765.0151.7+21.7100%
Last 10 (10)87.168.6155.7+18.5100%
Last 5 (5)89.071.2160.2+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.288.0165.2-10.820%
vs Similar (5)83.081.8164.8+1.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.471.0158.4+16.495%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
78avg 83
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
109-83
109
83
+26
110avg 83
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 83
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
97-90
97
90
+7
93avg 83
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
L
96-97
96
97
-1
96avg 83
A11/11
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
109avg 83
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Scafati
#14
W
94-93
94
93
+1
92avg 83
H19/11
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 83
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
73-116
73
116
-43
55avg 83
A26/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
68-75
68
75
-7
59avg 83
H03/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-35
29-23
10-21
26-23
37-16
34-17
17-31
21-19
28-17
24-23
19-22
19-17
28-22
21-20
21-19
27-29
18-22
27-19
21-22
30-34
15-23
26-23
26-24
24-21
20-25
29-30
25-17
20-21
16-16
32-21
21-14
25-30
11-33
22-31
15-27
25-25
16-18
16-12
22-26
14-19
183.8Avg total
91.8Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.288.2185.3+9.083%
Season at home (3)95.088.0183.0+7.067%
Season away (3)99.388.3187.7+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.892.0183.8-0.260%
Last 5 (5)87.693.8181.4-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)81.8107.8189.5-26.00%
vs Similar (15)86.188.5174.7-2.440%
vs Weaker (9)98.288.3186.6+9.9100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
ChemnitzVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/10
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/11
BBL
Peja
#34
W
51-25
51
25
+26
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A12/11
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/11
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H24/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A03/12
BBL
75.0Avg total
41.8Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.781.2+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.939.483.3+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.138.079.1+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.833.275.0+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.433.076.4+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.445.887.2-4.420%-
vs Similar (5)43.643.286.8+0.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.535.878.3+6.870%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
71-33
71
33
+38
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A11/11
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Scafati
#14
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H19/11
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
33-64
33
64
-31
A26/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/12
Lega A
91.8Avg total
47.2Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.746.290.9-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.144.991.9+2.250%-
Last 30 away (16)42.647.490.1-4.819%-
Last 10 (10)47.244.691.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.646.487.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.855.896.5-15.00%-
vs Similar (15)42.844.987.7-2.133%-
vs Weaker (9)51.845.297.0+6.656%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.8
54.3%
52.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.6
39.7%
33.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.313.2
76.3%
73.0%13.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.516.6
56.3%
52.2%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.713.7
38.4%
33.8%41.1
🏀 Free throws22.216.7
75.2%
73.0%16.7
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWWWWWWWWW
Varese
LLWWWLWWWL
#2
League position
#7
+24.5
Net rating
-0.2
115.3
Offensive rating
110.0
90.8
Defensive rating
110.2
56.5%
Effective FG%
57.0%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
19.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.7%
3-point %
38.4%
64.0%
Assist %
65.7%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 110.0Defence90.8 · 110.2Shooting56.5% · 57.0%3-point %39.7% · 38.4%Ball care18.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds32.6% · 19.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chemnitz wins
0
Varese wins
No previous meetings.
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23AOldenburg79-58
24/11/23HHamburg96-87
22/11/23HDen Bosch88-61
17/11/23HRostock85-75
15/11/23HSpojnia Stargard97-75
12/11/23ATubingen106-68
08/11/23APeja99-63
04/11/23AWurzburg70-68
01/11/23ADen Bosch77-66
28/10/23HSyntainics MBC74-65
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HCremona68-75
26/11/23ABrescia73-116
22/11/23ATSU94-81
19/11/23HScafati94-93
15/11/23AGottingen109-104 OT
11/11/23ABasket Napoli96-97
08/11/23HKeravnos97-90
05/11/23HSassari90-79
02/11/23HTSU109-83
29/10/23AVenezia88-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.594.386.7
Allowed / game67.269.365.0
Point differential+23.3+25.0+21.7
Avg total157.7163.7151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game97.295.099.3
Allowed / game88.288.088.3
Point differential+9.0+7.0+11.0
Avg total185.3183.0187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz660100%90.567.2+23.3
2 Bilbao660100%84.266.5+17.7
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%92.479.1+13.3
5 Basket Zaragoza76186%84.077.3+6.7
6 Gottingen65183%93.282.3+10.8
7 Varese65183%97.288.2+9.0
8 Leiden54180%61.454.6+6.8
9 Manisa97278%80.374.6+5.8
10 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
11 Nymburk75271%89.479.1+10.3
12 Legia75271%84.079.9+4.1
13 CSM Oradea64267%89.581.2+8.3
14 FC Porto96367%84.377.2+7.1
15 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque53260%74.463.0+11.4
17 Sporting CP53260%87.283.8+3.4
18 Balkan53260%77.881.0-3.2
19 Jonava74357%89.085.0+4.0
20 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
21 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
22 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
23 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
24 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
25 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
26 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
27 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
28 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
29 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
30 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
31 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
32 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
33 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
34 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
35 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz35271829109
Varese1625291585
← all games of the day
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