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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 117-126
31-37 31-36 35-30 20-23
Position#6
Record36-25
FormLWLWL
Points / game109.9
Allowed / game109.8
vs
Position#12
Record34-28
FormWWLLW
Points / game108.4
Allowed / game107.4
USANBA· Quicken Loans Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Cleveland Cavaliers v Denver Nuggets
09 Jan 2027
CLE v DEN
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
CLE113
DEN108
05 Dec 2024
CLE126
DEN114
19 Nov 2023
CLE121
DEN109
23 Feb 2023
CLE109
DEN115
18 Mar 2022
CLE119
DEN116
19 Feb 2021
CLE103
DEN120
07 Mar 2020
CLE104
DEN102
01 Nov 2018
CLE91
DEN110
03 Mar 2018
CLE117
DEN126
11 Feb 2017
CLE125
DEN109
21 Mar 2016
CLE124
DEN91
17 Nov 2014
CLE97
DEN106
04 Dec 2013
CLE98
DEN88
09 Feb 2013
CLE103
DEN111
28 Jan 2011
CLE103
DEN117
18 Feb 2010
CLE116
DEN118
13 Nov 2008
CLE110
DEN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
L
98-116
98
116
-18
82avg 103
A07/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
140-138 OT
140
138
+2
140avg 103
H08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
123-107
123
107
+16
121avg 103
A10/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
121-99
121
99
+22
114avg 103
A11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
120-112
120
112
+8
110avg 103
A14/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
103-110
103
110
-7
90avg 103
H23/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
112-89
112
89
+23
108avg 103
A24/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
94-110
94
110
-16
80avg 103
H25/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
129-123
129
123
+6
121avg 103
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
97-108
97
108
-11
86avg 103
H02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
43-31
24-20
22-41
9-24
31-29
33-37
37-33
28-30
31-27
30-29
36-26
26-25
31-32
33-20
31-22
26-25
29-28
33-29
29-30
29-25
31-22
23-35
25-25
24-28
20-27
34-22
31-22
27-18
20-25
33-25
21-26
20-34
25-29
35-32
34-30
35-32
29-32
27-27
15-18
26-31
224.9Avg total
113.7Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)109.9109.8219.7+0.159%
Season at home (31)110.7111.2221.9-0.568%
Season away (30)109.1108.4217.5+0.850%
Last 10 (10)113.7111.2224.9+2.560%
Last 5 (5)107.0108.0215.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)96.8115.6212.4-18.80%
vs Similar ◀ (17)110.1112.7222.8-2.641%
vs Weaker (8)113.4110.8224.1+2.675%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
115-108
115
108
+7
109avg 103
H04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
121-104
121
104
+17
123avg 103
H06/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
104-130
104
130
-26
95avg 103
A10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
123-113
123
113
+10
111avg 103
A11/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
117-109
117
109
+8
107avg 103
H14/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
134-123
134
123
+11
135avg 103
A16/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
122-119
122
119
+3
120avg 103
H24/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 103
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
120-122
120
122
-2
113avg 103
H28/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
108-102
108
102
+6
102avg 103
A03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-32
26-24
22-27
38-25
36-25
27-37
34-22
24-20
23-35
23-28
24-34
34-33
28-23
34-37
32-29
29-24
30-32
28-29
29-29
30-19
35-28
39-34
33-26
27-35
32-30
31-31
33-28
26-30
25-38
27-28
27-26
35-27
33-24
25-28
30-29
32-41
35-29
28-25
28-26
17-22
232.7Avg total
117.8Scored
114.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)108.4107.4215.8+1.055%
Season at home (33)111.2105.4216.6+5.873%
Season away (29)105.2109.7214.8-4.534%
Last 10 (10)117.8114.9232.7+2.970%
Last 5 (5)119.6117.0236.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)108.6112.4221.0-3.840%
vs Similar ◀ (15)111.7109.9221.7+1.853%
vs Weaker (10)107.3103.7211.0+3.670%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
Cleveland CavaliersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
67-51
67
51
+16
A07/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A10/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A14/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A24/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H25/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H02/03
NBA
115.3Avg total
59.5Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.657.7114.2-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.658.6116.3-1.036%-
Last 30 away (16)55.656.8112.4-1.256%-
Last 10 (10)59.555.8115.3+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)55.455.2110.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)48.658.4107.0-9.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.858.4115.1-1.641%-
vs Weaker (8)61.155.8116.9+5.475%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H06/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A11/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H14/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A16/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H24/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
52-66
52
66
-14
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H28/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A03/03
NBA
119.1Avg total
59.4Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.555.5111.0-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (19)55.454.7110.1+0.747%-
Last 30 away (11)55.657.0112.6-1.445%-
Last 10 (10)59.459.7119.1-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)62.059.0121.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.658.0110.6-5.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)56.755.9112.6+0.953%-
vs Weaker (10)55.053.8108.8+1.250%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.330.2
55.6%
51.0%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.8
38.4%
36.1%38.4
🏀 Free throws21.414.9
69.6%
76.5%14.9
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.832.2
56.7%
51.0%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.8
38.6%
36.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws22.218.0
81.1%
76.5%18.0
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cleveland Cavaliers
LWLWLWWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWWLWW
#6
League position
#12
+2.5
Net rating
+2.9
113.3
Offensive rating
116.6
110.8
Defensive rating
113.8
56.4%
Effective FG%
57.1%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
12.1%
Turnover %
14.2%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.4%
3-point %
38.6%
55.8%
Assist %
63.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 116.6Defence110.8 · 113.8Shooting56.4% · 57.1%3-point %38.4% · 38.6%Ball care12.1% · 14.2%Off. rebounds20.3% · 25.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Cleveland Cavaliers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/18HPhiladelphia 76ers97-108
28/02/18HBrooklyn Nets129-123
25/02/18HSan Antonio Spurs94-110
24/02/18AMemphis Grizzlies112-89
23/02/18HWashington Wizards103-110
14/02/18AOklahoma City Thunder120-112
11/02/18ABoston Celtics121-99
10/02/18AAtlanta Hawks123-107
08/02/18HMinnesota Timberwolves140-138 OT
07/02/18AOrlando Magic98-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/18AMemphis Grizzlies108-102
28/02/18HLos Angeles Clippers120-122
26/02/18HHouston Rockets114-119
24/02/18HSan Antonio Spurs122-119
16/02/18AMilwaukee Bucks134-123
14/02/18HSan Antonio Spurs117-109
11/02/18APhoenix Suns123-113
10/02/18AHouston Rockets104-130
06/02/18HCharlotte Hornets121-104
04/02/18HGolden State Warriors115-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL59%
HomeWLLWL68%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613130
Win %59%68%50%
Points / game109.9110.7109.1
Allowed / game109.8111.2108.4
Point differential+0.1-0.5+0.8
Avg total219.7221.9217.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%13%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (18)90% (10)25% (8)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeWWWLL73%
AwayLLWWW34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623329
Win %55%73%34%
Points / game108.4111.2105.2
Allowed / game107.4105.4109.7
Point differential+1.0+5.8-4.5
Avg total215.8216.6214.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)58% (12)20% (5)
Overtime %5%3%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets61481379%113.8104.9+8.9
2 Golden State Warriors63491478%116.1107.6+8.5
3 Toronto Raptors61441772%112.1103.4+8.7
4 Boston Celtics63441970%104.199.9+4.2
5 Cleveland Cavaliers61362559%109.9109.8+0.1
6 San Antonio Spurs62362658%102.299.2+3.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers62362658%105.2103.4+1.7
8 Oklahoma City Thunder64372758%106.7103.7+2.9
9 Minnesota Timberwolves66382858%109.7107.0+2.7
10 New Orleans Pelicans61352657%112.1111.7+0.4
11 Washington Wizards63362757%107.1105.5+1.6
12 Indiana Pacers62352756%106.7105.2+1.5
13 Philadelphia 76ers61342756%107.5105.4+2.1
14 Denver Nuggets62342855%108.4107.4+1.0
15 Los Angeles Clippers61332854%108.9107.8+1.1
16 Milwaukee Bucks62332953%104.7105.3-0.5
17 Utah Jazz62323052%102.9101.5+1.5
18 Miami Heat62323052%101.3102.0-0.7
19 Detroit Pistons62293347%103.2104.0-0.8
20 Charlotte Hornets63283544%106.6106.7-0.2
21 Los Angeles Lakers61273444%108.3110.0-1.7
22 New York Knicks63243938%104.2107.1-2.9
23 Chicago Bulls62214134%103.3109.5-6.1
24 Brooklyn Nets63204332%105.6109.7-4.1
25 Orlando Magic63204332%105.8110.0-4.2
26 Sacramento Kings62194331%99.3107.3-8.0
27 Dallas Mavericks63194430%102.1104.8-2.7
28 Atlanta Hawks63194430%103.6108.2-4.5
29 Phoenix Suns64194530%104.6113.2-8.6
30 Memphis Grizzlies62184429%98.9103.6-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cleveland Cavaliers31313520117
Denver Nuggets37363023126
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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