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Treviso vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 95-97
21-28 30-20 22-24 22-25
Position#13
Record10-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record13-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game91.5
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Treviso v Varese
14 Feb 2027
TRV v VAR
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
TRV86
VAR83
23 Mar 2025
TRV88
VAR86
06 Jan 2024
TRV96
VAR101
02 Apr 2023
TRV95
VAR97
31 Oct 2021
TRV96
VAR78
18 Apr 2021
TRV94
VAR103
05 Jan 2020
TRV79
VAR84
25 Apr 2012
TRV55
VAR71
06 Nov 2010
TRV67
VAR72
21 Nov 2009
TRV86
VAR94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
72-101
72
101
-29
no box
A08/01
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
69-88
69
88
-19
59avg 72
H14/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
81-80
81
80
+1
77avg 72
A22/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
79-87
79
87
-8
70avg 72
H29/01
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
97-81
97
81
+16
90avg 72
A04/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
77avg 72
H11/02
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 72
A05/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H12/03
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
89-88
89
88
+1
83avg 72
H19/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
84-107
84
107
-23
76avg 72
A26/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
13-20
14-32
18-28
19-25
15-16
17-20
18-27
18-23
18-16
24-23
21-18
22-25
17-18
17-28
23-16
20-18
21-16
24-25
32-22
19-17
23-14
21-27
22-24
13-20
27-37
22-20
24-20
18-15
19-14
21-23
27-24
24-17
14-19
24-14
27-38
21-22
16-30
20-29
27-26
171.4Avg total
82.7Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.785.8166.6-5.143%
Season at home (12)81.282.9164.2-1.758%
Season away (11)80.289.0169.2-8.827%
Last 10 (10)82.788.7171.4-6.050%
Last 5 (5)85.890.0175.8-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)79.786.0165.7-6.445%
vs Similar (10)83.686.6170.2-3.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
W
106-79
106
79
+27
109avg 81
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
80-90
80
90
-10
68avg 81
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 81
H28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
91-103
91
103
-12
84avg 81
A05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 81
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
101-93
101
93
+8
92avg 81
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
110-99
110
99
+11
108avg 81
H11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
73-102
73
102
-29
68avg 81
A18/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
98-94
98
94
+4
97avg 81
H26/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
22-20
27-20
33-19
16-28
25-23
19-23
20-16
15-16
29-22
27-17
9-17
23-20
31-34
20-31
17-18
22-21
23-24
18-23
12-19
12-29
23-15
29-23
16-17
28-29
28-33
25-16
20-15
34-23
28-36
26-21
22-19
21-27
21-24
4-32
27-19
15-27
28-22
30-27
25-18
179.7Avg total
89.4Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)91.991.5183.4+0.457%
Season at home (12)93.289.8183.0+3.567%
Season away (11)90.593.5183.9-3.045%
Last 10 (10)89.490.3179.7-0.950%
Last 5 (5)92.494.4186.8-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)87.5101.2188.7-13.70%
vs Similar (15)87.889.7177.5-1.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)99.692.6192.2+7.088%
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
TrevisoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A08/01
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H14/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H29/01
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A04/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H11/02
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A05/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H12/03
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H19/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A26/03
Lega A
78.7Avg total
38.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.979.6-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.139.777.8-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)39.442.081.4-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.378.7-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.079.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.440.978.2-3.530%-
vs Similar (10)41.540.982.4+0.650%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A18/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/03
Lega A
96.1Avg total
46.8Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.347.293.4-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.645.190.7+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)47.049.696.6-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)46.849.396.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)47.653.0100.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.551.394.8-7.817%-
vs Similar (15)46.344.190.3+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)49.850.2100.0-0.550%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.5
56.3%
51.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.6
29.9%
36.4%19.8
🏀 Free throws24.519.0
77.6%
76.1%19.0
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.7
54.3%
51.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.6
37.5%
36.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws22.516.6
73.8%
76.1%16.6
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
LWWLWWLWLL
Varese
WLWWLLLWLW
#13
League position
#4
-10.4
Net rating
+0.9
110.2
Offensive rating
113.7
120.6
Defensive rating
112.9
52.1%
Effective FG%
55.2%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.9%
3-point %
37.5%
48.0%
Assist %
63.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 113.7Defence120.6 · 112.9Shooting52.1% · 55.2%3-point %29.9% · 37.5%Ball care18.1% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.0% · 28.5%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Treviso   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Treviso wins
7
Varese wins
DateGameScore
30/10/22Varese v Treviso87-85
10/04/22Varese v Treviso80-89
31/10/21Treviso v Varese96-78
18/04/21Treviso v Varese94-103
27/12/20Varese v Treviso79-80
05/01/20Treviso v Varese79-84
25/04/12Treviso v Varese55-71
03/01/12Varese v Treviso96-80
19/02/11Varese v Treviso74-68
06/11/10Treviso v Varese67-72
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23ABrindisi84-107
19/03/23HScafati89-88
12/03/23HTrento85-76
05/03/23ATrieste86-97
11/02/23HBasket Napoli85-82
04/02/23AVerona97-81
29/01/23HTortona79-87
22/01/23ABrescia81-80
14/01/23HTrieste69-88
08/01/23APesaro72-101
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23HVerona98-94
18/03/23ASassari73-102
11/03/23HPesaro110-99
05/03/23ABasket Napoli101-93
15/02/23APesaro80-84
12/02/23HOlimpia Milano75-87
05/02/23ATortona91-103
28/01/23HBrescia80-72
22/01/23ATrento80-90
15/01/23HBasket Napoli106-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL43%
HomeLLWWW58%
AwayLWWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%58%27%
Points / game80.781.280.2
Allowed / game85.882.989.0
Point differential-5.1-1.7-8.8
Avg total166.6164.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %57%67%45%
Points / game91.993.290.5
Allowed / game91.589.893.5
Point differential+0.4+3.5-3.0
Avg total183.4183.0183.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2419579%83.876.8+6.9
2 Olimpia Milano2417771%81.773.5+8.2
3 Tortona2417771%81.477.0+4.4
4 Sassari24141058%86.080.5+5.5
5 Varese23131057%91.991.5+0.4
6 Brindisi24131154%83.282.5+0.8
7 Venezia24121250%81.979.9+2.0
8 Pesaro24121250%84.986.2-1.4
9 Trento24121250%75.577.1-1.6
10 Treviso23101343%80.785.8-5.1
11 Brescia24101442%82.781.7+1.0
12 Trieste24101442%78.382.7-4.4
13 Scafati2481633%77.879.5-1.7
14 Reggiana2481633%75.277.0-1.7
15 Basket Napoli2481633%77.384.0-6.7
16 Verona2481633%79.486.3-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviso2130222295
Varese2820242597
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